Jumpy-Prayer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.78K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

520

Trades

5,389

lifetime

Volume

$9.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-30 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Sports

59% 21% -$729

Other

24% 33% -$418

Politics

13% 0% -$624

Crypto

4% 46% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+3,749	$12	0¢	$6	-$6	10-29 13:49
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+625	$1	1¢	$5	+$4	10-27 08:56
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+667	$2	0¢	$2	$0	10-30 04:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+217	$5	1¢	$2	-$3	07-12 16:01
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+1,500	$2	0¢	$2	$0	10-27 09:47
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+200	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-09 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$1.8K	0	2,078	-2,078	Yes	-$312	06-14 03:33
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$1.6K	7,799	6,102	+1,697	No	+$56	07-15 20:16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	421	$1.1K	68,863	73,156	-4,293	No	-$616	04-29 20:17
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	45	$1.0K	35,555	17,700	+17,855	No	-$19	07-07 01:36
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	1,310	$319	135,041	17,787	+117,254	No	-$142	07-24 15:38
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$290	2,700	2,700	+0	No	-$136	07-18 22:03
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$155	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-03 06:37
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	13	$105	6,187	6,187	+0	open	—	10-15 15:31
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	06-14 16:24
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$60	10,746	0	+10,746	No	-$60	06-20 03:37
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$51	4,517	4,517	+0	No	-$33	07-15 00:40
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	362	$41	3,666	3,666	+0	open	—	05-29 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 10:35 UTC	2	$41	105	105	+0	Up	-$12	08-02 10:37
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	35	$38	2,503	2,151	+352	No	-$21	05-27 14:35
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	77	$37	1,714	1,714	+0	No	-$20	06-21 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?	21	$30	170	170	+0	No	+$22	07-28 05:14
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	No	-$30	06-14 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 29?	12	$29	79	117	-38	No	+$18	04-29 00:36
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$27	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$17	07-11 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	14	$27	350	354	-5	No	+$12	04-28 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?	14	$25	160	160	+0	No	+$17	07-29 04:55
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	6	$24	110	110	-0	Yes	-$3	07-21 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 2?	14	$22	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-02 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 28?	28	$20	736	0	+736	No	-$20	04-27 12:06
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	8	$20	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	50	$20	425	425	+0	No	+$5	07-27 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?	13	$19	64	64	+0	No	+$13	04-28 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 25?	7	$19	701	0	+701	No	-$19	04-25 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:15 UTC	4	$19	22	20	+2	Up	+$13	08-02 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2?	11	$18	54	54	+0	No	+$4	05-01 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4c28fb…
10-30 04:26:33	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf68721…
10-29 13:49:59	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xdf96bd…
10-29 08:14:40	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9b0cab…
10-29 06:50:04	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa96dd0…
10-29 06:10:34	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xdf5476…
10-29 02:49:07	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4b512e…
10-29 01:29:47	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x115053…
10-29 01:11:43	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x75c02d…
10-29 00:56:28	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x4de3e4…
10-29 00:56:01	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	218	0¢	$1	0xd50867…
10-28 21:34:32	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6ad0d0…
10-28 20:26:31	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x6d4664…
10-28 20:21:14	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5e8664…
10-28 19:43:43	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf72377…
10-28 19:04:14	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0991a3…
10-28 18:08:31	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xd28258…
10-28 17:09:25	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x35552d…
10-28 13:45:53	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0x876c1a…
10-27 09:47:30	Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xefe517…
10-27 09:47:17	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe0fe13…
10-27 08:56:38	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	615	1¢	$4	0x90ac07…
10-27 04:41:05	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6cbc25…
10-27 01:25:26	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4053cd…
10-27 01:24:20	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x42bf88…
10-27 01:20:57	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x1e3f7d…
10-27 01:18:15	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x2ce5db…
10-22 14:52:56	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x7685da…
10-18 02:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x3ccd4a…
10-16 15:01:15	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x46e57a…
10-15 16:10:26	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb022cf…
10-15 15:44:35	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x07b746…
10-15 15:35:47	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x5e2c1c…
10-15 15:35:01	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x47baf8…
10-15 15:34:40	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xb39680…
10-15 15:34:23	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x086b48…
10-15 15:34:10	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd4e1f7…
10-15 15:33:32	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xc6f056…
10-15 15:33:10	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcd5252…
10-15 15:31:35	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,111	1¢	$17	0xa3accd…
10-15 15:27:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf0d87b…
10-15 15:20:47	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x8fa67e…
10-13 21:56:46	Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf1e6e4…
10-07 08:25:47	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x60e0e3…
10-03 10:48:30	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x4578a1…
10-03 10:34:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x268b30…
09-29 15:42:02	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x7467be…
09-25 00:38:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x289329…
09-23 12:13:02	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x498822…
09-23 12:12:35	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdb9740…
09-23 12:12:32	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa96e32…
09-23 12:12:05	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f9a34…
09-23 12:12:05	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1d65cb…
09-23 12:12:04	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x96df9f…
09-23 12:11:56	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe9a098…
09-23 12:11:46	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f37e5…
09-23 12:11:46	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6c007a…
09-23 12:11:26	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xfbadda…
09-23 12:11:26	Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6f1f08…
09-19 15:20:54	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xb9a82e…
09-06 08:31:00	Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7ac3b…
08-30 21:50:39	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xabc6cc…
08-30 12:15:16	bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	Down	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x7fc247…
08-30 11:06:19	bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xf0025e…
08-30 07:02:40	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xb77b55…
08-30 06:44:43	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0x3b185d…
08-30 06:34:31	bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0d0118…
08-30 06:33:18	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xcad309…
08-29 19:07:51	bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1fd414…
08-28 16:39:09	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x0c17e2…
08-28 16:20:58	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x95d81e…
08-27 09:19:42	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xe08b44…
08-27 07:52:15	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x49443b…
08-27 07:52:04	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe29b62…
08-27 07:49:28	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xd18562…
08-26 22:21:27	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x195bd0…
08-26 21:11:43	bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x28dd2d…
08-26 15:46:40	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	350	0¢	$1	0xfb68db…
08-26 14:30:18	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x733ef8…
08-26 13:54:37	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5fe743…
08-26 13:54:33	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x89072b…
08-26 13:31:06	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xffb15e…
08-26 13:24:12	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd82d5b…
08-26 11:59:04	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x38de21…
08-26 11:41:13	bitcoin up or down on august 26 2026	Up	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x778917…
08-26 11:35:48	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7fde55…
08-26 10:32:49	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0d8402…
08-26 09:51:58	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0103d6…
08-26 09:43:55	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x60f1c0…
08-26 09:17:16	bitcoin up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x50853c…
08-26 09:15:21	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1fcb96…
08-26 02:21:46	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x4b6965…
08-26 01:34:19	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x4084df…
08-26 00:54:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x52a01e…
08-26 00:39:36	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x666841…
08-26 00:39:21	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x0c9a5a…
08-26 00:37:33	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x59fb5e…
08-26 00:37:21	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc9659c…
08-25 23:39:09	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xff3f47…
08-25 23:00:45	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa1201a…