Hilarious-Tick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-09 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 50% $-2

Sports

28% 0% $-1

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$1.2K	646	646	+0	Yes	$-2	03-30 17:31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$1.2K	618	618	+0	No	$-1	04-01 04:59
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$865	443	443	+0	open	—	04-21 19:28
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$768	399	399	+0	open	—	03-25 02:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$430	222	222	+0	open	—	03-31 05:25
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$412	216	216	+0	open	—	03-10 16:35
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$402	209	209	+0	open	—	03-11 00:24
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$399	204	204	+0	No	+$0	03-10 09:16
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$389	199	199	+0	open	—	03-11 13:26
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$388	198	198	+0	open	—	03-24 18:00
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$386	199	199	+0	open	—	03-16 19:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$383	197	197	+0	open	—	03-19 03:27
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	6	$379	196	196	+0	open	—	03-17 23:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$379	193	193	+0	open	—	03-20 06:12
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$372	195	195	+1	open	—	04-25 00:25
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$364	187	187	+0	open	—	03-28 01:23
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	5	$363	189	189	+0	open	—	03-26 08:13
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$362	188	188	+0	open	—	03-25 23:28
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$362	192	192	+0	open	—	04-27 08:05
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$353	180	180	+0	open	—	03-28 12:06
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	04-28 02:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$131	72	72	+0	open	—	05-18 12:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	04-11 12:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$117	63	63	+0	open	—	06-02 19:29
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 22:56
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	04-13 18:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$111	59	59	+0	open	—	06-05 00:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	04-11 01:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	03-31 18:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	06-03 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:51:36	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xcf4c47…
06-07 09:44:28	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x1b4937…
06-07 09:08:25	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x51d976…
06-07 03:00:00	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x6e6f38…
06-05 23:57:19	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x796c97…
06-05 19:48:25	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x3651ac…
06-05 12:21:30	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x1f74b0…
06-05 06:16:55	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xef26d3…
06-05 00:59:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0xb931d9…
06-04 20:53:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0x7739c0…
06-03 06:38:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$51	0x246978…
06-03 01:37:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$51	0x5a8bff…
06-02 19:29:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$58	0x27acf8…
06-02 15:26:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0x1df995…
05-18 12:09:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	90¢	$64	0x53407a…
05-18 03:57:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x667509…
04-28 02:24:52	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x479185…
04-28 00:37:06	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xf696e1…
04-27 08:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	92¢	$177	0xa3509d…
04-27 04:01:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$21	0x87c3d2…
04-27 03:59:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0x2a88de…
04-25 00:25:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	195	96¢	$186	0x4de2e3…
04-24 18:20:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	195	95¢	$186	0xf07839…
04-21 19:28:20	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xaf0de9…
04-21 14:02:36	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x896cee…
04-15 22:15:26	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Bayern München	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x602b4c…
04-15 16:47:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x977764…
04-14 22:56:16	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x652a7e…
04-14 02:16:57	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xe73021…
04-13 18:21:37	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x5db6bf…
04-13 10:16:55	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x60368a…
04-11 12:10:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xef0a49…
04-11 03:56:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0x970155…
04-11 01:45:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x505617…
04-10 19:37:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x99b16d…
04-09 01:35:59	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xcf2cba…
04-08 16:58:29	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xda28e5…
04-08 11:40:09	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xe4f5d6…
04-08 05:45:21	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xb68e35…
04-01 04:59:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xec6e5d…
03-31 20:39:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x2be3d4…
03-31 18:10:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x44b57c…
03-31 12:52:49	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x70b131…
03-31 05:25:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe6cadd…
03-31 05:25:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb29ed0…
03-30 20:25:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x577b7d…
03-30 20:25:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x708119…
03-30 17:31:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0xe18514…
03-30 11:27:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x0290f4…
03-30 10:43:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	180	97¢	$174	0xd394cd…
03-30 03:01:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	97¢	$174	0xba1d92…
03-28 12:06:57	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	180	98¢	$176	0xc84273…
03-28 04:03:17	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0xaccf0f…
03-28 01:23:25	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	187	97¢	$182	0x2d73b7…
03-27 17:02:15	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	187	97¢	$182	0xea1a67…
03-27 15:58:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0x200940…
03-27 10:14:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	180	97¢	$175	0x22441f…
03-27 01:26:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	186	97¢	$180	0xdb6577…
03-26 17:48:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0xecb576…
03-26 16:23:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	189	95¢	$180	0xb3ef2c…
03-26 09:09:23	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	189	96¢	$181	0x0b9ece…
03-26 08:13:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	189	95¢	$180	0x6bbab0…
03-26 00:16:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xba0eeb…
03-26 00:12:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x7c4dec…
03-26 00:11:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xecfe03…
03-26 00:06:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x19fbca…
03-25 23:28:05	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	188	96¢	$181	0x4b5700…
03-25 19:01:35	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0xdf2f7a…
03-25 18:53:05	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x0c28a1…
03-25 18:18:29	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbe9d15…
03-25 18:18:29	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x72fc64…
03-25 02:44:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x1ef39b…
03-24 18:32:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0xf6c222…
03-24 18:21:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x584252…
03-24 18:00:25	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	198	98¢	$193	0x507068…
03-24 09:49:57	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd9e3d2…
03-24 09:17:37	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x66c3ab…
03-22 21:22:19	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	196	97¢	$191	0x9b692b…
03-22 21:06:03	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	196	98¢	$191	0x7d5e2e…
03-22 10:08:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0x0c8a23…
03-22 02:34:05	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x0d1419…
03-20 06:12:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	193	98¢	$190	0x5e2cf7…
03-19 23:40:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0xdedd07…
03-19 21:58:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	196	96¢	$189	0x50d63b…
03-19 16:05:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	196	96¢	$189	0x7fcb81…
03-19 03:27:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	197	97¢	$191	0x325252…
03-18 20:22:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	197	97¢	$192	0x30de18…
03-17 23:17:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	196	97¢	$190	0xb09fe7…
03-17 18:25:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x6cd1f7…
03-17 18:25:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x6530ac…
03-17 17:30:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe6e2b2…
03-17 17:08:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe1022d…
03-17 17:08:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xce7be0…
03-16 19:32:35	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	199	97¢	$193	0x0357a9…
03-16 17:48:53	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x9116be…
03-16 16:48:11	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xab222d…
03-16 15:43:31	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x23ce25…
03-16 15:26:49	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb43d0a…
03-16 15:26:45	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xeb7efa…
03-16 14:49:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	204	95¢	$194	0x48c6c1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$250.9K	5,209	06-09 21:31
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$67.3K	746	06-08 20:17
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	32	$141.4K	10,244	06-09 22:47
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	28	$4.11K	3,084	06-09 03:39
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	27	$251.2K	3,120	05-15 12:57
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	27	$103.4K	1,214	06-08 15:45
Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3	26	$287.4K	6,949	06-05 07:40
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	26	$36.1K	17,870	04-17 15:53