Concrete-Planet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

113

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-29 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

53% 96% +$3

Politics

26% 91% -$34

Crypto

9% 100% +$0

Tech

9% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$119	81	40	+40	No	+$0	09-14 17:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$93	48	48	+0	No	+$1	09-01 03:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	10-05 07:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-07 03:13
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	08-13 01:21
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	09-16 01:09
will gpt 6 be released by october 31 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-04 12:16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-01 08:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$40	49	0	+49	Yes	-$40	10-15 07:11
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$34	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	06-26 21:46
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$34	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-21 00:26
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-17 14:28
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$33	35	0	+35	No	+$1	08-13 21:54
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 14:56
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-04 20:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-30 21:58
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-30 13:08
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-01 00:44
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-28 05:11
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-29 13:19
googl above 280 on february 27 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	02-25 15:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	07-30 09:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	08-29 19:47
nflx above 120 on march 31 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-28 17:56
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	08-05 15:12
si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-19 15:13
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-23 23:02
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:19:25	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x80fd76…
10-29 00:53:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8a765…
10-20 19:50:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b9683…
10-15 07:11:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xec586f…
10-05 17:19:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xfeb238…
10-05 07:40:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe37ee8…
09-25 09:07:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x1f5322…
09-22 14:41:27	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xe95846…
09-16 01:09:12	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb1d7cc…
09-14 17:46:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5254db…
09-12 02:42:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe744a9…
09-11 21:00:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd19d52…
09-07 03:13:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd84f1f…
09-06 01:50:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa41147…
09-04 12:16:07	will gpt 6 be released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x279e32…
09-01 08:19:01	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xabb303…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8dddf2…
08-29 19:47:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xadb073…
08-27 14:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9547da…
08-26 16:43:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xcbaf99…
08-24 20:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb92e2a…
08-24 20:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x96f63c…
08-24 20:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x2152b4…
08-24 14:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x23100c…
08-24 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x940417…
08-23 06:57:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08aac3…
08-22 21:08:39	will ethereum dip to 1500 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x625f1a…
08-21 00:26:58	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x35a84b…
08-17 14:28:43	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x2838e8…
08-15 13:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	290	0¢	$0	0x23183a…
08-13 21:54:51	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	35	97¢	$33	0xe1f730…
08-13 01:21:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x76e409…
08-10 01:34:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xdd5875…
08-09 07:38:36	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d2c67…
08-09 04:37:13	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1dbd9f…
08-07 17:06:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ec20d…
08-05 15:12:54	Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8b55ba…
08-04 20:21:35	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x45a4d9…
08-04 05:56:09	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ab04f…
07-31 19:12:42	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1efb15…
07-31 07:20:14	will meta dip to 480 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb91da7…
07-30 09:24:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdc3f38…
07-30 02:50:42	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8d32d7…
07-29 11:13:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7af3ec…
07-27 20:01:46	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6e25f…
07-25 09:41:34	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e53af…
07-25 01:00:49	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b4a57…
07-23 16:50:39	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad5ce8…
07-23 05:41:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36664b…
07-23 03:09:33	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e0860…
07-22 18:23:03	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac5da0…
07-22 15:29:01	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7cb40a…
07-22 11:32:19	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x367c4e…
07-22 09:07:45	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ee668…
07-20 11:42:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdf8053…
07-01 00:44:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8f0026…
06-30 13:08:53	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x920d54…
06-28 17:56:47	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x694315…
06-27 14:56:22	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdcf41b…
06-26 21:46:23	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x95d3b2…
05-30 21:58:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x91221e…
05-14 13:32:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7fdebb…
05-10 04:33:39	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0acaeb…
05-09 08:48:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x59974c…
05-09 01:48:52	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x00741c…
05-08 17:04:01	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46ced4…
05-08 08:14:31	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x927c5e…
05-07 08:25:10	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x428386…
05-07 06:50:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x639dee…
05-06 03:48:20	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbeabc8…
05-05 18:36:54	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcec865…
05-05 16:57:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x25b683…
05-05 10:42:48	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb126a0…
04-27 11:56:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfb061c…
04-26 20:47:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x149c25…
04-25 08:04:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71efaa…
04-22 12:34:50	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x56ffd3…
04-21 16:12:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1ef25d…
04-20 03:29:00	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd0ef7a…
04-19 12:27:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xcd429e…
04-19 01:53:04	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3a18ad…
04-17 21:14:38	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfff767…
04-17 06:53:06	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x376c93…
04-15 14:32:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6a596a…
04-15 12:34:28	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x610e21…
03-31 04:00:25	nflx above 120 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbe985c…
03-30 11:26:00	will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x460bf4…
03-27 20:31:03	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cbb8f…
03-26 08:56:51	aapl above 220 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcb3b7…
03-25 13:36:59	will anthropic have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaafb6…
03-24 14:27:25	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb676b…
03-23 04:15:57	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15d23a…
03-21 03:01:43	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed2a18…
03-19 12:07:37	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b67b3…
03-18 01:53:23	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5aea3…
03-16 10:51:49	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24c51f…
03-15 03:57:57	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6865c4…
03-13 20:51:19	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fd514…
03-11 10:14:49	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40b951…
03-10 10:52:23	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0bd541…