Graceful-Eicosanoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

286

Trades

1,385

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 11-10 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 53% -$1

Other

2% 57% -$1

Politics

1% 57% +$1

Tech

1% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 858 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	+43	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	09-14 23:25
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	Yes	+13	$3	8¢	$1	-$2	05-29 05:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+7	$2	6¢	$0	-$2	05-29 05:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+5	$2	8¢	$0	-$2	05-20 18:37
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$6	3¢	$0	-$6	05-20 18:01
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+10	$7	2¢	$0	-$7	05-21 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	40	$102	82	58	+25	Up	-$10	11-10 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	16	$88	49	49	+0	Down	+$8	11-10 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	25	$84	55	53	+2	Up	+$6	11-10 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	15	$77	57	47	+10	Up	+$23	11-10 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	24	$77	46	46	+0	Up	+$9	11-10 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	12	$69	38	38	+0	Up	+$7	11-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	15	$66	36	36	+0	Down	+$6	11-10 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	14	$63	36	36	+0	Down	+$9	11-10 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	21	$60	48	48	+0	Up	+$16	11-10 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	10	$54	39	36	+3	Down	+$4	11-10 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	24	$53	64	31	+33	Down	-$13	11-10 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	12	$53	32	32	+0	Down	+$11	11-10 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	9	$51	31	31	+0	Up	+$7	11-10 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	16	$49	32	32	+0	Down	+$3	11-10 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$47	27	27	+0	Up	+$7	11-10 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	14	$46	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	11-10 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	12	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	11-09 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	16	$45	31	31	+0	Up	+$5	11-10 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	28	$44	61	21	+40	Up	-$24	11-10 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$43	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	11-10 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	14	$43	57	2	+55	Down	-$41	11-10 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	9	$43	26	26	+0	Down	+$9	11-10 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	18	$42	35	34	+1	Up	+$10	11-10 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	11-10 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	14	$41	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	11-10 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	11	$40	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	11-10 13:25
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	9	$40	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	11-10 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	9	$38	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	11-09 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	12	$37	46	0	+46	Down	+$9	11-10 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	8	$36	25	25	+0	Down	+$10	11-09 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 23:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4a6bdb…
11-10 23:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfa0579…
11-10 23:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xb80f1b…
11-10 23:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x939f01…
11-10 23:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x31f8fa…
11-10 23:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x09832d…
11-10 23:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5bc8f0…
11-10 23:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x616999…
11-10 23:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdfbfe1…
11-10 23:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8d5694…
11-10 23:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x508cd2…
11-10 23:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x3cc17b…
11-10 22:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0be2d2…
11-10 22:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xda3637…
11-10 22:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5e616b…
11-10 22:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdb7b2e…
11-10 22:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcbee67…
11-10 22:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x7acb0a…
11-10 22:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xb8bdcf…
11-10 22:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x15c634…
11-10 22:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb68746…
11-10 22:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0abb41…
11-10 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xf4ef8a…
11-10 22:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a6f9e…
11-10 22:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe9dd19…
11-10 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1bbcd1…
11-10 22:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb00119…
11-10 22:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf7b418…
11-10 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa10755…
11-10 22:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf8a465…
11-10 22:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc5404d…
11-10 22:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x14be27…
11-10 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xc9ed50…
11-10 22:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xef0c9c…
11-10 22:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd26f4d…
11-10 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xebe6a1…
11-10 22:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3f93e6…
11-10 22:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8ed7bc…
11-10 22:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2c8725…
11-10 22:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x017d41…
11-10 22:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xf0a1d0…
11-10 22:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0fce34…
11-10 22:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4930fb…
11-10 22:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x552d0e…
11-10 22:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe2a8db…
11-10 22:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7549c1…
11-10 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbf7ad8…
11-10 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x769dd4…
11-10 22:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06d960…
11-10 22:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xba185a…
11-10 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9f0d04…
11-10 22:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe5919f…
11-10 22:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xddacf3…
11-10 22:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x85cfd0…
11-10 22:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4159a6…
11-10 22:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x392364…
11-10 22:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xdb4c1e…
11-10 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa48630…
11-10 22:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5861c9…
11-10 22:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x886476…
11-10 22:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x85a1a4…
11-10 22:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xad84c3…
11-10 22:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x79b749…
11-10 22:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xde1ce0…
11-10 22:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x105981…
11-10 22:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4c5735…
11-10 22:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xd2fad6…
11-10 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xbc9050…
11-10 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x393aca…
11-10 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x23b2ad…
11-10 22:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x252bc8…
11-10 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xe536bb…
11-10 22:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x084d8f…
11-10 22:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc20b6…
11-10 22:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbd7d92…
11-10 22:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3f7e1c…
11-10 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x911c8a…
11-10 22:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xe28723…
11-10 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x435601…
11-10 22:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe0973f…
11-10 22:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc470ff…
11-10 22:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0e7917…
11-10 22:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa0692e…
11-10 22:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x288b32…
11-10 22:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x73e752…
11-10 22:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6abdd7…
11-10 22:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9b553c…
11-10 22:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd02b8c…
11-10 22:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xfb16c3…
11-10 22:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x70dc5d…
11-10 22:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x98a809…
11-10 22:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x09d9f1…
11-10 22:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe296ad…
11-10 22:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe16a75…
11-10 22:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb8bbf4…
11-10 22:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb6c9c8…
11-10 21:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x7573cb…
11-10 21:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x127d82…
11-10 21:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2d9783…
11-10 21:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfc6c15…