Graceful-Eicosanoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$337

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-31 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 62% $-10

Politics

11% 0% $-1

Tech

5% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+7	$2	26¢	$2	$-0	05-29 05:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+6	$2	15¢	$1	$-2	05-29 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	10	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 01:19
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	2	$17	28	14	+14	open	—	05-12 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-20 22:44
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-20 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	5	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$5	05-09 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 22:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$8	12	6	+6	open	—	05-29 14:52
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	2	$6	65	65	+0	open	—	05-21 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	6	$6	27	0	+27	Down	$-6	05-11 10:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 01:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 00:03
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 22:34
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$5	5	4	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 01:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-4	05-11 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 21:29:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6e3a89…
05-29 14:52:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x8be715…
05-29 05:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xda5e67…
05-29 05:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x911c60…
05-29 05:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x293725…
05-29 05:46:24	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x4de63a…
05-29 05:39:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0a17da…
05-29 05:19:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6ed22f…
05-21 23:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbbd94f…
05-21 23:51:01	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0x3a9053…
05-21 23:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x079864…
05-21 10:59:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x42aeb1…
05-21 03:08:54	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0xd39626…
05-21 02:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x53a3c6…
05-21 01:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xf9cb48…
05-21 01:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x89059f…
05-21 01:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4be104…
05-21 01:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xa45ebc…
05-21 01:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x56d3bb…
05-21 01:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3f7eb1…
05-21 01:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6dbbf5…
05-21 01:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x699f24…
05-21 01:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xcc67f9…
05-21 01:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa9abf8…
05-21 01:32:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xd228d1…
05-21 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x354a24…
05-21 01:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8a059e…
05-21 01:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x7cefff…
05-21 01:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x62d75b…
05-21 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x222813…
05-21 01:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9dd260…
05-21 01:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc0e04c…
05-21 01:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xbcecf6…
05-21 01:17:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5a98c7…
05-21 01:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x40288c…
05-21 01:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x0f4446…
05-21 01:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf95c79…
05-21 01:03:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x942711…
05-21 00:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x79a103…
05-21 00:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x41b1cf…
05-21 00:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8d8217…
05-21 00:47:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x21630f…
05-21 00:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x35806a…
05-21 00:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x521792…
05-21 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x07d1d8…
05-21 00:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x243368…
05-21 00:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x31fc7a…
05-20 23:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb92859…
05-20 23:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe72492…
05-20 23:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc9ce2f…
05-20 23:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3fba00…
05-20 23:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x31a515…
05-20 23:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf55eeb…
05-20 23:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x02299d…
05-20 23:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7efb3e…
05-20 23:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeb225a…
05-20 23:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8870da…
05-20 23:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x7e212f…
05-20 23:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1e7519…
05-20 23:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x90c66b…
05-20 23:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc07683…
05-20 22:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbdd862…
05-20 22:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x394a92…
05-20 22:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2a3ed1…
05-20 22:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5c2214…
05-20 22:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb42840…
05-20 22:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb30207…
05-20 22:33:06	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xe64522…
05-20 18:42:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x76714d…
05-20 15:45:07	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb39ed5…
05-20 15:41:21	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x23acc6…
05-19 17:18:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9a7bce…
05-12 01:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4d466d…
05-12 01:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x0850d5…
05-12 01:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaece7d…
05-12 01:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd7b4f1…
05-12 01:36:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3e5299…
05-12 01:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x297b51…
05-12 01:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdcb741…
05-12 01:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x0e472e…
05-12 01:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe2d978…
05-12 01:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x1d710a…
05-12 01:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf49207…
05-12 01:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xce8474…
05-12 01:25:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x3378c5…
05-12 01:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x39000f…
05-12 01:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdaaa4b…
05-12 01:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0b205c…
05-12 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3b0270…
05-12 01:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xea8fb8…
05-12 01:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd85be4…
05-12 01:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9e97ea…
05-12 01:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7a6f49…
05-12 01:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xa5512c…
05-12 01:17:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcf56ad…
05-12 01:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x05ed80…
05-12 01:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2e22f6…
05-12 01:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x7648ce…
05-12 01:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf30691…
05-12 01:12:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xee4b84…