Faithful-Fiesta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-09 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

45% 100% +$2

Sports

4% 0% $-4

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$3.8K	1,918	1,918	+0	open	—	04-15 20:19
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.4K	726	726	+0	open	—	06-02 02:01
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	20	$1.3K	1,503	1,503	+0	open	—	06-05 21:31
Will Alberta join the US?	12	$837	637	637	+0	open	—	06-05 14:57
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	5	$662	340	340	+0	open	—	06-02 08:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$473	2,092	2,092	+0	No	$-4	04-16 00:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	7	$435	413	413	+0	open	—	06-03 03:19
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	7	$398	446	446	+0	open	—	04-23 20:52
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$389	290	290	+0	open	—	06-09 23:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$365	263	263	+0	open	—	04-22 12:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$363	265	265	+0	open	—	05-24 08:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$358	181	181	+0	open	—	05-29 15:31
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$353	310	310	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 01:35
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$342	297	297	+0	open	—	06-09 02:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$314	308	308	+0	open	—	06-05 03:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$283	144	144	+0	open	—	05-25 09:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$254	334	334	+0	open	—	05-28 18:15
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$249	126	126	+0	open	—	04-17 03:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$215	136	136	+0	open	—	06-03 18:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$201	229	229	+0	open	—	06-08 11:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$132	366	366	+0	open	—	06-05 09:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$125	176	176	+0	open	—	06-09 15:14
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?	2	$104	442	441	+1	open	—	04-23 04:06
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	3	$73	324	324	+0	open	—	04-27 01:00
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	4	$52	210	210	+0	open	—	04-21 11:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$15	311	311	+0	open	—	05-31 02:24
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$4	147	147	+0	open	—	05-31 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:10:12	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	67¢	$66	0xcb3ea3…
06-09 20:31:09	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	191	67¢	$128	0x5183a0…
06-09 20:29:42	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	290	67¢	$194	0x668d73…
06-09 15:14:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	37¢	$63	0xe6afda…
06-09 15:14:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x48c4d4…
06-09 12:57:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	34¢	$60	0xc94f02…
06-09 02:18:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0xa95f39…
06-09 02:18:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	SELL	147	58¢	$85	0x926c65…
06-08 22:22:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0xee4ffc…
06-08 22:22:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	174	57¢	$99	0x4a504a…
06-08 11:20:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xa4b64e…
06-05 21:31:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	148	22¢	$32	0x4f0eb6…
06-05 20:12:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	148	19¢	$28	0x8ee39d…
06-05 14:57:54	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xa3086b…
06-05 14:57:54	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	139	4¢	$6	0x7f485a…
06-05 13:51:00	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	73	5¢	$3	0x5dd066…
06-05 13:51:00	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$6	0x341705…
06-05 09:01:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	366	18¢	$66	0x9013ba…
06-05 07:35:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	366	18¢	$66	0x036452…
06-05 03:25:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	51¢	$45	0xb7cd59…
06-05 03:25:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	51¢	$112	0x132e78…
06-05 02:12:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	51¢	$59	0xac2069…
06-05 02:12:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	51¢	$98	0xa821c6…
06-04 23:34:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	133	81¢	$107	0x2d4515…
06-04 23:34:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	57	81¢	$46	0x0e7929…
06-04 19:04:36	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	190	82¢	$156	0x117a57…
06-04 14:21:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	227	44¢	$100	0x66458a…
06-04 14:20:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	229	44¢	$101	0x6d3d90…
06-04 01:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xa04900…
06-04 01:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5d81d8…
06-04 01:13:22	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x6caf76…
06-03 18:07:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	73	79¢	$57	0xdcabdd…
06-03 18:07:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	63	79¢	$50	0xd8f8fb…
06-03 16:11:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	136	79¢	$107	0x0ae48f…
06-03 16:07:57	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	236	78¢	$185	0x34ef01…
06-03 14:01:06	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	236	78¢	$184	0xdec3b1…
06-03 03:19:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	177	31¢	$55	0x7f9750…
06-03 02:00:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	177	31¢	$55	0xc9c29b…
06-03 01:58:33	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	192	96¢	$184	0xf6aaf8…
06-02 23:37:40	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	192	96¢	$184	0x648a1f…
06-02 14:31:23	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	103	96¢	$98	0x92a662…
06-02 14:31:23	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x6f6989…
06-02 10:47:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	174	96¢	$167	0x55ade8…
06-02 08:40:51	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x4d2e7b…
06-02 03:32:23	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x8e0e71…
06-02 02:01:06	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$183	0x5dd5f9…
06-01 23:52:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	186	98¢	$183	0xfb5f43…
06-01 17:29:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	124	73¢	$91	0x9d66c5…
06-01 14:53:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	124	70¢	$87	0x689680…
05-31 22:26:41	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	146	97¢	$142	0xebcdac…
05-31 22:26:41	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x8bd6b5…
05-31 19:03:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xa26b4c…
05-31 19:03:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x360070…
05-31 13:21:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$1	0x18647f…
05-31 11:21:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	147	2¢	$2	0x3e2e6e…
05-31 02:24:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x7e5939…
05-30 23:30:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$3	0x11fb78…
05-30 23:29:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0x86e8f9…
05-30 21:41:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$2	0xa938dd…
05-30 21:41:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0x5c73da…
05-30 21:41:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x1b0ecd…
05-30 18:56:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	116	20¢	$23	0xd41819…
05-30 18:56:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	136	20¢	$27	0x749177…
05-30 17:51:04	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	252	20¢	$50	0x890e25…
05-30 11:18:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xc0b450…
05-30 11:16:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	234	22¢	$51	0xc2cdc5…
05-30 11:16:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x385166…
05-30 09:45:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xa9c98a…
05-30 09:45:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x6dad7f…
05-30 09:45:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	77	22¢	$17	0x1733bc…
05-30 08:50:57	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	185	97¢	$179	0xeec0c6…
05-30 07:28:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	185	97¢	$179	0x079e35…
05-29 21:20:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	196	69¢	$135	0xd4a5e4…
05-29 21:20:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x9b6593…
05-29 21:20:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	32	69¢	$22	0x30d6db…
05-29 18:25:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	125	69¢	$86	0xf6253e…
05-29 18:25:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	111	69¢	$77	0x4b29c1…
05-29 15:31:05	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0xe2b354…
05-29 14:28:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$179	0x71faed…
05-29 10:18:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	279	24¢	$66	0xf8c39e…
05-29 07:10:56	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	279	24¢	$67	0x7b20d7…
05-28 18:15:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	334	38¢	$127	0x84c27f…
05-28 15:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	334	38¢	$127	0xea6cda…
05-28 05:58:50	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	105	96¢	$101	0xdfed83…
05-28 03:45:59	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xd69bc3…
05-28 00:04:24	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0x6ef9e0…
05-27 23:57:35	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	188	96¢	$180	0xa7ea93…
05-27 21:48:45	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	188	95¢	$178	0x3c161f…
05-25 09:51:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	144	98¢	$142	0xdf68c9…
05-25 07:17:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	144	98¢	$142	0x4497b2…
05-24 08:57:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	69¢	$183	0x4358e3…
05-23 21:58:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	68¢	$180	0xb46e63…
04-27 01:00:16	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	11¢	$21	0x3b67f6…
04-27 01:00:16	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	11¢	$15	0x39091f…
04-26 22:06:30	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	11¢	$37	0xed9172…
04-25 01:35:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfc527e…
04-25 01:35:48	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	162	57¢	$93	0xd76e81…
04-25 01:35:48	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	143	57¢	$82	0x4c222d…
04-24 23:32:56	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	38	57¢	$22	0xc8a576…
04-24 23:32:56	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	272	57¢	$154	0xb3f298…