(anonymous) 0x47c1c4…f3825f
hot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$563
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
222
Trades
3,041
lifetime
Volume
$80.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.15K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 22:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Politics
60% 24% +$5,404
Other
28% 20% -$2,981
Crypto
11% 33% +$4,381
Sports
0% 29% -$208
Tech
0% 0% -$61
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,500 $1,112 17¢ $1.2K +$129 09-13 02:57
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +64,947 $210 1¢ $487 +$277 08-16 10:05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,298 -$597 19¢ $-440 +$157 10-04 09:00
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,000 $169 1¢ $261 +$92 09-25 02:30
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $144 12¢ $237 +$93 09-04 23:43
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,000 -$168 4¢ $-213 -$45 09-21 07:16
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +32,660 $160 1¢ $180 +$20 09-08 01:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +458 $73 36¢ $165 +$92 07-13 18:00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14,848 $178 1¢ $163 -$15 10-26 19:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +201 $86 60¢ $120 +$35 10-04 21:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,000 -$130 11¢ $-105 +$25 07-19 22:49
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +400 $76 24¢ $95 +$18 10-23 19:27
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +400 $56 22¢ $86 +$30 09-20 23:57
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +400 $82 18¢ $70 -$12 10-03 21:03
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +120 $25 50¢ $61 +$35 07-26 07:15
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +95 $12 53¢ $50 +$39 07-31 04:06
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +14,999 $15 0¢ $37 +$22 09-13 09:30
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes -129 -$15 18¢ $-23 -$8 06-16 10:41
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,842 $145 1¢ $21 -$124 07-02 20:47
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +20 $13 100¢ $20 +$7 09-01 22:17
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,443 $255 1¢ $18 -$237 09-11 12:35
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +137 $19 10¢ $13 -$6 07-07 19:52
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +15 $5 86¢ $13 +$8 07-19 06:51
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +172 $56 6¢ $9 -$47 07-01 03:55
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +10 $5 52¢ $5 $0 07-28 21:10
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? Yes +100 $20 4¢ $4 -$16 09-02 14:45
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +200 $18 2¢ $3 -$15 10-03 21:45
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +200 $7 1¢ $2 -$5 07-08 03:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -390 -$14 0¢ $-2 +$13 06-13 11:19
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +326 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 22:17