Shrill-Migration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$284

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

284

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 35% -$281

Politics

6% 19% -$63

Other

5% 23% -$59

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$118

Sports

1% 33% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 23:15 UTC	2	$1.4K	995	980	+16	Down	+$508	02-07 23:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 04:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	3,527	3,492	+35	Down	-$734	02-08 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	3	$1.1K	868	858	+11	Down	+$524	02-05 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	4	$848	1,218	868	+351	Up	-$131	02-05 21:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 23:00 UTC	2	$771	516	508	+8	Down	+$193	02-07 23:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:00 UTC	2	$611	651	644	+7	Down	+$253	02-05 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:00 UTC	1	$545	1,485	0	+1,485	Up	-$545	02-05 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 18:45 UTC	2	$386	299	296	+3	Down	+$204	02-07 19:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:45 UTC	2	$261	197	194	+3	Up	+$104	02-05 20:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:00 UTC	1	$254	2,118	0	+2,118	Up	-$254	02-05 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 18:30 UTC	2	$229	281	276	+4	Up	-$36	02-07 18:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 04:30 UTC	1	$200	465	0	+465	Up	-$200	02-08 04:32
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	3	$200	227	227	+0	Yes	+$110	05-19 21:01
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 fcb	4	$160	106	106	+0	Yes	+$52	01-11 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	2	$150	84	84	+1	Down	+$16	02-14 01:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:45 UTC	2	$124	87	85	+1	Down	+$42	02-05 23:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:55 UTC	3	$118	69	65	+4	Down	+$12	02-14 01:00
over 90m committed to the ranger public sale 166	2	$117	64	64	+0	No	+$8	01-10 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	2	$108	94	93	+1	Down	+$51	02-05 20:42
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$105	220	220	+0	No	-$35	01-20 15:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 19:00 UTC	2	$104	443	439	+3	Up	-$96	02-08 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:40 UTC	2	$102	56	55	+0	Up	+$8	02-14 00:45
will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during oil executive meetings on friday	2	$98	59	59	+0	Yes	+$18	01-09 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:25 UTC	2	$94	48	48	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:05 UTC	2	$89	49	48	+0	Down	+$7	02-14 00:10
will donald trump say china during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	2	$83	60	60	+0	Yes	+$36	01-03 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	2	$82	508	0	+508	Up	-$82	02-06 00:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	1	$80	138	0	+138	Up	-$80	02-14 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:25 UTC	2	$77	50	49	+1	Down	+$20	02-13 17:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 23:15 UTC	2	$76	42	41	+0	Down	+$6	02-13 23:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:20:07	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$4	0xa37396…
07-19 19:19:46	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0x5ba3ba…
06-27 19:47:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2b6020…
06-27 19:36:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x159671…
05-30 17:40:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x705d38…
05-30 17:36:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xfdb8c8…
05-30 16:13:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x77e732…
05-30 16:10:25	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc8e4df…
05-30 16:06:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xe268a6…
05-30 16:06:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x5e3582…
05-30 16:03:46	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	192	5¢	$10	0x9d4836…
05-30 16:03:39	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	116	8¢	$10	0x7ea730…
05-30 16:03:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	122	10¢	$12	0xe354fe…
05-22 20:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xef2a0a…
05-22 20:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xf64fc6…
05-22 20:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd3c89d…
05-22 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x6df767…
05-22 19:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xabf72c…
05-22 19:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x87adc6…
05-22 19:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd239f1…
05-22 19:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0fc7e4…
05-22 19:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ed518…
05-22 19:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd63b09…
05-22 18:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x68547b…
05-22 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x522e55…
05-22 18:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x02ea92…
05-22 18:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0bc957…
05-22 18:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe12279…
05-22 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x506b47…
05-22 18:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c5c53…
05-22 17:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1390bb…
05-22 16:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2af64a…
05-22 16:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x322d44…
05-19 21:01:04	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	SELL	113	84¢	$95	0xe75167…
05-19 20:45:00	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Manchester City FC?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa59e29…
05-19 19:17:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf57f87…
05-19 16:03:20	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x29f0c7…
05-19 16:03:08	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x29613d…
05-19 16:02:48	Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 1 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x0ce164…
05-19 16:02:27	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xce56e3…
05-19 15:56:48	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd7e98b…
05-19 02:53:44	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf2eb5…
05-19 02:53:28	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x71dd6a…
05-19 02:50:42	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc7567d…
05-19 02:48:24	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0406ce…
05-19 02:47:42	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x580a6f…
05-19 02:47:31	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0x5bbca8…
05-19 02:45:37	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe3b01a…
05-19 02:44:24	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x94702c…
05-19 02:40:36	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc640d6…
05-19 02:40:15	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6690c1…
05-19 02:34:43	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x858ddf…
05-19 02:34:24	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xca648f…
05-19 02:30:06	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeac9ca…
05-19 02:28:27	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8acdeb…
05-19 02:28:14	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x6d4380…
05-19 02:26:12	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x173678…
05-19 02:25:33	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x832ae2…
05-19 02:22:10	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4fa54…
05-19 02:20:22	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6544ab…
05-19 02:17:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x114e6c…
05-19 02:16:17	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x55c16a…
05-19 02:12:49	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3db97c…
05-19 02:11:16	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x266dac…
05-19 02:09:43	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c1e3b…
05-19 02:04:19	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3b08bf…
05-19 01:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x11cd50…
05-19 01:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfec5be…
05-19 01:49:58	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?	Yes	SELL	113	52¢	$59	0xac9c8b…
05-19 01:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe58305…
05-19 01:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x05d8bb…
05-19 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8265f…
05-19 01:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc13df4…
05-19 01:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd06fc3…
05-19 01:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x83c24f…
05-19 01:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xcc118b…
05-19 01:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb2dc1…
05-17 21:09:03	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x8986c8…
05-17 19:18:13	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe4bc36…
05-17 19:04:32	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x84752d…
05-17 18:49:22	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7c7224…
05-17 18:19:55	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0ccd64…
05-17 18:17:21	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcbc814…
05-17 18:15:11	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x44be7d…
05-17 18:13:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3579df…
05-17 18:11:47	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x04f001…
05-17 18:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfbdf80…
05-17 18:09:07	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x0cb7c1…
05-17 18:07:01	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x135ca1…
05-17 18:03:23	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc56236…
05-17 17:56:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x87026e…
05-17 17:54:38	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x2685c5…
05-17 17:49:09	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x37ea94…
05-17 17:48:18	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5d7628…
05-17 17:41:48	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfb9c30…
05-17 17:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x38a22a…
05-17 17:27:13	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x1f6a3b…
05-17 17:24:54	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4c839…
05-17 17:22:19	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb631de…
05-17 17:16:36	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1def0f…