Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
14.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
132
lifetime
Volume
$765
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$247
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-06
last 11-11 02:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
88% 25% -$57
Politics
8% 0% -$10
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k? No +40 $10 95¢ $38 +$28 11-07 02:19
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 11, 2026? Yes +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$5 11-07 08:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 10? Yes +20 $12 99¢ $19 +$8 11-09 06:23
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October? No +20 $13 76¢ $15 +$2 11-06 21:55
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $17 71¢ $14 -$3 11-11 02:05
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? No +20 $12 70¢ $14 +$2 11-11 03:19
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k? Yes +15 $17 86¢ $13 -$4 11-10 23:55
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET? No +20 $13 63¢ $13 $0 11-10 23:59
will gemini krypton debut with an hle diamond score of 65 or higher No — +20 $10 51¢ $10 +$0 11-11 02:29
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes — +20 $9 49¢ $10 +$0 11-11 03:02
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October? Yes +40 $16 24¢ $10 -$6 11-11 02:36
Will the Democrats win the Presidency, Senate, and House in 2028? No +20 $8 48¢ $10 +$2 11-07 09:36
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +20 $12 42¢ $8 -$4 11-11 01:09
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2026? Yes +40 $8 19¢ $8 $0 11-10 10:25
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET? Yes +20 $9 37¢ $7 -$2 11-11 00:50
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? Yes +44 $8 16¢ $7 -$2 11-10 09:30
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026? No +20 $9 29¢ $6 -$4 11-10 21:49
will gemini krypton debut with an hle diamond score of 60 or higher No +20 $10 24¢ $5 -$5 11-11 01:30
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? No — +20 $4 20¢ $4 $0 11-11 03:56
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31? No +20 $3 18¢ $4 +$0 11-11 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 12? No +5 $3 53¢ $3 $0 11-10 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on November 12? Yes +5 $2 47¢ $2 $0 11-10 10:15
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 11-11 03:45
Will Gemini Krypton debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No — +7 $2 30¢ $2 $0 11-11 03:49
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 80k? Yes +40 $19 5¢ $2 -$17 11-08 07:10
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 60k? No +10 $4 14¢ $1 -$3 11-06 21:06
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 11, 2026? No +20 $7 2¢ $0 -$6 11-07 05:46
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October? Yes +80 $7 1¢ $0 -$6 11-10 11:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 10? No +20 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 11-09 05:59
EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by June 30, 2027? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-10 19:17