Limited-Jack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-04 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$1

Politics

39% 75% -$2

Sports

10% 50% -$1

Tech

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+10	$2	26¢	$3	+$1	09-29 02:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	98¢	$2	+$0	10-19 08:07
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-31 03:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	11-04 08:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3	$1	61¢	$2	+$0	07-25 02:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2	$2	81¢	$1	$0	06-24 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:34:30	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x69cf50…
10-28 03:05:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2bb0a4…
10-19 08:07:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe5d63f…
10-10 03:42:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcd2878…
09-29 02:52:30	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf3b93f…
09-21 07:29:02	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3dc140…
09-16 02:40:27	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x48f4e8…
09-05 02:26:01	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x352162…
08-31 03:36:27	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5fc89b…
08-24 07:44:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1444fd…
08-14 03:00:21	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x61b9b3…
08-07 07:24:57	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad6a13…
07-25 02:40:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd73c5b…
07-20 02:51:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x53627d…
06-27 06:49:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfa583b…
06-24 03:14:04	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x194769…
06-15 06:16:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x02ba75…
06-08 06:40:57	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6fee59…
05-25 06:35:44	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xafceb2…
05-19 03:42:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbec839…
05-12 06:18:43	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf7602f…
05-07 06:21:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa89c61…
04-11 07:18:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd13258…
04-01 08:45:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe2ecc3…
03-18 08:42:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7dd151…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	05-07 06:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	03-18 08:42
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	06-27 06:49
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	05-12 06:18
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	1	$2	10	+10	open	—	09-29 02:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	10-19 08:07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 07:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	11-04 08:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	06-15 06:16
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-05 02:26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 02:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	10-28 03:05
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	08-31 03:36
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-24 03:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	04-11 07:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-14 03:00
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-07 07:24
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-24 07:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	05-19 03:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	07-25 02:40
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	06-08 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-10 03:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	07-20 02:51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	05-25 06:35