Close-Essence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-17 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

48% 89% -$47

Politics

33% 100% +$15

Crypto

19% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$307	169	169	+0	No	+$7	05-28 04:59
will solana reach 200 january 5 11	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	01-09 11:03
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-07 05:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 140 159	2	$284	285	0	+285	No	+$1	04-06 10:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$280	141	141	+0	No	+$0	10-17 08:43
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$270	271	0	+271	No	+$1	01-21 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	09-23 05:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$248	153	153	+0	No	-$52	05-28 04:26
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	5	$241	122	122	+0	No	+$1	06-20 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$232	116	116	+0	No	+$0	06-20 17:24
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$225	226	0	+226	No	+$1	02-03 04:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 200plus	1	$175	175	0	+175	No	+$0	03-23 05:31
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	1	$155	156	0	+156	No	+$1	07-21 06:35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	08-22 10:26
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 60 79	1	$140	142	0	+142	No	+$2	04-16 06:23
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 August 31-September 6?	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	09-05 09:21
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 20?	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	06-19 06:33
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	1	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	03-10 06:56
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 20 39	1	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	03-10 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	06-11 06:25
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 120 139	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	03-31 10:26
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	1	$123	124	0	+124	Yes	+$1	09-05 09:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	04-25 04:44
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 40 59	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	04-16 19:40
Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	1	$113	114	0	+114	No	+$1	10-05 05:15
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 200plus	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	03-31 17:06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-24 07:05
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-22 10:46
will trump meet with xi jinping in july 2026 20260626153701907	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-21 06:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$88	88	0	+88	No	+$0	04-25 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 08:43:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0x6d3503…
10-05 05:15:55	Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$113	0xdd4cf9…
10-05 05:11:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xb9a1af…
09-23 05:49:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x81b3b9…
09-05 09:21:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x1c8656…
09-05 09:21:09	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x4ce445…
08-22 10:46:42	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x99f797…
08-22 10:26:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1c0fe4…
07-21 06:36:40	will trump meet with xi jinping in july 2026 20260626153701907	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4ca796…
07-21 06:35:24	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	156	100¢	$155	0x573d15…
06-20 17:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x0c4b94…
06-20 15:04:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x313adf…
06-20 14:39:44	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x73a13e…
06-20 14:13:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x161ecc…
06-20 13:58:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2d44a7…
06-20 13:16:59	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$103	0xd7fbf8…
06-19 06:33:41	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 20?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xa981ee…
06-11 06:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfa2588…
05-30 13:19:52	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x847598…
05-28 04:59:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	93¢	$157	0xf9be02…
05-28 04:30:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	89¢	$150	0xd8e0c4…
05-28 04:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	153	64¢	$98	0xe90d7d…
05-24 07:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xf0f6dc…
05-24 05:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0286ac…
05-23 16:35:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x04483b…
05-23 16:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xe0c4d4…
05-07 05:12:09	Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x5efdef…
04-25 04:44:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x41ae9f…
04-25 04:44:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x23f3ae…
04-25 04:43:32	Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x7cfec4…
04-16 19:40:48	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 40 59	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xbd6c55…
04-16 06:23:02	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 60 79	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x7be183…
04-06 10:43:03	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x8f5d56…
04-06 04:09:43	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xaf860a…
03-31 17:06:31	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 200plus	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xcae4bb…
03-31 10:26:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 120 139	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xf0a34c…
03-31 10:24:03	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x6b53cb…
03-23 14:29:05	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 140 159	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1c2ee3…
03-23 14:11:59	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 140 159	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef58c3…
03-23 05:31:07	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 200plus	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xcd1c2c…
03-10 06:56:59	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xa75258…
03-10 06:54:15	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 20 39	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x15a061…
02-03 04:15:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0x7cd6ef…
01-29 05:38:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1c51d5…
01-21 09:18:54	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	271	99¢	$270	0x0d67c0…
01-09 11:03:22	will solana reach 200 january 5 11	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x93c3bb…