Motionless-Washtub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.0%

Resolved

211

Trades

530

lifetime

Volume

$533

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-03 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

49% 3% -$2

Politics

28% 3% -$1

Tech

9% 0% $0

Crypto

9% 0% $0

Sports

4% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	11	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 07:58
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 06:18
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-06 10:07
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	07-28 02:54
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	04-04 02:38
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 03:16
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 08:24
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 02:13
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-21 08:23
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-16 03:23
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 02:49
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-27 03:18
will the cash initiative or counter proposal be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 01:48
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 0 39	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-11 01:15
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-30 02:18
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 01:48
ethereum above 1600 on april 10	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 02:31
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-08 02:13
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-14 01:25
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 03:05
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 08:02
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-08 02:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 09:16
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-06 01:48
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 07:10
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 02:12
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-09 02:11
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 02:25
will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 02:31
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in April?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-13 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 02:50:03	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc587dc…
08-03 02:49:02	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfb028c…
08-03 02:30:53	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0a29a7…
08-03 02:18:14	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1813ac…
07-31 02:56:08	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9be05e…
07-31 02:55:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8922a2…
07-31 02:32:57	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4e9981…
07-31 02:27:51	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbda006…
07-30 03:14:05	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e85c4…
07-30 03:13:24	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbfa381…
07-30 02:41:26	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf05fa6…
07-30 02:34:30	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1847c4…
07-29 09:34:35	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdc2b06…
07-29 09:33:41	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x13fa90…
07-29 09:15:00	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3ec46…
07-29 09:07:48	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8be61c…
07-28 02:54:52	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfeb45b…
07-28 02:54:31	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2e3e2d…
07-28 02:39:34	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x54273b…
07-28 02:37:24	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12d675…
07-27 03:06:13	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xad52fe…
07-27 03:06:04	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d7804…
07-27 02:21:57	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x43d38f…
07-27 02:10:42	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4ba3b…
07-25 02:25:06	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x90a1eb…
07-25 02:24:19	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1435e1…
07-25 02:10:07	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d38c5…
07-25 01:56:27	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x458758…
07-24 07:54:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd4d87…
07-24 07:53:31	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7cfbae…
07-24 07:32:01	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa80313…
07-24 07:28:15	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7ff13…
07-23 02:59:25	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbf6043…
07-23 02:58:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x38ed50…
07-23 02:49:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd0d1b3…
07-23 02:35:16	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66b3c3…
07-22 03:18:42	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd1ff34…
07-22 03:17:27	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad1289…
07-22 02:48:36	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd48a2a…
07-22 02:41:01	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75c8e4…
07-21 08:24:25	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x43f134…
07-21 08:23:46	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x442a18…
07-21 08:11:12	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xecc30c…
07-21 08:06:40	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x234c6f…
07-20 03:20:24	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb795d8…
07-20 03:19:30	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc17b94…
07-20 02:50:57	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7cded6…
07-20 02:42:24	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfac0d3…
07-18 03:25:25	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ee064…
07-18 03:24:04	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb77482…
07-18 03:07:39	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b419e…
07-18 03:03:15	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x559c1e…
07-17 08:05:09	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf37799…
07-17 08:04:13	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc0715e…
07-17 07:42:19	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd6701…
07-17 07:36:55	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x137005…
07-16 02:57:05	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2820ef…
07-16 02:56:10	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x818f21…
07-16 02:31:25	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04ea9b…
07-16 02:18:17	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x663d5c…
07-15 02:23:31	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18dc85…
07-15 02:22:55	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb19e42…
07-15 02:13:28	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cc912…
07-15 02:07:46	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x808399…
07-14 08:53:37	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8f2953…
07-14 08:52:55	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4948e7…
07-14 08:32:49	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f0409…
07-14 08:25:40	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x77b5af…
07-13 02:50:40	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf6c7f0…
07-13 02:49:05	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x300824…
07-13 02:26:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57480c…
07-13 02:19:50	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x518b9f…
07-11 09:18:31	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x944b44…
07-11 09:17:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb05a23…
07-11 08:45:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41a646…
07-11 08:40:52	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce4b3e…
07-10 02:31:47	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcc9d36…
07-10 02:31:08	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ad6af…
07-10 02:13:52	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd8a08…
07-10 02:02:08	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c0e79…
07-09 07:43:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcdb721…
07-09 07:41:41	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5ee25…
07-09 07:26:47	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9efde…
07-09 07:21:43	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe15b53…
07-08 02:46:17	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1fb2df…
07-08 02:45:46	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb0a9ca…
07-08 02:27:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe283c9…
07-08 02:24:35	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x758c39…
07-07 08:02:46	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb2e311…
07-07 08:01:59	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88fc30…
07-07 07:35:19	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf963e0…
07-07 07:19:26	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd44d96…
07-06 02:13:52	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29b127…
07-06 02:12:32	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x808c35…
07-06 01:53:46	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfda0f8…
07-06 01:45:01	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x657926…
07-04 02:02:20	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3dec7e…
07-04 02:01:43	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4665f6…
07-04 01:50:46	will iraq recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x963289…
07-04 01:40:23	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6f799a…