Realized P&L
-$72
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
773
Trades
1,265
lifetime
Volume
$6.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$60
15 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-27 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
78% 45% -$128
Crypto
9% 81% +$112
Politics
8% 48% -$80
Sports
4% 69% +$24
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +8 $5 100¢ $8 +$3 10-17 18:25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 10-26 14:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $5 91¢ $6 +$1 10-16 02:14
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-16 21:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 73¢ $6 +$1 10-14 21:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +8 $5 66¢ $5 +$0 10-25 21:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-16 07:11
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +24 $4 20¢ $5 +$1 10-09 09:35
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +109 $5 4¢ $5 $0 10-18 17:27
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +18 $5 24¢ $4 -$1 10-16 02:57
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +100 $2 3¢ $3 +$2 10-12 15:34
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 10-23 19:36
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? Yes +8 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-23 21:28
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +45 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-25 00:21
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +7 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-26 17:18