Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$144
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,524
lifetime
Volume
$12.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$102
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 06-30 08:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
32%
Tech
2%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No -19 $-4 96¢ $-18 $-14 06-22 15:23
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +56 $5 30¢ $16 +$11 06-05 20:35
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-10 +$0 06-22 15:21
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -9 $-9 100¢ $-9 $-0 06-08 12:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +71 $10 12¢ $9 $-1 06-17 11:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -8 $15 100¢ $-8 $-22 06-19 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $-3 100¢ $5 +$9 06-19 14:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-22 15:21
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-30 17:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +28 $5 18¢ $5 $-0 06-30 08:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +7 $10 66¢ $5 $-5 06-30 14:11
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +2,500 $5 $2 $-2 06-26 17:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-14 21:07
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +463 $132 $1 $-131 06-11 17:12
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +82 $3 $0 $-3 06-04 03:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-2 100¢ $0 +$3 06-02 12:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $-18 34¢ $0 +$19 06-20 16:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +27 $7 $0 $-7 06-18 12:12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 $-0 06-30 18:04
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-04 13:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 19:22