Studious-Way — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$441

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

281

Trades

3,140

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 08-20 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

55% 43% +$22

Other

40% 40% -$405

Tech

2% 33% -$41

Crypto

2% 50% -$6

Sports

1% 12% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	138	$1.1K	56,750	1,038	+55,712	Yes	-$105	06-07 23:03
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	37	$527	830	830	+0	No	+$237	06-09 21:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	72	$483	361	349	+11	No	-$16	05-30 14:15
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	42	$390	196	196	+0	No	$0	06-28 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	58	$367	237	237	+0	No	+$7	06-19 14:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	69	$364	375	375	+0	No	+$14	07-21 10:29
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	52	$335	302	302	+0	No	-$45	06-15 10:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	150	$329	377	377	+0	Yes	-$31	06-13 16:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	77	$317	276	276	+0	Yes	+$7	06-14 18:17
israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	54	$302	312	312	+0	No	-$78	06-22 15:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	83	$298	328	328	+0	No	-$32	06-22 02:41
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	49	$276	2,074	1,566	+508	No	-$136	06-11 17:12
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	35	$254	148	148	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 15:23
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	38	$220	130	130	+0	Yes	+$13	05-29 13:50
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	66	$218	192	192	+0	Yes	-$32	06-18 00:03
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?	45	$210	128	128	+0	No	-$10	06-22 15:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	54	$207	188	188	+0	No	+$7	07-02 14:00
israel closes its airspace by june 8	28	$178	714	411	+303	No	-$23	06-08 15:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	22	$166	161	161	+0	No	-$4	06-02 12:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	23	$163	120	120	+0	Yes	+$3	06-15 06:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	17	$163	181	181	+0	No	+$44	05-29 19:05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	17	$157	129	129	+0	open	—	06-02 12:18
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	15	$155	229	229	+0	No	+$55	06-28 07:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	27	$149	165	165	+0	No	+$69	06-14 21:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	54	$148	127	127	+0	No	-$2	06-28 23:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	52	$140	219	219	+0	Yes	-$10	06-17 14:35
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	20	$138	112	112	+0	Yes	+$8	06-17 13:30
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	19	$132	110	110	+0	No	+$12	06-11 18:53
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	17	$130	66	66	+0	No	+$0	06-07 12:58
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	20	$128	104	104	+0	Yes	-$2	06-24 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 10:28:43	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	69¢	$38	0x3455c5…
07-21 10:29:48	Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x13e6a4…
07-21 10:29:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xce9d47…
07-05 23:43:02	cs2 prv big5 2026 07 10	BIG	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0d5075…
07-05 23:41:40	cs2 fazeun vsters 2026 07 08	Västerås	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4731d8…
07-05 16:56:53	Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x382108…
07-05 11:33:02	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xaba3eb…
07-05 11:32:47	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc62177…
07-04 23:10:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0xd02da4…
07-04 17:42:13	Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x866314…
07-04 17:41:49	Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 0 France?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xd1b7ea…
07-04 17:41:37	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x57a2cc…
07-04 17:41:04	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 0 France?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xd58ac6…
07-04 17:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x50bd12…
07-04 17:14:14	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	5¢	$5	0xe20694…
07-04 17:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	20¢	$13	0xdad47a…
07-04 04:57:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	82	19¢	$16	0x4fd3f4…
07-04 02:19:19	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	297	1¢	$3	0xd281c6…
07-03 23:48:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x208f59…
07-03 15:28:38	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x302d5d…
07-03 13:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x991e42…
07-03 12:40:08	Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd4a1fe…
07-03 09:20:53	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	Yes	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x064c52…
07-03 03:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4f4453…
07-03 03:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb2b525…
07-03 00:39:28	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x36af29…
07-02 19:08:07	cs2 bb3 nem 2026 07 03	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0ac8bd…
07-02 18:57:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x16208b…
07-02 17:59:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc2b4fb…
07-02 17:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x9541e6…
07-02 15:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xad90fd…
07-02 15:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x6c3027…
07-02 15:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x0a6fe6…
07-02 14:28:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf96466…
07-02 14:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x56b885…
07-02 14:24:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0c71b3…
07-02 14:01:34	cs2 bb3 big5 2026 07 02	BetBoom Team	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xdcdb74…
07-02 14:01:01	will meta dip to 460 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5ee4d9…
07-02 14:00:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x000318…
07-02 13:46:05	cs2 bb3 big5 2026 07 02	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0441c5…
07-02 13:44:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x79b162…
07-02 11:23:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xab8d07…
07-01 19:10:13	will meta dip to 460 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0c538…
07-01 18:55:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x4f2549…
07-01 18:43:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5899e5…
07-01 15:28:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf00bf0…
07-01 14:01:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3fc9b3…
07-01 14:01:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x31ca2f…
07-01 13:50:38	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x14b3a6…
07-01 13:50:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xcb25e0…
07-01 13:50:20	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x76f9bf…
07-01 07:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x25330c…
07-01 07:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x11594a…
07-01 02:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcf19ea…
07-01 02:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc9d95c…
06-30 23:18:13	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x09297a…
06-30 23:05:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0x21fe2e…
06-30 23:05:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xfd7a68…
06-30 23:05:05	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0x74649a…
06-30 18:04:52	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf471d4…
06-30 17:35:28	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6a1122…
06-30 14:11:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xf4702f…
06-30 14:09:22	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x2972f7…
06-30 14:08:43	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0x2c0bdc…
06-30 14:08:40	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xe15e25…
06-30 08:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6bd21c…
06-30 04:33:56	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcb4006…
06-30 04:33:37	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xab285c…
06-29 16:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x23a4c0…
06-29 16:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x5178cb…
06-29 16:41:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb519a5…
06-29 16:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd1451e…
06-29 16:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8e2dea…
06-29 16:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd4a977…
06-29 16:23:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x73f6d7…
06-29 16:18:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb58956…
06-29 08:02:26	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xea0feb…
06-29 06:48:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x07a508…
06-28 23:35:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x0f88ab…
06-28 23:35:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0xaca649…
06-28 23:34:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x523c6c…
06-28 21:05:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4ea9ba…
06-28 21:01:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x25173d…
06-28 21:00:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0f29a8…
06-28 20:59:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcf6e6b…
06-28 19:32:37	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaf3b6c…
06-28 16:03:32	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals cyle larin gte1	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd5a823…
06-28 16:03:22	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals alphonso davies gte1	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd46f5c…
06-28 16:03:13	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5de91d…
06-28 16:02:55	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbfc38c…
06-28 14:41:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xddadfa…
06-28 14:41:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xc10909…
06-28 14:41:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x836340…
06-28 14:16:40	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x189ee9…
06-28 14:16:38	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$4	0xf091d0…
06-28 14:16:37	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x48370e…
06-28 14:16:34	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa2f698…
06-28 14:00:13	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x13cd54…
06-28 07:46:38	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x810548…
06-28 07:46:37	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x21789d…