Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$232
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$134
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 09-15 02:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
68% 100% +$24
Other
32% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -200 -$59 45¢ $-90 -$32 08-02 15:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +24 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 09-15 02:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +93 $10 12¢ $11 +$1 08-29 08:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +77 $10 11¢ $8 -$2 08-27 15:53
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +50 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 06-04 05:37