Sarcastic-Skyline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$282

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-05 08:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 70% -$1

Other

43% 100% +$14

Tech

7% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes		+7	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	05-24 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	5	$62	63	+63	Up	+$1	02-15 10:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:45 UTC	4	$20	24	+24	Down	+$4	03-19 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	12	$12	15	+15	Up	+$3	01-04 22:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	04-19 12:35
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	11	+11	Yes	+$1	04-19 12:32
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$10	12	+12	Yes	+$2	05-30 12:53
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	05-24 08:11
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	1	$5	10	+10	No	-$5	04-19 13:34
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 07:02
dax up or down on april 20 2026	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	04-19 13:29
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	1	$5	8	+8	No	+$3	05-17 14:22
will googl reach 370 in july 2026	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	07-05 08:10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-24 08:12
will msft reach 405 in july 2026	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	+$2	07-05 08:12
will amzn reach 248 in july 2026	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	07-05 08:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	05-17 07:29
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 07:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 06:58
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 18 above $128?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	05-17 14:15
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 07:04
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $430 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-17 14:18
will mu reach 990 by july 6 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	07-05 08:15
Will Solana reach $90 on May 17?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-17 14:28
tsla close above 430 on may 18 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-17 14:13
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 07:06
will ng reach 3 90 by july 6 2026	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	07-05 08:04
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 09:44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 07:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 14:02
Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 18?	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	05-17 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 08:16:23	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52d6d8…
07-05 08:15:07	will mu reach 990 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x390f96…
07-05 08:12:34	will msft reach 405 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x45dba8…
07-05 08:10:40	will googl reach 370 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x865ee0…
07-05 08:09:02	will amzn reach 248 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x339a5c…
07-05 08:04:38	will ng reach 3 90 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x03324b…
06-07 18:56:10	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x339894…
05-30 12:53:37	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2d5dc7…
05-24 08:13:52	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8beafc…
05-24 08:12:54	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x685a8f…
05-24 08:11:42	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x48bd93…
05-17 14:28:02	Will Solana reach $90 on May 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9a143…
05-17 14:22:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3e50ad…
05-17 14:18:09	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $430 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8c2d3d…
05-17 14:15:42	Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of May 18 above $128?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x41fe65…
05-17 14:13:43	tsla close above 430 on may 18 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b0373…
05-17 14:05:16	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x272f91…
05-17 14:02:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x624e4c…
05-17 09:44:55	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3fa3fc…
05-17 07:29:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x063c29…
05-17 07:06:26	Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf0d284…
05-17 07:04:51	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2d3ec3…
05-17 07:02:24	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa12191…
05-17 07:01:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x07976b…
05-17 07:00:27	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1c1cca…
05-17 06:58:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9688a3…
05-17 06:42:10	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5df9a0…
04-19 13:34:38	bitcoin above 76k on april 19	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa7ba5f…
04-19 13:29:26	dax up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x580b9c…
04-19 12:35:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe7e8c…
04-19 12:32:18	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbf32ae…
03-19 16:59:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0acfa…
03-19 16:58:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x576538…
03-19 16:57:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x625b17…
03-19 16:50:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x255b10…
02-15 13:42:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa99b26…
02-15 13:41:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf1f897…
02-15 13:40:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7f3b27…
02-15 11:43:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11272b…
02-15 11:42:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5a62e…
02-15 11:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0e9b0e…
02-15 10:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0d1f8…
02-15 10:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74b391…
02-15 10:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb55061…
02-15 10:58:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x67f908…
02-15 10:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x326c70…
02-15 10:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x243042…
02-15 10:39:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdd8d7c…
02-15 10:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2d2c36…
02-15 10:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x11d8eb…
02-15 10:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3ce345…
02-15 10:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfbdc81…
02-15 10:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4293e7…
02-14 18:10:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc43a45…
02-14 18:10:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x79b50b…
01-26 10:04:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0eb0c1…
01-25 15:38:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x613ab9…
01-25 15:11:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7de542…
01-25 15:10:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4508e8…
01-04 22:28:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0af75a…
01-04 22:28:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x136c87…
01-04 22:26:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x42317c…
01-04 22:23:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb724fe…
01-04 22:23:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x441468…
01-04 22:23:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5194a5…
01-04 22:22:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x673d49…
01-04 22:22:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfbbdf1…
01-04 22:21:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3b878b…
01-04 22:19:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x96edde…
01-04 22:19:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x26283f…
01-04 22:19:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc9df22…
01-04 21:56:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x607830…
01-04 21:52:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcfa1c9…
01-04 13:55:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc49cb7…
01-04 13:54:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe90555…
01-04 13:53:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x92931d…
01-04 13:08:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7f8607…
01-04 13:08:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9ed03a…
01-02 11:49:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x29cfdc…