Understated-Normalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

300

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-04 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

90% 57% -$9

Crypto

7% 65% -$10

Sports

2% 18% -$29

Politics

1% 0% —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes		+62	$50	80¢	$50	$0	11-04 06:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?	2	$779	390	390	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 20:35
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-16?	2	$708	355	355	+0	No	+$1	05-16 19:02
Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on week 1?	3	$655	331	331	+0	No	+$6	05-23 15:59
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$494	404	90	+314	No	+$0	05-17 20:21
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-16?	8	$409	399	10	+389	Yes	+$0	05-16 14:00
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?	7	$405	405	0	+405	Yes	+$0	05-16 19:40
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$402	202	202	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$2	05-12 18:54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?	4	$400	413	14	+398	No	-$2	05-15 20:38
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-05-17?	1	$398	399	0	+399	No	+$0	05-17 15:05
Will FC Ryūkyū win on 2026-05-17?	5	$398	398	0	+398	No	+$0	05-17 10:57
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?	1	$390	390	0	+390	Yes	+$0	05-15 11:21
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	2	$331	333	0	+333	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$2	05-22 17:43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?	4	$325	326	0	+326	No	+$1	05-23 20:36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	1	$324	324	0	+324	Yes	+$0	05-24 16:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	5	$312	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-20 14:43
Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-05-16?	3	$286	287	0	+287	Yes	+$0	05-16 07:12
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	2	$283	237	47	+190	Yes	+$0	05-21 20:19
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-17?	2	$282	306	0	+306	No	-$1	05-17 07:20
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	1	$280	280	0	+280	No	+$0	05-20 19:32
crint bgd pak 2026 03 15	11	$237	135	135	+0	Bangladesh	+$2	03-15 16:41
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	5	$208	167	104	+63	Gujarat Titans	$0	05-09 19:23
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-12 18:55
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-10 16:43
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	05-14 20:03
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$200	106	106	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 17:33
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-10?	3	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 06:06
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-14 19:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$164	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 16:19
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 17	2	$161	80	80	+0	India	+$0	06-17 14:39
Japan leading at halftime?	5	$153	80	80	+0	Yes	+$5	06-21 05:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:02:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	23	81¢	$18	0xc0102d…
11-04 06:02:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	39	81¢	$32	0x2d464a…
11-03 19:53:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xbee882…
10-04 08:16:04	Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?	$3,000	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x362b45…
09-15 20:08:39	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xa7e735…
08-05 19:12:44	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x62552d…
08-05 19:12:41	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x0fcd1b…
08-05 19:12:36	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xaed2d5…
08-05 19:12:35	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x760c6b…
08-05 19:12:33	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x3824b0…
08-05 19:12:33	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x0e5a1c…
08-05 19:12:32	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x70c95b…
08-05 19:12:30	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x964b48…
08-05 19:12:27	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xd94128…
08-05 19:12:24	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xbf48cc…
08-05 19:12:20	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xbc8f6c…
08-05 19:12:20	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x014392…
08-05 18:14:14	Will SSC Napoli vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc4b292…
07-26 10:25:07	crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 26	Zimbabwe	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0xe5e16f…
07-26 10:25:07	crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 26	Zimbabwe	BUY	84	8¢	$7	0x3dbd67…
07-04 17:37:37	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xc8d408…
07-02 18:18:29	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	76	3¢	$3	0xdb1668…
06-30 18:40:11	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xce8c89…
06-30 18:40:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x9d404f…
06-30 14:05:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1f9987…
06-28 14:57:08	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xdb2e42…
06-28 14:56:32	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xe78280…
06-27 14:31:35	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x74c014…
06-26 20:10:28	France to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x81c208…
06-25 20:06:02	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$27	0x829694…
06-25 19:58:55	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x12b406…
06-25 19:20:41	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Germany	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2134c4…
06-25 18:10:20	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdade03…
06-25 18:10:13	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb829c4…
06-25 18:05:55	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb51efb…
06-25 18:05:37	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb19191…
06-25 18:01:55	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7704bf…
06-25 18:01:14	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb78890…
06-25 17:56:29	Germany leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdfebd5…
06-25 17:56:20	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf1fed1…
06-24 18:50:05	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x59b2d2…
06-24 18:44:59	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd878f6…
06-24 18:28:22	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7ddeec…
06-23 21:05:20	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb897c9…
06-23 21:04:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x808695…
06-23 21:04:11	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa03527…
06-23 21:03:49	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd84db3…
06-23 20:16:22	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdb5f0a…
06-23 20:03:20	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6c327a…
06-23 20:00:31	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	80	84¢	$68	0x9328b0…
06-23 18:56:22	Portugal to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3590db…
06-23 18:54:29	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8d7968…
06-23 16:57:40	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2d2004…
06-22 19:33:52	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9d197f…
06-22 19:10:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x09f9b5…
06-22 19:10:01	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x14b590…
06-22 19:09:47	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xfb925d…
06-22 19:09:37	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa44edd…
06-22 18:05:29	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xe40283…
06-22 17:49:44	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa25471…
06-22 17:48:38	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x3d59c7…
06-22 16:48:53	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa0ec68…
06-22 16:48:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x050022…
06-22 16:46:59	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd66868…
06-21 21:04:35	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8fb9d5…
06-21 20:09:11	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xc277c4…
06-21 18:56:34	Belgium leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4e62af…
06-21 17:44:11	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x34f3bf…
06-21 17:34:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xf9c8e0…
06-21 16:55:49	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	Saudi Arabia	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x4cdda0…
06-21 16:19:41	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x92a910…
06-21 16:10:44	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcc752f…
06-21 15:34:37	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x981fad…
06-21 15:34:01	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xc232b3…
06-21 15:33:52	Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x38cdaa…
06-21 15:32:52	Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc2565a…
06-21 15:32:40	Saudi Arabia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe33807…
06-21 07:39:56	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x47c513…
06-21 07:32:19	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0xd6c44f…
06-21 07:18:49	Uruguay leading at halftime?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x75501c…
06-21 07:13:05	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xeff66d…
06-21 07:03:56	Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x7abc9a…
06-21 06:53:04	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1ffed5…
06-21 06:52:47	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x1076c2…
06-21 05:32:02	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3bd1af…
06-21 05:31:19	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x54a9e1…
06-21 05:30:50	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8f9a2c…
06-21 05:27:34	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x33f4e6…
06-21 05:06:13	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xea05c5…
06-21 05:05:20	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5849f2…
06-21 05:03:28	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4bd1ab…
06-21 05:02:40	Japan to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x81dc1e…
06-21 05:01:55	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x14db9f…
06-21 04:33:08	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6e8375…
06-21 04:21:29	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x01c8b1…
06-21 04:20:59	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x1a0e12…
06-21 04:11:25	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x121648…
06-21 04:06:26	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Japan	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd88198…
06-20 21:07:05	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0d0b69…
06-20 21:06:56	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbb96d3…