Elliptical-Dilution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.0%

Resolved

102

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$278.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$701

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-01 03:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Politics

45% 67% -$42

Sports

42% 22% +$4,874

Other

12% 39% +$102

Crypto

1% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$8.1K	4,067	4,067	+0	No	-$4	03-06 03:08
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$7.6K	3,799	3,799	+0	No	-$4	03-10 09:24
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$7.5K	3,760	3,760	+0	No	-$4	03-04 11:15
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	8	$6.9K	3,478	3,478	+0	No	-$3	06-16 07:07
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$6.6K	3,301	3,301	+0	No	-$3	03-23 11:00
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$5.9K	2,981	2,981	+0	No	-$3	05-09 08:34
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	6	$5.4K	2,739	2,739	+0	No	-$3	06-23 04:50
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$5.1K	2,553	2,553	+0	open	—	06-25 07:29
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$5.0K	2,495	2,495	+0	open	—	06-22 05:05
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	05-19 03:05
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$4.7K	2,359	2,359	+0	open	—	05-15 02:45
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.5K	2,281	2,281	+0	No	-$2	05-10 04:42
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$4.3K	2,186	2,186	+0	open	—	06-18 05:51
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$4.2K	2,127	2,127	+0	No	-$2	02-28 04:31
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$4.2K	2,101	2,101	+0	open	—	06-09 02:44
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$4.1K	2,085	2,085	+0	open	—	06-20 07:24
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$4.1K	2,071	2,071	+0	No	-$2	02-15 05:46
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$4.1K	2,080	2,080	+0	open	—	05-18 05:32
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$4.0K	2,015	2,015	+0	open	—	06-11 03:20
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.0K	2,002	2,002	+0	open	—	05-30 09:16
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$4.0K	1,999	1,999	+0	open	—	06-08 02:49
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.8K	1,919	1,919	+0	open	—	06-11 08:00
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	4	$3.7K	1,876	1,876	+0	No	-$2	06-07 08:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.7K	1,858	1,858	+0	No	-$2	03-20 10:31
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$3.7K	1,857	1,857	+0	open	—	06-18 09:40
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$3.6K	1,811	1,811	+0	open	—	06-17 09:24
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.5K	1,752	1,752	+0	No	-$2	03-07 17:15
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$3.5K	1,749	1,749	+0	open	—	06-03 10:53
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$3.4K	1,733	1,733	+0	open	—	06-01 10:25
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.4K	1,690	1,690	+0	No	-$2	03-23 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:35:38	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	224	99¢	$223	0x2e0b7f…
07-01 01:27:37	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	224	99¢	$223	0x042103…
06-29 07:14:07	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	309	99¢	$307	0xc2cc14…
06-29 03:42:02	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	309	99¢	$307	0xab8b8b…
06-28 11:04:20	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0x061316…
06-28 08:09:47	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	226	99¢	$225	0x039cee…
06-27 10:51:22	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	236	99¢	$235	0xf1d8ab…
06-27 09:13:01	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	236	99¢	$235	0xb17183…
06-27 06:32:14	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$201	0x9a8de7…
06-27 03:54:10	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0xda52a0…
06-26 10:37:35	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0xa5cf73…
06-26 08:27:14	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x53d042…
06-26 05:46:05	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	262	99¢	$260	0xd6c919…
06-26 03:30:35	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	262	99¢	$260	0x673f44…
06-25 11:11:11	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0xe27a02…
06-25 08:51:28	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0xe0dda6…
06-25 07:29:08	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	327	99¢	$324	0x23aed5…
06-25 05:13:05	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	327	99¢	$325	0x81d5b6…
06-23 10:15:56	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0xff7d05…
06-23 07:43:32	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$356	0x11d435…
06-23 04:50:40	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	380	100¢	$378	0x6b43ee…
06-23 03:51:52	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0x322afc…
06-22 09:41:44	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	294	99¢	$292	0xe6dd31…
06-22 08:39:52	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x7b2dc4…
06-22 07:50:10	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	294	99¢	$292	0x6fcd0e…
06-22 05:05:53	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	268	99¢	$266	0xef320d…
06-22 03:24:17	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	268	99¢	$266	0xbb2482…
06-21 04:54:17	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$248	0x64c046…
06-21 03:15:22	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x09a1a3…
06-20 07:24:26	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x94cc8f…
06-20 05:09:32	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	206	99¢	$204	0xce8d52…
06-18 09:40:04	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	515	99¢	$511	0x92eaed…
06-18 08:04:20	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	515	99¢	$511	0xc2c812…
06-18 08:01:17	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	346	99¢	$343	0x3a9dfd…
06-18 05:54:53	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	346	99¢	$343	0x4d6639…
06-18 05:51:04	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	359	99¢	$356	0xe4c07e…
06-18 02:38:50	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	359	99¢	$357	0x21de80…
06-17 09:24:31	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	781	99¢	$776	0xc72529…
06-17 07:09:43	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	781	99¢	$776	0x90b4d2…
06-17 06:14:34	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	878	99¢	$871	0x0fc778…
06-17 03:53:08	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	878	99¢	$872	0x2a3402…
06-16 11:51:04	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	850	99¢	$844	0xa14e83…
06-16 08:38:31	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	850	99¢	$845	0xb4c6d8…
06-16 07:07:09	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	787	100¢	$784	0xf248d4…
06-16 03:01:07	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	787	100¢	$785	0xa8392b…
06-15 11:32:55	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	736	99¢	$731	0x4fe35c…
06-15 08:59:58	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	736	99¢	$731	0x2a32e6…
06-15 06:59:39	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	873	100¢	$870	0xed1044…
06-15 01:23:19	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	873	100¢	$871	0x9ddf2a…
06-14 13:03:42	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,030	99¢	$1,023	0x137ff7…
06-14 07:24:28	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	243	99¢	$242	0x425546…
06-14 07:22:45	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	787	99¢	$782	0x17c637…
06-12 06:49:30	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	857	99¢	$851	0xee4b4e…
06-12 03:45:40	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	857	99¢	$851	0x11ba38…
06-11 08:00:24	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	921	99¢	$914	0xec443d…
06-11 06:35:13	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	921	99¢	$915	0x452069…
06-11 03:20:58	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	893	99¢	$886	0xc72ed7…
06-11 01:56:22	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	893	99¢	$887	0x7f855f…
06-10 11:20:30	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	875	100¢	$872	0xd2dd23…
06-10 09:16:21	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	875	100¢	$873	0x243294…
06-10 03:36:07	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	782	99¢	$776	0x264866…
06-10 01:40:03	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	782	99¢	$777	0x76eed8…
06-09 10:04:42	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	656	100¢	$654	0x723153…
06-09 06:45:27	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	656	100¢	$655	0xa80b42…
06-09 05:36:43	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x2fabc3…
06-09 02:44:15	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	955	99¢	$948	0xf9c34f…
06-09 01:23:37	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	955	99¢	$949	0xc8cfe4…
06-08 09:30:55	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	912	99¢	$905	0x0e6603…
06-08 06:45:00	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	912	99¢	$906	0x0d3e60…
06-08 02:49:00	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	853	99¢	$847	0xe25b92…
06-08 01:25:39	Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	853	99¢	$848	0xedc097…
06-07 11:14:22	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,014	99¢	$1,005	0x745937…
06-07 09:31:36	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,014	99¢	$1,006	0x3c4cd4…
06-07 08:19:00	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	735	99¢	$730	0xe80152…
06-07 06:32:28	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	735	99¢	$731	0xa567b7…
06-06 10:21:30	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,029	99¢	$1,022	0x88c4cf…
06-06 08:05:49	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,029	99¢	$1,023	0x94d568…
06-06 02:02:18	cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	BIG	BUY	143	54¢	$77	0x243c65…
06-05 04:46:03	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	711	99¢	$706	0xecf1c0…
06-05 01:59:33	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	711	99¢	$706	0x54e352…
06-04 05:59:24	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	753	99¢	$747	0x1eabad…
06-04 03:22:31	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	753	99¢	$748	0x7f3f5c…
06-04 01:56:04	nhl las car 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	Golden Knights	BUY	132	64¢	$85	0xac980f…
06-03 10:53:52	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,034	99¢	$1,026	0xe1b1b3…
06-03 09:22:19	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,034	99¢	$1,028	0x563593…
06-03 07:05:18	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	811	100¢	$809	0x2f0562…
06-03 06:58:05	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	811	100¢	$809	0x73d706…
06-03 06:55:51	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,020	100¢	$1,017	0x8ff7be…
06-03 05:03:40	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,018	0x5ebe13…
06-02 10:00:50	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,054	99¢	$1,045	0x9ba8c1…
06-02 06:59:58	Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	96	69¢	$66	0x3328dd…
06-02 06:27:43	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,054	99¢	$1,046	0xd13b16…
06-02 04:31:52	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	998	99¢	$990	0x9992b3…
06-02 03:23:38	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	998	99¢	$991	0x124019…
06-01 10:25:17	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,040	99¢	$1,031	0x0cb25e…
06-01 08:23:24	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,040	99¢	$1,032	0xd69c10…
06-01 08:20:45	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	670	99¢	$664	0xbc81d6…
06-01 06:16:19	Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	670	99¢	$665	0x1b5d6f…
06-01 05:36:15	Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	143	60¢	$86	0x1eea24…
06-01 05:01:44	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	715	99¢	$710	0xa707ed…