Peppery-Rug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$4.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$43

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-10 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

81% 67% +$2

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes		+930	$16	2¢	$21	+$6	06-10 14:22
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes		+50	$21	42¢	$21	+$0	06-10 12:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$427	300	299	+1	open	—	05-29 20:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 21:00
wti up or down on april 23 2026	6	$306	198	196	+3	open	—	04-23 19:36
will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	4	$278	200	100	+100	open	—	06-11 08:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	10	$179	100	100	+0	Qinwen Zheng	+$13	05-07 10:29
Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	5	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 16:04
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 17:14
wti closes above 92 on april 23 2026	2	$172	100	99	+1	open	—	04-23 21:13
will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 08:13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	3	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 22:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	06-06 05:19
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 08:13
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 11:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	3	$153	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	5	$139	200	98	+102	open	—	04-25 06:39
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$138	75	75	+0	open	—	04-27 07:59
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	5	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	3	$125	90	87	+3	open	—	04-25 03:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	1	$112	130	0	+130	open	—	05-17 14:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$107	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 08:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	2	$106	100	98	+2	open	—	04-24 11:04
will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	1	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 21:21
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	2	$87	100	98	+2	open	—	04-27 12:46
Set Handicap: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 11:02
will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	1	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	06-04 08:51
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	1	$82	95	0	+95	open	—	06-01 01:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 12:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmane	3	$79	100	50	+50	Terence Atmane	$-27	05-07 08:57
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka	2	$76	68	68	+0	open	—	05-25 10:30
atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	4	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-09 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:55:40	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x74a590…
06-11 08:13:34	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x6ec3d2…
06-10 21:21:52	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x3996dd…
06-10 21:18:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	65	74¢	$48	0xea20f8…
06-10 21:15:10	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x34f322…
06-10 21:14:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x64c300…
06-10 17:23:18	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x1520f5…
06-10 17:14:45	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x8b2bb7…
06-10 14:22:30	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	930	2¢	$16	0x843754…
06-10 12:17:13	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x7798ea…
06-10 08:53:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x631e4a…
06-09 18:36:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xfbbaf9…
06-09 18:35:13	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x69a2cf…
06-09 18:24:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0x1323a3…
06-09 16:21:39	atp altmaie tiafoe 2026 06 08	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xc58d36…
06-09 16:19:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x593a6e…
06-09 14:34:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x832f7e…
06-09 13:53:58	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7ec52c…
06-09 13:45:25	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xf25d64…
06-09 13:45:00	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xde8cad…
06-09 13:44:51	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x544624…
06-09 12:56:57	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xa3f433…
06-09 12:19:06	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6bd0a7…
06-09 07:38:52	atp altmaie tiafoe 2026 06 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x07ba1a…
06-08 10:00:24	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xbdd40e…
06-08 08:38:06	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x9d31ef…
06-08 08:13:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xe4f5fc…
06-06 10:05:30	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	Andreeva	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x01899f…
06-06 05:19:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xc1c1b0…
06-05 07:59:30	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xae4462…
06-05 07:59:30	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	94	24¢	$22	0x0f83ee…
06-04 08:51:13	will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x853e31…
06-01 01:17:53	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x896d27…
06-01 01:16:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xf85a06…
05-31 04:32:47	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb6392b…
05-29 21:00:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1af3ff…
05-29 20:58:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x960afc…
05-27 19:13:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x6d81c5…
05-26 18:06:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x95b5d2…
05-25 10:30:51	Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	68	31¢	$21	0x019fff…
05-25 08:19:15	Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x9e5a2e…
05-22 22:13:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x0d8ecd…
05-22 21:55:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xafd946…
05-21 22:41:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x40332a…
05-21 21:51:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	199	75¢	$149	0x401475…
05-21 21:29:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x305511…
05-21 17:33:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xe53770…
05-20 16:39:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0x36294e…
05-20 16:38:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	28	59¢	$17	0x0f36dd…
05-20 03:09:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xb8f097…
05-17 14:49:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	130	86¢	$112	0x4ec20b…
05-17 14:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xd11b0f…
05-11 12:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7feefe…
05-11 12:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	97	51¢	$49	0x77b3e8…
05-11 12:31:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	97	51¢	$49	0x09c36a…
05-11 12:13:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x5e8855…
05-07 21:40:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xac28e4…
05-07 10:29:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0x6205a6…
05-07 10:29:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x2e26b2…
05-07 10:29:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xd542bf…
05-07 10:29:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xf1b0b2…
05-07 10:29:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2dd232…
05-07 10:28:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x1561de…
05-07 10:28:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xb3e0ac…
05-07 10:26:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcf537d…
05-07 10:25:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xec31b1…
05-07 09:06:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x532396…
05-07 08:57:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmane	Zizou Bergs	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x032c38…
05-07 08:55:35	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmane	Zizou Bergs	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xed5f40…
05-07 08:55:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmane	Zizou Bergs	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xd7d453…
05-06 11:06:32	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x671f96…
05-05 10:55:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x3cc55d…
05-04 10:07:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0x5be479…
05-01 16:32:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x232ef6…
05-01 07:08:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x18a9e7…
05-01 06:34:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x0828c9…
04-30 12:14:12	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x33743e…
04-29 16:04:08	Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0xeff866…
04-29 15:53:42	Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x8f3bab…
04-29 15:51:26	Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x51629c…
04-29 15:47:42	Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x94df85…
04-29 07:07:06	Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x68f113…
04-29 06:05:16	Sinner vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5	Under	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x649f2e…
04-27 12:46:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	98	37¢	$36	0x295968…
04-27 12:44:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	SELL	80	31¢	$25	0xfed26d…
04-27 11:25:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	82	43¢	$35	0xade8f2…
04-27 10:36:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x15e17a…
04-27 08:15:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0x2f4788…
04-27 07:59:08	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	75	94¢	$70	0x376250…
04-25 06:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xfbaa21…
04-25 06:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0x0ce364…
04-25 06:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	65	48¢	$31	0x424efa…
04-25 06:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0xcb1541…
04-25 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0x8e6fdd…
04-25 03:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8ffe4d…
04-25 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	86	90¢	$77	0x3323af…
04-25 03:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x35048d…
04-24 12:06:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x01f700…
04-24 11:04:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	98	53¢	$52	0x530eb0…
04-24 08:34:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x650923…