Peppery-Rug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$7.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$234

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-03 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% +$2

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	+100	$93	94¢	$94	+$1	06-23 16:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	-100	$-84	88¢	$-88	$-4	06-16 13:48
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+100	$45	52¢	$52	+$8	06-24 22:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$427	300	299	+1	open	—	05-29 20:58
atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	3	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 19:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 21:00
will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	3	$322	150	250	-100	open	—	06-16 22:18
wti up or down on april 23 2026	6	$306	198	196	+3	open	—	04-23 19:36
will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	5	$281	200	103	+97	open	—	06-12 11:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	3	$246	100	200	-100	open	—	06-16 13:48
will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	2	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	06-19 22:01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen Zheng	10	$179	100	100	+0	Qinwen Zheng	+$13	05-07 10:29
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	3	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	06-23 05:54
Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?	5	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 16:04
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	2	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 17:14
wti closes above 92 on april 23 2026	2	$172	100	99	+1	open	—	04-23 21:13
will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 08:13
will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	3	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 20:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	3	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 22:41
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 08:13
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 11:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	3	$153	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 21:18
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 05:11
atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	2	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	06-19 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2AM ET	5	$139	200	98	+102	open	—	04-25 06:39
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$138	75	75	+0	open	—	04-27 07:59
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	5	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 18:36
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	2	$127	100	100	+0	open	—	06-23 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11PM ET	3	$125	90	87	+3	open	—	04-25 03:45
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	3	$124	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 17:21
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	2	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 21:22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	1	$112	130	0	+130	open	—	05-17 14:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$107	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 04:27:07	atp sinner brooksb 2026 07 03 set handicap home 2pt5	Sinner	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x799b2c…
07-02 18:02:55	atp tiafoe choinsk 2026 07 02	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x18ed54…
07-02 16:30:32	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x406c31…
07-02 16:11:41	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x24d482…
07-01 19:20:35	atp nakashi struff 2026 07 01	Brandon Nakashima	SELL	80	47¢	$38	0x3b149f…
07-01 16:41:56	atp nakashi struff 2026 07 01	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	55	75¢	$41	0x1adb97…
07-01 16:41:34	atp nakashi struff 2026 07 01	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x56ada2…
07-01 16:41:08	atp nakashi struff 2026 07 01	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf79c58…
07-01 15:29:40	atp augeral prizmic 2026 07 01	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xacd4f3…
06-30 19:30:11	atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x5ffc36…
06-30 19:28:25	atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x86d628…
06-30 18:11:23	atp tiafoe atmane 2026 06 29	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xcc0892…
06-29 22:37:56	atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	Ben Shelton	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xdc53a5…
06-29 18:53:35	atp lehecka popyrin 2026 06 29	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x36ab0d…
06-29 11:55:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe079b9…
06-29 11:53:47	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,380	0¢	$3	0xcd74be…
06-28 15:24:11	atp sinner kecmano 2026 06 29 set handicap home 2pt5	Sinner	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x8a34b7…
06-25 20:26:38	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xfa2f56…
06-25 05:11:44	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xfad81c…
06-25 00:09:37	atp draper diallo 2026 06 25	Jack Draper	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x38d6f3…
06-24 22:37:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x1f4d1c…
06-24 21:12:56	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x7672a4…
06-24 19:50:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x38b9f6…
06-24 17:21:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc7acd7…
06-23 16:35:52	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2305d2…
06-23 05:54:59	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x2420ef…
06-23 05:53:07	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x676509…
06-22 16:06:11	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	70	87¢	$61	0xdf0725…
06-22 15:50:25	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x776cc8…
06-22 14:43:25	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x87c335…
06-22 01:04:56	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x8db378…
06-20 15:00:58	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xc453fc…
06-20 14:39:40	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x43187c…
06-19 22:01:10	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9ab93d…
06-19 19:55:05	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xef2415…
06-19 19:49:35	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x9de19d…
06-19 17:39:41	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x6ada63…
06-19 14:49:34	atp altmaie medvede 2026 06 19	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xb1fed0…
06-18 18:59:58	will recep tayyip erdogan attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204738	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xe56b1d…
06-18 14:39:17	atp hijikat lehecka 2026 06 17	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x205124…
06-18 14:31:08	atp hijikat lehecka 2026 06 17	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xfd46a5…
06-18 14:30:22	atp hijikat lehecka 2026 06 17	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x825fe4…
06-17 19:05:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb9bb6e…
06-17 17:15:10	will recep tayyip erdogan attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204738	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x5ea65e…
06-16 22:18:01	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	SELL	250	84¢	$210	0x9948fe…
06-16 18:01:55	atp majchrz lehecka 2026 06 15	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x75dfc8…
06-16 13:48:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xc8ffd7…
06-15 16:13:43	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x59b9e0…
06-15 12:27:43	atp paul svajda 2026 06 15	Tommy Paul	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x4ed8bf…
06-14 22:43:45	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xd03b01…
06-14 21:22:03	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xedd36a…
06-12 15:39:04	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xe6a89f…
06-12 11:19:28	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdad83c…
06-11 08:55:40	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x74a590…
06-11 08:13:34	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x6ec3d2…
06-10 21:21:52	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x3996dd…
06-10 21:18:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	65	74¢	$48	0xea20f8…
06-10 21:15:10	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x34f322…
06-10 21:14:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0x64c300…
06-10 17:23:18	will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x1520f5…
06-10 17:14:45	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x8b2bb7…
06-10 14:22:30	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	930	2¢	$16	0x843754…
06-10 12:17:13	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x7798ea…
06-10 08:53:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x631e4a…
06-09 18:36:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xfbbaf9…
06-09 18:35:13	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x69a2cf…
06-09 18:24:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0x1323a3…
06-09 16:21:39	atp altmaie tiafoe 2026 06 08	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xc58d36…
06-09 16:19:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x593a6e…
06-09 14:34:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x832f7e…
06-09 13:53:58	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7ec52c…
06-09 13:45:25	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xf25d64…
06-09 13:45:00	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xde8cad…
06-09 13:44:51	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x544624…
06-09 12:56:57	atp grieksp zandsch 2026 06 08	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xa3f433…
06-09 12:19:06	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6bd0a7…
06-09 07:38:52	atp altmaie tiafoe 2026 06 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x07ba1a…
06-08 10:00:24	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xbdd40e…
06-08 08:38:06	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x9d31ef…
06-08 08:13:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xe4f5fc…
06-06 10:05:30	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set handicap away 1pt5	Andreeva	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x01899f…
06-06 05:19:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xc1c1b0…
06-05 07:59:30	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xae4462…
06-05 07:59:30	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	94	24¢	$22	0x0f83ee…
06-04 08:51:13	will wti reach 100 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x853e31…
06-01 01:17:53	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x896d27…
06-01 01:16:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0xf85a06…
05-31 04:32:47	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb6392b…
05-29 21:00:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x1af3ff…
05-29 20:58:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x960afc…
05-27 19:13:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x6d81c5…
05-26 18:06:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x95b5d2…
05-25 10:30:51	Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	68	31¢	$21	0x019fff…
05-25 08:19:15	Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x9e5a2e…
05-22 22:13:09	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x0d8ecd…
05-22 21:55:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xafd946…
05-21 22:41:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x40332a…
05-21 21:51:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	199	75¢	$149	0x401475…
05-21 21:29:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x305511…
05-21 17:33:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xe53770…