Scholarly-People — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$707

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-15 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

85% 58% -$174

Politics

10% 100% +$17

Sports

4% 100% +$6

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	+350	$332	99¢	$346	+$15	06-24 15:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+300	$276	94¢	$284	+$8	08-13 00:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+138	$107	56¢	$77	-$31	07-08 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$11	06-21 05:37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	5	$674	390	390	+0	Yes	-$74	07-07 17:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$600	619	0	+619	Yes	+$19	06-17 02:24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	3	$599	602	0	+602	Yes	+$3	06-16 23:47
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$498	0	500	-500	No	-$2	06-10 16:22
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	4	$493	530	0	+530	Yes	+$37	06-23 01:21
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	7	$332	350	0	+350	open	—	06-24 15:34
gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	2	$314	346	0	+346	No	+$32	01-14 19:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$276	300	0	+300	open	—	08-13 00:12
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	4	$229	0	250	-250	No	-$21	06-10 23:50
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$4	06-23 18:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$183	100	100	+0	No	+$15	05-31 16:09
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	1	$166	200	0	+200	No	-$166	07-07 17:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$134	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-31 16:08
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	6	$107	138	0	+138	open	—	07-08 12:25
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$8	06-14 05:36
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$65	303	303	+0	No	+$2	06-24 21:37
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	2	$51	52	0	+52	Argentina	+$1	06-17 02:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$20	174	0	+174	Yes	-$20	09-15 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 18:17:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	74	11¢	$8	0xb6b754…
09-15 09:05:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xab8448…
08-13 00:12:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x614611…
07-08 12:25:49	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xd9fd64…
07-07 17:53:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	SELL	263	77¢	$202	0xe5323e…
07-07 17:53:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	SELL	127	77¢	$98	0x9c181a…
07-07 17:53:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x50b516…
07-07 17:37:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	365	96¢	$350	0xb5a588…
07-07 17:37:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x1207f7…
07-07 17:36:25	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xec3e05…
06-24 21:37:01	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xadeb03…
06-24 21:34:43	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0xf9b8e6…
06-24 21:19:34	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xc0c333…
06-24 20:42:56	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x18ee9c…
06-24 20:42:53	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	233	11¢	$26	0x85e26d…
06-24 15:34:55	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x8fc7aa…
06-23 18:59:49	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x3e1f38…
06-23 02:14:46	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	135	10¢	$13	0xe9404e…
06-23 02:10:01	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0xe31751…
06-23 02:09:40	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	103	11¢	$11	0x1333b1…
06-23 02:08:56	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5eeba3…
06-23 01:21:02	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	74	93¢	$68	0x3f44a7…
06-23 01:21:01	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x699d7c…
06-23 01:21:01	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x268928…
06-23 01:19:56	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0xe66497…
06-21 05:37:02	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x0df291…
06-21 05:28:14	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	600	98¢	$588	0xe27fe3…
06-17 12:29:35	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x955044…
06-17 02:43:25	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb62ea0…
06-17 02:43:24	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xcf99fa…
06-17 02:24:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	619	97¢	$600	0xa11e5d…
06-16 23:47:59	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe35a25…
06-16 23:47:55	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xdd8344…
06-16 23:46:44	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x291698…
06-14 05:36:27	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa40e49…
06-12 22:31:46	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd45b5d…
06-12 20:25:54	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xc4f97b…
06-12 17:04:40	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xbc45ec…
06-12 15:17:01	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0x2c0cfc…
06-10 23:50:03	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	SELL	25	82¢	$21	0x44e893…
06-10 16:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x2ecc54…
06-10 14:29:40	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	SELL	147	93¢	$137	0x5f8443…
06-10 11:47:52	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xd770cf…
06-10 11:47:45	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x1e20ab…
06-03 14:45:09	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x222e35…
06-02 15:10:49	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x00a2f3…
06-02 13:13:37	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x30997d…
06-02 03:31:31	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xac1d6d…
06-01 22:52:16	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0e15ff…
06-01 17:34:27	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x6db01f…
06-01 17:08:48	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x93a722…
05-31 16:09:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe5ad8f…
05-31 16:08:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xc291f0…
05-12 17:32:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x1f134a…
05-12 17:32:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xd0c96e…
01-14 19:06:54	gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x11e2c8…
01-14 00:29:08	gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	No	BUY	246	91¢	$224	0xce12d0…