(anonymous) 0x4a90f5…7fc7c5 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$116
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved
633
Trades
1,486
lifetime
Volume
$5.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$176
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 10-21 08:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
61% 48% -$124
Sports
29% 53% -$7
Politics
5% 61% +$15
Crypto
4% 53% +$1
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15 $10 77¢ $11 +$2 10-04 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 90¢ $9 +$4 09-27 15:51
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +9 $5 90¢ $8 +$3 09-28 22:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +8 $5 95¢ $8 +$3 10-16 15:21
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +9 $5 90¢ $8 +$3 09-29 06:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +8 $5 94¢ $8 +$3 09-27 01:44
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$2 10-19 10:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 10-04 20:50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +8 $5 89¢ $7 +$2 10-08 17:57
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 90¢ $7 +$2 10-13 03:33
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $4 96¢ $7 +$3 09-27 03:56
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $4 98¢ $6 +$2 09-27 11:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 10-12 14:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9 $4 63¢ $6 +$1 10-19 09:53
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 10-13 01:59
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +7 $4 70¢ $5 +$1 09-29 18:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 10-11 14:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 63¢ $5 +$1 10-21 08:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 $0 09-30 20:02
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +7 $5 67¢ $5 $0 10-10 11:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +9 $5 52¢ $5 -$1 09-28 21:21
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +7 $5 62¢ $4 $0 10-01 05:34
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes +8 $5 55¢ $4 -$1 10-16 15:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 09-29 02:39
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +7 $5 60¢ $4 -$1 09-29 15:00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 09-29 15:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 09-23 19:51
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes +9 $5 41¢ $4 -$2 10-09 01:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $4 +$0 09-26 19:40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +9 $5 38¢ $3 -$1 10-10 10:26