Stained-Airbus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

367

Trades

1,784

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-24 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 54% -$344

Other

2% 50% -$48

Politics

2% 55% -$15

Sports

2% 62% +$84

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+50	$25	12¢	$6	-$19	05-21 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+25	$10	8¢	$2	-$8	05-21 20:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 21:45 UTC	23	$348	270	247	+23	Down	+$15	01-26 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	8	$215	120	120	+0	Down	+$18	05-01 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:00 UTC	14	$171	170	168	+2	Up	-$21	01-26 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:30 UTC	9	$153	100	99	+1	Up	+$12	01-26 23:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 20	10	$151	87	98	-11	No	+$21	01-20 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 19	7	$149	120	120	+0	Down	+$3	01-19 01:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:15 UTC	7	$136	150	85	+65	Up	+$37	01-26 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 20:30 UTC	7	$134	110	70	+40	Down	+$4	01-26 20:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 21	7	$134	70	70	+0	No	+$5	01-21 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:30 UTC	9	$134	110	109	+1	Down	-$10	01-27 00:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 20:15 UTC	11	$116	100	68	+32	Down	+$20	01-26 20:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 19	3	$106	100	100	+0	No	-$4	01-18 23:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	5	$103	70	65	+5	No	+$11	01-22 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	11	$100	227	190	+37	Down	-$31	05-11 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:15 UTC	9	$97	60	60	+0	Up	+$6	01-27 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$95	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 20:00 UTC	15	$95	90	85	+5	Down	+$4	01-26 20:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 01:00 UTC	2	$94	50	50	+0	Up	+$6	01-19 01:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 22:15 UTC	8	$92	149	148	+2	Down	-$12	01-26 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 19:45 UTC	11	$89	60	55	+5	Down	+$20	01-26 19:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-22 21:00 UTC	16	$87	123	73	+49	Up	+$1	01-23 00:25
bitcoin up or down january 24 1pm et	10	$84	75	55	+20	Down	-$15	01-24 19:47
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	8	$84	80	45	+35	Up	+$1	01-24 18:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 20:00 UTC	9	$83	70	50	+20	Down	+$2	01-25 20:15
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	3	$83	50	50	+0	Yes	+$17	05-01 11:44
bitcoin up or down january 22 6pm et	11	$82	80	80	+0	Up	-$5	01-22 23:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 00:45 UTC	21	$79	95	75	+20	Up	+$1	01-27 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 23:00 UTC	10	$78	70	69	+1	Up	+$23	01-26 23:14
bitcoin up or down january 19 4pm et	15	$78	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	01-19 21:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-20 17:00 UTC	7	$76	82	0	+82	Down	+$6	01-20 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 11:38:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x456d54…
05-23 00:56:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc02924…
05-21 20:51:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xedeb3b…
05-21 20:51:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x550d10…
05-21 20:51:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0x8135a2…
05-21 20:50:13	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe4e849…
05-21 20:45:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xa6b8bd…
05-21 20:43:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4f831f…
05-21 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xa51c52…
05-21 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4695cd…
05-21 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e0232…
05-21 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xeeca12…
05-21 20:34:56	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x25f0f9…
05-17 21:47:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x0bd4a1…
05-11 16:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x73bcb1…
05-11 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x248a2f…
05-11 16:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xdc990f…
05-11 15:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6cad84…
05-11 15:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x83c54a…
05-11 15:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd990c0…
05-11 15:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f5837…
05-11 15:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcef56a…
05-11 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x081cca…
05-11 15:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb2cf97…
05-11 15:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x542d7a…
05-11 15:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xb2219b…
05-11 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x62e5dc…
05-11 15:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xd9ea14…
05-11 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x22b0dc…
05-11 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x7cbf61…
05-11 15:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0e7e17…
05-11 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xec4d90…
05-11 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0x987215…
05-11 15:21:59	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x42452f…
05-07 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x123e9a…
05-07 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x18c296…
05-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xbc5d90…
05-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7c4a9b…
05-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3730db…
05-07 18:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0d1e4f…
05-07 17:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xac92a0…
05-07 17:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbcdaec…
05-07 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe251ca…
05-07 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd11ee5…
05-07 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf02848…
05-07 17:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0b2793…
05-07 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x99be97…
05-07 17:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa9d002…
05-07 17:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a9d19…
05-07 17:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbf696a…
05-07 17:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x491168…
05-07 17:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe9ad06…
05-07 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd70274…
05-07 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xb2db4f…
05-07 17:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xca8716…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf201ea…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe927d5…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x26cdfb…
05-04 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb993e5…
05-04 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x136419…
05-04 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x003511…
05-04 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd073e1…
05-04 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e477a…
05-04 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x837562…
05-04 13:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3955ef…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9574dd…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8a962d…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x186c63…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x171152…
05-04 13:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe9ad0f…
05-04 12:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xd976a6…
05-04 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x456749…
05-04 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x183423…
05-04 12:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0x0c82dc…
05-04 12:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0b292a…
05-04 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x044763…
05-04 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xca68a0…
05-04 12:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x13fe45…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xfb35f9…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xdabbc2…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xbc5883…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xb99cec…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x81c7d1…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x763d90…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x5a7f43…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1acf2a…
05-04 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x0efe3b…
05-04 12:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9de6ed…
05-04 12:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x639af3…
05-04 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb957e9…
05-04 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xd3c6e2…
05-04 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8018f8…
05-04 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x2d5b0f…
05-04 12:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf651ed…
05-04 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xff4273…
05-04 12:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0475a0…
05-04 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x8f48c9…
05-04 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6498a8…
05-04 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x35c981…
05-04 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x6811ca…