Stained-Airbus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,767

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-24 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 12% $-107

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769463900	23	$348	270	247	+23	open	—	01-26 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	8	$215	120	120	+0	open	—	05-01 16:53
btc updown 15m 1769464800	14	$171	170	168	+2	open	—	01-26 22:13
btc updown 15m 1769470200	9	$153	100	99	+1	open	—	01-26 23:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 20	10	$151	87	98	-11	open	—	01-20 18:19
bitcoin up or down on january 19	7	$149	120	120	+0	open	—	01-19 01:47
btc updown 15m 1769469300	7	$136	150	85	+65	open	—	01-26 23:26
btc updown 15m 1769459400	7	$134	110	70	+40	open	—	01-26 20:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 21	7	$134	70	70	+0	open	—	01-21 18:49
btc updown 15m 1769473800	9	$134	110	109	+1	open	—	01-27 00:41
btc updown 15m 1769458500	11	$116	100	68	+32	open	—	01-26 20:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 19	3	$106	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 23:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	5	$103	70	65	+5	open	—	01-22 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	11	$100	227	190	+37	Down	$-31	05-11 15:44
btc updown 15m 1769472900	9	$97	60	60	+0	open	—	01-27 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 12:14
btc updown 15m 1769457600	15	$95	90	85	+5	open	—	01-26 20:08
btc updown 15m 1768784400	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	01-19 01:16
btc updown 15m 1769465700	8	$92	149	148	+2	open	—	01-26 22:26
btc updown 15m 1769456700	11	$89	60	55	+5	open	—	01-26 19:57
btc updown 4h 1769115600	16	$87	123	73	+49	open	—	01-23 00:25
bitcoin up or down january 24 1pm et	10	$84	75	55	+20	open	—	01-24 19:47
bitcoin up or down january 24 12pm et	8	$84	80	45	+35	open	—	01-24 18:25
btc updown 15m 1769371200	9	$83	70	50	+20	open	—	01-25 20:15
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	3	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 11:44
bitcoin up or down january 22 6pm et	11	$82	80	80	+0	open	—	01-22 23:31
btc updown 15m 1769474700	21	$79	95	75	+20	open	—	01-27 00:58
btc updown 15m 1769468400	10	$78	70	69	+1	open	—	01-26 23:14
bitcoin up or down january 19 4pm et	15	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	01-19 21:46
btc updown 4h 1768928400	7	$76	82	0	+82	open	—	01-20 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 11:38:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x456d54…
05-23 00:56:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc02924…
05-21 20:51:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xedeb3b…
05-21 20:45:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xa6b8bd…
05-21 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xa51c52…
05-21 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4695cd…
05-21 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1e0232…
05-21 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xeeca12…
05-11 16:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x73bcb1…
05-11 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x248a2f…
05-11 16:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xdc990f…
05-11 15:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6cad84…
05-11 15:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x83c54a…
05-11 15:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd990c0…
05-11 15:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f5837…
05-11 15:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcef56a…
05-11 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x081cca…
05-11 15:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb2cf97…
05-11 15:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x542d7a…
05-11 15:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xb2219b…
05-11 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x62e5dc…
05-11 15:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xd9ea14…
05-11 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x22b0dc…
05-11 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x7cbf61…
05-11 15:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0e7e17…
05-11 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xec4d90…
05-11 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0x987215…
05-07 18:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x123e9a…
05-07 18:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x18c296…
05-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xbc5d90…
05-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7c4a9b…
05-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3730db…
05-07 18:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x0d1e4f…
05-07 17:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xac92a0…
05-07 17:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbcdaec…
05-07 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe251ca…
05-07 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd11ee5…
05-07 17:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf02848…
05-07 17:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0b2793…
05-07 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x99be97…
05-07 17:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa9d002…
05-07 17:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a9d19…
05-07 17:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbf696a…
05-07 17:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x491168…
05-07 17:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe9ad06…
05-07 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd70274…
05-07 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xb2db4f…
05-07 17:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xca8716…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf201ea…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe927d5…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x26cdfb…
05-04 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb993e5…
05-04 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x136419…
05-04 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x003511…
05-04 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd073e1…
05-04 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e477a…
05-04 13:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x837562…
05-04 13:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x3955ef…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9574dd…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8a962d…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x186c63…
05-04 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x171152…
05-04 13:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe9ad0f…
05-04 12:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xd976a6…
05-04 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x456749…
05-04 12:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x183423…
05-04 12:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0x0c82dc…
05-04 12:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x0b292a…
05-04 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x044763…
05-04 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xca68a0…
05-04 12:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x13fe45…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xfb35f9…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xdabbc2…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xbc5883…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xb99cec…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x81c7d1…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x763d90…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x5a7f43…
05-04 12:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1acf2a…
05-04 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x0efe3b…
05-04 12:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x9de6ed…
05-04 12:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x639af3…
05-04 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb957e9…
05-04 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xd3c6e2…
05-04 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8018f8…
05-04 12:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x2d5b0f…
05-04 12:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf651ed…
05-04 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xff4273…
05-04 12:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0475a0…
05-04 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x8f48c9…
05-04 12:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6498a8…
05-04 12:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x35c981…
05-04 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x6811ca…
05-04 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x16e5c9…
05-04 12:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa3b220…
05-04 12:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x9f578b…
05-04 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb06e6f…
05-04 12:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xcf59fa…
05-04 12:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xcc78bc…
05-04 12:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x447f1e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	260	$4.31K	775	05-11 16:09
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	234	$1.13M	35,144	01-27 16:06
(anonymous) 0xfb1c…963e	229	$52.6K	3,371	05-07 17:37
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	227	$394.0K	45,186	01-27 16:07
(anonymous) 0x3415…71b7	227	$1.05K	233	01-27 16:15
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	226	$534.0K	31,650	01-27 16:29
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	224	$658.4K	124,232	01-27 16:07
(anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b	224	$115.1K	4,367	01-27 16:29