Regal-Plaintiff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$281

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

379

Trades

1,488

lifetime

Volume

$125.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-24 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

74% 92% -$356

Politics

20% 92% -$35

Tech

3% 100% +$94

Sports

2% 100% +$20

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% 75% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	17	$2.6K	1,283	1,283	+0	No	+$10	06-12 23:06
spy closes above 745 on july 28 2026	6	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	No	+$28	07-28 20:00
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	4	$1.3K	656	656	+0	No	+$4	05-31 12:20
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	6	$1.3K	633	633	+0	No	+$11	06-19 02:12
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals christian pulisic gte3	3	$1.2K	630	630	+0	No	+$13	07-02 01:35
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	5	$1.1K	571	571	+0	Yes	+$10	08-05 00:33
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	8	$1.1K	567	567	+0	No	+$13	08-12 14:29
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	13	$1.1K	558	558	+0	No	+$13	07-27 19:08
will donald trump be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212479	4	$1.0K	505	505	+0	No	+$7	06-12 14:17
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte3	4	$986	503	503	+0	No	+$18	07-11 22:29
will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	6	$979	491	491	+0	No	+$3	08-08 16:24
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?	6	$903	455	455	+0	No	+$7	07-20 13:42
Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	3	$889	449	449	+0	No	+$6	08-23 21:42
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9	$889	450	450	+0	Team Falcons	+$10	05-09 12:13
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	12	$880	502	395	+107	Yes	+$16	08-07 00:45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	4	$874	442	442	+0	PARIVISION	+$9	05-08 21:26
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	15	$867	435	435	+0	No	+$2	08-28 23:25
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	7	$857	435	435	+0	Yes	+$12	08-18 23:18
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$833	419	419	+0	No	+$1	08-04 09:49
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	3	$816	415	415	+0	Yes	+$14	07-31 16:16
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 shots ismael saibari gte1	2	$797	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-09 21:48
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by ko tko	4	$796	400	400	+0	Yes	+$3	07-12 03:52
spy closes above 745 on july 20 2026	5	$796	400	400	+0	No	+$3	07-20 19:59
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	5	$795	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-21 02:11
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	23	$793	400	400	+0	No	+$6	07-13 18:05
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	3	$791	400	400	+0	No	+$8	07-03 00:41
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	3	$791	400	400	+0	No	+$8	06-04 07:02
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	10	$791	400	400	+0	Yes	+$8	07-01 19:33
spy closes above 745 on july 22 2026	2	$790	400	400	+0	Yes	+$9	07-22 20:00
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	5	$790	400	400	-0	Yes	+$8	07-08 05:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 10:03:08	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$174	0x8db9a8…
10-20 06:00:59	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc1fc81…
10-20 04:44:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb64770…
10-20 03:57:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$71	0xe30090…
10-20 03:57:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xab9718…
10-20 03:57:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x45e9cd…
10-20 02:05:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x94d843…
10-20 02:05:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6d803c…
10-20 02:05:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0dd771…
10-20 01:43:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1db4…
10-20 01:43:20	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x79f943…
10-20 00:54:15	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x6f9e69…
10-20 00:54:11	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0a6a2b…
10-19 23:53:03	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	177	98¢	$173	0xe777c7…
10-16 17:38:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xa56c12…
10-16 16:30:42	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0x9f80a8…
10-16 16:30:36	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf6041b…
10-16 03:51:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	98¢	$146	0x49c47d…
10-16 03:09:06	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0xb88ee3…
10-16 02:39:54	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0xc00e20…
10-16 02:38:51	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd83b0d…
10-16 02:38:39	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc43b6f…
10-16 02:03:33	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	155	98¢	$152	0x969296…
10-16 01:29:54	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	207	98¢	$203	0xd2d626…
10-16 01:22:34	Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xeb83d1…
10-11 02:22:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9bb283…
10-11 01:55:50	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x933e68…
10-10 23:39:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9c3d6e…
10-10 11:15:57	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x94f2ad…
10-10 02:07:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xfbb372…
10-10 01:01:11	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0xaa41bc…
10-10 01:01:10	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0xd9a488…
10-09 03:26:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x714782…
10-09 01:04:33	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x895468…
10-08 23:48:05	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xe59335…
10-08 23:47:42	Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	168	93¢	$157	0x15477a…
10-08 05:52:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xad42c8…
10-08 05:51:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x7c55e6…
10-08 05:51:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8e310e…
10-08 05:00:08	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2a4761…
10-08 04:14:35	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7e1aa6…
10-08 03:25:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x92c219…
10-08 03:00:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xa1b23d…
10-08 02:02:11	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x8d1b2e…
10-08 00:06:58	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0x022cd7…
10-07 23:30:26	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xd63164…
10-07 09:22:51	Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	Yes	SELL	147	96¢	$141	0xf1fd20…
10-06 02:57:57	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7a5074…
10-06 01:37:02	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xb88bb1…
10-06 00:38:52	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0x3f393d…
10-05 16:45:46	Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xad7363…
10-05 05:21:04	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$73	0x97628a…
10-05 00:29:14	Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x534834…
10-05 00:28:22	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x12e51f…
10-05 00:07:47	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x256faf…
10-05 00:07:41	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xc7ea3c…
10-05 00:07:37	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x0d61b1…
10-05 00:07:29	Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xc81918…
10-04 23:59:14	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd01fa8…
10-04 23:59:11	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	117	98¢	$114	0x70311a…
10-04 23:42:04	Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x503fcc…
10-04 23:41:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x14b899…
10-04 23:27:05	Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x7b9d57…
10-04 23:25:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x2ce96d…
10-04 04:14:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xb19946…
10-04 04:14:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc7bd9e…
10-04 03:29:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	206	96¢	$199	0xd04812…
10-04 03:00:02	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xef0f7c…
10-04 02:39:47	Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xff8e3a…
10-04 02:39:47	Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbdf6c3…
10-04 02:39:47	Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb21e51…
10-04 00:33:07	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x3fe107…
10-04 00:33:01	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xf8f696…
10-04 00:32:58	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd3bf14…
10-04 00:32:58	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa1572a…
10-03 23:34:10	Lula participates in debate before first round?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x53d096…
10-03 23:00:23	Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xc1818f…
10-01 09:00:00	Squirtle Price Over/Under $29.20 on September 30?	Under	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x61636a…
10-01 08:59:53	Squirtle Price Over/Under $29.20 on September 30?	Under	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0412b2…
10-01 08:50:17	Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $168.03 on September 30?	Under	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x86b358…
10-01 04:44:03	Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x594901…
10-01 04:38:29	Blooming Waters Premium Collection Price Over/Under $329.43 on September 30?	Over	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xaa0041…
10-01 04:03:33	Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $414.38 on September 30?	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2fc251…
10-01 04:02:30	Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $414.38 on September 30?	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd925ba…
10-01 03:44:54	Squirtle Price Over/Under $29.20 on September 30?	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xace58c…
10-01 02:38:08	Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?	Under	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x457152…
10-01 02:38:06	Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?	Over	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xd5a412…
09-30 21:32:08	Squirtle Price Over/Under $29.20 on September 30?	Under	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x114e8e…
09-30 21:29:48	Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?	Under	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xa5fd97…
09-30 21:29:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x66dfab…
09-30 21:28:57	Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?	Under	BUY	61	97¢	$60	0x7ecc3f…
09-30 21:28:18	Blooming Waters Premium Collection Price Over/Under $329.43 on September 30?	Over	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xb9e1b6…
09-30 21:27:27	Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $168.03 on September 30?	Under	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xc601bd…
09-30 21:26:53	Ascended Heroes Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Price Over/Under $414.38 on September 30?	Under	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x26116f…
09-30 21:26:30	Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?	Over	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x854ee2…
09-30 21:22:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0x50646a…
09-30 21:20:39	Perfect Order Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box Price Over/Under $121.84 on September 30?	Over	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x76ff27…
09-30 21:00:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0x7f977f…
09-30 16:05:38	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x70191e…
09-30 15:03:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa81a02…