Daring-Volleyball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

+$396

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

815

Trades

1,817

lifetime

Volume

$134.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$2.33K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-10 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

75% 54% -$73

Crypto

18% 43% -$143

Politics

5% 50% -$69

Sports

3% 48% +$126

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+1,100	$1,085	99¢	$1.1K	+$1	09-17 08:59
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	-872	-$802	97¢	$-846	-$45	05-13 07:12
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+500	$210	56¢	$282	+$72	09-22 13:10
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$112	54¢	$54	-$58	09-30 15:18
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+50	$49	100¢	$50	+$1	10-10 12:04
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	-11	-$10	93¢	$-10	$0	05-12 18:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	35¢	$0	-$1	08-25 11:34
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	-$424	82¢	$0	+$424	08-27 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	646	$94.3K	48,658	47,558	+1,100	open	—	09-17 08:59
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	112	$16.9K	12,332	12,332	+0	open	—	08-27 16:00
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	37	$3.3K	2,600	2,632	-32	Yes	-$25	05-16 03:10
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	48	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$44	03-24 07:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$1.8K	1,000	846	+154	No	+$6	05-25 15:13
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	22	$1.1K	174	1,046	-872	open	—	05-13 07:12
bitcoin above 72k on february 19	2	$1000	501	500	+0	No	+$0	02-19 10:09
bitcoin above 72k on february 18	2	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$0	02-18 01:30
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	3	$959	500	500	+0	No	$0	04-08 14:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$890	5,200	5,050	+150	No	-$9	07-18 22:09
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$880	1,000	500	+500	open	—	09-22 13:10
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	19	$813	710	610	+100	open	—	09-30 15:18
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	2	$800	400	400	+0	No	+$0	02-17 23:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	10	$799	401	401	+0	No	+$0	04-22 22:05
Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	4	$784	400	399	+1	No	+$0	04-08 18:05
will united states record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 445	2	$399	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	02-06 23:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 07:51
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	1	$298	300	0	+300	Kansas Jayhawks	+$2	03-21 03:02
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	3	$203	103	103	+0	France	+$2	07-09 21:50
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$202	105	105	+0	No	+$2	02-23 13:04
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-29 00:28
bitcoin above 98k on february 4	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-02 19:30
solana above 40 on february 16	2	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	02-15 18:15
f1 japanese grand prix driver podium hulkenberg 2026 03 29	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-28 14:29
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-11 09:27
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$1	01-24 09:24
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-06 14:57
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-10 17:14
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$3	01-25 14:13
bitcoin up or down on june 19 2026	6	$162	1,210	56	+1,154	Up	-$98	06-19 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 12:07:42	Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x2085ff…
10-10 12:07:22	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe76399…
10-10 12:07:15	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8febd5…
10-10 12:04:36	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xc933ce…
09-30 15:18:45	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	58¢	$93	0xdfad93…
09-29 15:54:06	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x3479f8…
09-29 15:53:26	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	58¢	$28	0xcd55e1…
09-29 15:53:24	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xf565f0…
09-29 10:05:20	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x9a6bd8…
09-28 08:52:39	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xf8cde0…
09-26 19:06:23	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0x2ee79d…
09-26 16:42:05	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xc0841b…
09-22 13:10:54	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	67¢	$335	0x785239…
09-18 21:21:01	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	57¢	$44	0x140a41…
09-18 21:20:42	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	57¢	$99	0x453be8…
09-17 08:59:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x95a925…
09-12 07:05:15	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd49910…
09-11 19:58:22	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	467	54¢	$252	0x970500…
09-11 14:07:03	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x010ca2…
09-11 13:03:40	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x3e59da…
09-11 13:01:12	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x0158d8…
09-11 12:59:03	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	66¢	$36	0x4ca1ef…
09-11 12:55:19	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xac5abf…
09-11 12:21:39	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf38cfc…
09-11 10:35:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	194	99¢	$191	0xd82527…
09-11 10:24:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x011964…
09-11 10:20:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x18ee4f…
09-11 10:15:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xdf970f…
09-11 10:10:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x67d6cf…
09-11 10:09:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x9ed577…
09-11 09:55:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xe26ab8…
09-11 09:54:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xe6d84a…
09-11 09:52:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xb2053c…
09-11 09:41:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x6ff58a…
09-11 09:32:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x2325bf…
09-11 09:14:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$128	0xc6dfe6…
09-11 09:02:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x39c664…
09-11 09:01:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc5077b…
09-11 08:59:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ab125…
09-11 08:59:06	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x160a0c…
09-11 08:51:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x95c6bc…
09-11 08:34:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x215538…
09-11 08:26:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xf21aa9…
09-11 08:20:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xb81092…
09-11 07:58:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x78e588…
09-11 07:52:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$345	0x6e06cc…
09-11 07:28:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x0e4dc3…
09-11 07:26:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x905eb1…
09-11 07:25:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5172e3…
09-11 07:23:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x1a090b…
09-11 06:49:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x49ea1e…
09-11 06:12:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xde5a98…
09-11 06:00:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb980bb…
09-11 06:00:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa9acb…
09-11 05:59:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53eee7…
09-11 05:32:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcc7ff4…
09-10 17:43:09	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xf5e1b7…
09-09 13:13:01	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0xda5f0b…
09-09 04:58:48	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	66¢	$65	0x335b11…
09-08 14:43:19	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x787f83…
09-06 14:50:42	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x78d8c8…
09-06 14:13:51	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x54ddbb…
09-06 14:07:54	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x5cc0b3…
09-06 14:06:06	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x42f113…
09-05 14:09:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	900	99¢	$887	0x723ed2…
09-03 02:30:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0xaf2240…
09-01 17:55:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0x43de1b…
08-30 21:53:51	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf7b7bc…
08-28 14:17:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	900	98¢	$882	0xf4d866…
08-27 16:00:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	375	61¢	$229	0x773091…
08-27 13:37:10	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	283	60¢	$170	0xf55115…
08-27 08:10:49	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	55¢	$138	0x04ee69…
08-27 05:44:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x412eb4…
08-26 14:43:37	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6143dd…
08-26 14:39:48	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x6ee4c4…
08-26 12:43:43	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	210	52¢	$109	0x3bafe8…
08-26 12:04:39	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9fd08f…
08-26 12:00:16	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x94ce4f…
08-25 15:23:49	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0xe42156…
08-25 11:34:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdf5d4f…
08-25 11:34:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e5eda…
08-25 11:33:49	crictopend ade ban 2026 08 25	Adelaide Strikers Academy	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7c1b1d…
08-23 23:47:54	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	55¢	$138	0x47b7f3…
08-23 05:10:15	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xaa3f04…
08-23 04:20:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	65¢	$37	0x46305a…
08-23 00:24:09	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x9648f7…
08-23 00:13:33	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	54¢	$270	0x08c92e…
08-23 00:07:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	41	53¢	$22	0xc74b09…
08-22 21:27:42	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x7628c9…
08-21 17:34:43	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xfb7489…
08-21 09:37:34	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	289	77¢	$223	0x2eba3c…
08-21 07:18:18	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0x399cf4…
08-21 07:18:15	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	161	77¢	$124	0x6c3e1b…
08-20 17:18:13	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x3a6d82…
08-20 17:18:03	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	109	76¢	$83	0x18fc62…
08-19 19:46:13	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x3855ff…
08-19 15:07:51	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x67803a…
08-19 14:17:34	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xe030c1…
08-17 11:46:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xe25df6…
08-16 01:50:48	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xc0d557…