(anonymous) 0x4b46f4…114451
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
36.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
849
lifetime
Volume
$1.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$172
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-09 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
64% — —
Other
26% 50% $-1
Crypto
9% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +74 $32 62¢ $45 +$13 06-07 22:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +38 $29 76¢ $29 $-0 06-09 15:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +18 $17 94¢ $17 +$0 06-07 20:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$1 06-08 16:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +15 $13 90¢ $14 +$0 06-05 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $25 27¢ $12 $-13 06-02 05:20
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +32 $23 24¢ $8 $-15 06-08 09:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +26 $11 22¢ $6 $-5 06-02 09:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $6 40¢ $5 $-1 06-09 14:21
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -4 $2 100¢ $-4 $-6 06-06 06:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -4 $-3 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 03:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +4 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 06-03 10:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +11 $5 30¢ $3 $-2 06-09 14:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +12 $3 26¢ $3 +$0 06-08 10:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +3 $1 64¢ $2 +$1 06-08 01:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-08 10:29
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-02 05:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -4 $-1 7¢ $-0 +$0 06-08 09:19
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +8 $7 0¢ $0 $-7 06-07 01:57