Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

Trades

805

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 03-26 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-0

Politics

38% 100% +$6

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	38	$155	329	340	-10	open	—	03-10 02:06
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	38	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	03-03 13:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	28	$90	48	48	+0	open	—	03-04 02:05
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	12	$81	41	40	+1	open	—	02-26 12:50
x banned in uk by march 31	34	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	03-03 18:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	37	$43	32	29	+3	open	—	03-25 22:51
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	29	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-02 08:33
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	9	$40	16	27	-11	open	—	02-28 06:56
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	10	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-01 07:43
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	22	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	03-04 07:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	19	$26	24	21	+3	open	—	03-25 18:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	21	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	03-18 02:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-26 12:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	17	$23	30	27	+3	Yes	+$2	03-25 21:16
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	21	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 23:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 12:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	03-19 19:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	15	$17	17	15	+1	open	—	03-25 22:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	13	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-03 12:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	13	$15	7	8	-1	open	—	03-03 23:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$15	14	12	+2	open	—	03-24 23:37
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 03:48
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	8	$11	15	11	+4	open	—	03-25 19:43
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-25 19:22
will scott bessent attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 11:17
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	03-10 02:44
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-03 18:29
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-28 00:11
lol al ig1 2026 03 03	7	$9	27	26	+1	open	—	03-03 12:09
lol t1a nsea 2026 03 03	7	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	03-03 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-26 04:49:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7a30b9…
03-25 22:51:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeeab4b…
03-25 22:49:41	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x1c25ae…
03-25 22:48:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x9d3844…
03-25 21:16:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa4364e…
03-25 19:43:57	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x60c9bf…
03-25 18:15:59	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6145ff…
03-25 18:14:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xb8aa0d…
03-25 15:51:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x72a9b3…
03-25 15:49:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x2509ad…
03-25 14:21:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x02634a…
03-25 14:19:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6314d7…
03-25 14:18:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xaf8316…
03-25 12:42:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2f634c…
03-25 12:40:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x33fd99…
03-25 11:06:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x237bb7…
03-25 11:05:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7795bf…
03-25 11:04:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4aaaf5…
03-25 09:36:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xdf2740…
03-25 09:34:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xc2e5a3…
03-25 04:16:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb3c563…
03-25 04:15:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xac3733…
03-25 04:14:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xea1b36…
03-25 04:13:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x316475…
03-24 23:37:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x511258…
03-24 23:36:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd1baad…
03-24 23:34:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xcf6844…
03-24 22:02:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6cf2f2…
03-24 21:59:43	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0aefb8…
03-24 19:04:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x699bc9…
03-24 19:00:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xb76a94…
03-24 13:05:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x600795…
03-24 13:03:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x17f98b…
03-24 09:24:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x319b84…
03-24 07:55:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x696cd8…
03-24 07:54:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x7f356c…
03-24 07:53:57	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x6e0089…
03-24 04:37:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7f57fa…
03-24 02:56:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x73ab12…
03-24 00:55:21	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x34d36d…
03-24 00:26:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb531c9…
03-24 00:25:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9bbb22…
03-24 00:23:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xbdadd2…
03-23 23:45:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd43c49…
03-23 23:44:31	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x2e2707…
03-23 10:11:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x1b6b35…
03-23 10:10:11	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x8db0ae…
03-23 03:49:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2e8a04…
03-23 03:48:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x59f98f…
03-23 03:47:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x2d68a7…
03-23 03:40:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6a234a…
03-23 03:39:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7e5abe…
03-23 03:29:31	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5275ea…
03-23 03:06:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x6df2b0…
03-21 20:53:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcf06d6…
03-21 20:51:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x370fd1…
03-20 07:32:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x80172c…
03-19 23:46:13	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x73451c…
03-19 23:04:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4412c2…
03-19 22:46:49	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x366b73…
03-19 22:37:51	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe25231…
03-19 22:31:55	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x676e47…
03-19 22:29:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xe25fca…
03-19 22:28:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe70b99…
03-19 21:23:33	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3ab065…
03-19 21:15:31	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x26e6cc…
03-19 19:41:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x114488…
03-19 19:12:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x69f2fc…
03-19 19:10:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x2a07f1…
03-19 18:12:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdad1ff…
03-19 13:22:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4d873c…
03-19 12:27:05	military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd2d374…
03-19 08:38:09	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x58d8de…
03-19 06:02:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x91e4cb…
03-19 04:42:33	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x697eef…
03-19 04:22:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x33a90c…
03-19 04:16:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc4231c…
03-19 04:15:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x197fca…
03-19 03:51:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x305e75…
03-19 03:40:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x864e67…
03-19 03:16:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x840874…
03-19 02:47:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f32b0…
03-19 02:29:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x61d8ea…
03-19 02:19:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x451609…
03-19 02:18:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x809787…
03-19 02:09:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x95cad3…
03-19 01:17:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5b25e1…
03-19 01:09:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x50ba3c…
03-19 00:55:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfdda04…
03-19 00:53:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x853c99…
03-19 00:27:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x401d75…
03-18 09:44:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd9d0f3…
03-18 09:42:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x3aecc0…
03-18 09:25:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x57320d…
03-18 08:17:29	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb93d65…
03-18 08:15:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x779610…
03-18 07:34:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xe5c81a…
03-18 06:38:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa406d7…
03-18 04:05:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x144c11…
03-18 03:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x01e85b…