Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
44
lifetime
Volume
$248
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$42
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-02 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-3
Other
35%
Crypto
7%
Tech
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 +$0 06-04 08:28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 +$0 07-02 02:54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-04 08:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-04 08:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-18 09:07
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 07-02 02:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $3 75¢ $3 $-0 07-02 02:55