Realized P&L
-$240
Unrealized P&L
-$564
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,926
lifetime
Volume
$215.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$2.15K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-06 12:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% +$178
Other
32% 0% $-418
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -526 $-346 86¢ $-450 $-104 06-03 22:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3,754 $486 11¢ $394 $-92 07-05 15:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +4,923 $876 $369 $-507 07-06 12:28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +470 $-3 64¢ $301 +$304 07-04 16:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2,102 $205 $179 $-27 07-01 09:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -118 $-79 100¢ $-118 $-39 06-01 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +648 $257 15¢ $94 $-163 07-06 15:20
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,595 $93 $69 $-24 07-06 05:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +309 $79 20¢ $60 $-19 07-06 06:03
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes -988 $-59 $-41 +$18 06-28 15:36
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -112 $-36 34¢ $-38 $-2 07-05 15:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +42 $-53 88¢ $38 +$90 07-05 16:39