Realized P&L
-$240
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,428
lifetime
Volume
$206.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$2.42K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 07:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
68% 50% +$178
Other
29% 0% $-418
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,642 $857 48¢ $797 $-60 06-14 06:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +4,183 $624 12¢ $523 $-101 06-12 22:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +2,947 $715 17¢ $501 $-214 06-12 22:20
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +967 $107 20¢ $198 +$91 06-13 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -526 $-346 34¢ $-182 +$164 06-03 22:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -118 $-79 72¢ $-86 $-7 06-01 04:20
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? Yes -1,736 $-93 $-77 +$16 06-14 16:57
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +296 $36 12¢ $37 +$1 06-15 07:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +30 $-37 80¢ $24 +$61 06-12 22:13