Assured-Footage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,456

lifetime

Volume

$225.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-26 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

65% 50% +$178

Other

32% 0% $-418

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	139	$14.8K	31,675	22,375	+9,300	open	—	02-28 07:26
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	91	$10.5K	9,775	9,031	+744	open	—	02-27 16:12
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	100	$5.9K	87,319	56,851	+30,468	open	—	02-10 03:34
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	216	$5.8K	17,803	12,594	+5,209	open	—	02-05 20:13
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	79	$5.6K	4,555	5,738	-1,183	open	—	02-28 01:26
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	26	$5.5K	4,814	4,814	+0	open	—	02-09 18:50
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	83	$5.5K	5,405	4,237	+1,168	open	—	02-28 18:20
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	39	$4.8K	4,295	3,828	+467	open	—	01-25 04:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	45	$4.6K	3,126	2,769	+357	open	—	01-27 17:05
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	31	$4.4K	2,069	2,761	-692	open	—	01-26 01:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	89	$4.2K	4,410	5,008	-597	open	—	05-18 23:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	108	$4.2K	3,162	4,438	-1,276	open	—	06-14 12:45
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	84	$4.1K	2,812	2,389	+423	open	—	02-24 20:06
iran strike on us military by january 31	27	$3.9K	3,919	364	+3,556	open	—	01-31 23:09
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	123	$3.7K	6,502	5,239	+1,263	open	—	03-22 01:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	179	$3.7K	4,601	3,722	+879	open	—	05-26 17:33
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	27	$3.5K	2,078	2,022	+56	open	—	01-16 02:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	30	$3.5K	5,347	5,330	+17	open	—	03-03 07:01
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	14	$3.4K	2,435	1,335	+1,100	open	—	01-15 02:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	77	$3.4K	3,286	3,213	+73	No	+$64	05-07 20:19
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	15	$3.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	01-14 02:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	27	$3.1K	2,878	2,814	+64	open	—	01-27 17:05
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	14	$3.0K	1,561	1,637	-76	open	—	01-25 03:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	21	$2.9K	3,322	3,322	+0	open	—	02-20 00:21
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	70	$2.9K	1,752	1,696	+56	open	—	03-15 21:51
iran strike on israel by january 31	13	$2.8K	2,565	555	+2,010	open	—	01-31 08:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	197	$2.8K	4,115	4,416	-301	open	—	04-11 18:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	40	$2.6K	4,398	4,239	+160	open	—	03-31 15:15
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	72	$2.6K	2,074	2,063	+11	open	—	07-25 17:26
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	42	$2.6K	2,616	2,707	-92	open	—	01-25 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 16:29:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	406	14¢	$57	0x01bf97…
07-26 16:00:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,598	8¢	$128	0x2e359f…
07-26 14:45:31	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	402	1¢	$2	0x69cce6…
07-26 14:45:27	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$1	0x0e1cf7…
07-26 12:13:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	87	13¢	$11	0x07bc30…
07-25 23:14:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	126	26¢	$33	0x0a9155…
07-25 22:14:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	122	27¢	$33	0xec8c32…
07-25 19:12:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	256	15¢	$38	0x8c0839…
07-25 17:42:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x8d3e0a…
07-25 17:40:49	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x07e260…
07-25 17:26:37	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	49¢	$26	0x3a5187…
07-25 16:53:09	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	237	1¢	$2	0x9e41b4…
07-25 13:20:18	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xfa5de8…
07-25 12:44:16	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xa76356…
07-25 12:06:03	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	364	43¢	$155	0xf042f8…
07-25 12:06:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	168	42¢	$70	0x6eedde…
07-25 12:03:48	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	274	1¢	$2	0x28401b…
07-25 11:47:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	88	41¢	$36	0x266aac…
07-25 11:45:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x3be0bb…
07-25 11:38:04	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x56f868…
07-25 11:33:43	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8f0d60…
07-25 11:29:16	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xf7851e…
07-25 11:24:57	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xeb26a2…
07-25 11:22:28	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x21c056…
07-25 11:19:00	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x844a40…
07-25 10:28:51	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	299	92¢	$275	0x6cc585…
07-25 08:48:09	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	154	91¢	$140	0xc1644d…
07-25 08:06:31	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	75	91¢	$68	0x3c2cd6…
07-25 08:06:25	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x20f044…
07-24 19:40:25	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	139	88¢	$122	0x19f790…
07-24 14:20:37	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xbfb9e7…
07-24 14:20:36	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd1785a…
07-24 14:20:34	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa955a3…
07-24 14:20:33	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xbdc8bf…
07-24 13:21:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xa3b992…
07-24 13:15:12	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xaea9e2…
07-24 13:14:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	8¢	$34	0xf26050…
07-24 06:09:45	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	71	92¢	$65	0x99870f…
07-23 16:51:33	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,039	9¢	$94	0x796673…
07-23 15:42:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0xe16be1…
07-23 14:55:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	322	20¢	$64	0xd6ea3e…
07-23 14:55:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x920d9f…
07-23 14:30:00	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0xf937e2…
07-23 14:01:36	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xc0c887…
07-23 13:56:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	310	7¢	$22	0xf0e39b…
07-23 13:54:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	309	19¢	$59	0x75dccc…
07-23 13:30:58	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0x2b0609…
07-23 13:23:42	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	80	68¢	$54	0x0c68d4…
07-23 13:10:46	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	254	69¢	$175	0xc808e9…
07-23 13:08:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	70	89¢	$63	0xcac303…
07-23 07:34:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	197	91¢	$180	0xc3617f…
07-23 01:29:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	161	90¢	$145	0xac4c14…
07-23 00:51:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	86	40¢	$34	0x473311…
07-23 00:04:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x5c6e0a…
07-23 00:03:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xdc5edc…
07-23 00:03:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0xd5ec5b…
07-23 00:03:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xbb414d…
07-23 00:03:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x596351…
07-23 00:03:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x3f56ef…
07-23 00:03:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x3304a3…
07-22 23:46:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf9bd46…
07-22 23:01:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	81	72¢	$58	0xfceca5…
07-22 18:00:15	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xbed955…
07-22 17:13:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xce659b…
07-22 16:50:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x55d337…
07-22 16:49:51	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	52	82¢	$43	0xf15d67…
07-22 16:48:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0xe9ae68…
07-22 16:34:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	72	48¢	$35	0x2fcb60…
07-22 16:01:09	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	247	1¢	$3	0x45f490…
07-22 15:57:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	168	29¢	$49	0x96a400…
07-22 15:22:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xeb4b23…
07-22 15:17:46	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	10¢	$6	0x26b769…
07-22 15:11:27	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe1ab9f…
07-22 14:53:27	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x5958bc…
07-22 14:53:25	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x9da040…
07-22 14:47:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	74	50¢	$37	0xf28ae8…
07-22 14:47:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	134	51¢	$68	0x6deb39…
07-22 14:40:01	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	129	83¢	$107	0x8e5973…
07-22 14:39:25	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x926573…
07-22 14:39:16	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0x42354b…
07-22 14:34:58	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$9	0xed9ed2…
07-22 14:30:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	93	72¢	$67	0xe25710…
07-22 14:21:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	188	51¢	$96	0x5d2bf0…
07-22 10:40:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	30¢	$17	0xfd2063…
07-22 08:35:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	29¢	$18	0xd31a4e…
07-21 23:10:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	84	72¢	$61	0x2c44b9…
07-21 22:48:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x8b3e0b…
07-21 20:47:13	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	822	1¢	$8	0x47c7ca…
07-21 20:46:07	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	1,377	1¢	$11	0x931bab…
07-21 19:17:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	343	16¢	$55	0x86c324…
07-21 16:24:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	326	15¢	$49	0xb7cdd2…
07-21 16:09:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	28¢	$15	0x8148fa…
07-21 14:41:58	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd35c39…
07-21 14:14:07	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	451	1¢	$3	0x6a24e2…
07-21 07:21:34	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x14378a…
07-21 06:35:24	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$1	0x573d15…
07-21 04:47:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	174	74¢	$128	0x586f0d…
07-20 23:42:01	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	155	20¢	$31	0x916685…
07-20 22:31:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb35843…
07-20 16:22:01	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	SELL	428	1¢	$3	0xa2906f…