Embarrassed-Barbecue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$689

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$116

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-03 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$8

Crypto

35% 100% +$0

Sports

13% 0% —

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+73	$72	100¢	$72	+$0	06-05 06:35
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No		+45	$44	97¢	$44	$0	08-06 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 19:53:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x57268e…
08-06 09:26:42	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xddc07a…
08-06 09:26:27	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xb0b83f…
07-05 06:06:28	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9c4ff1…
06-17 19:43:43	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45,147	0¢	$45	0x030bc1…
06-17 18:57:31	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45,147	0¢	$45	0x4a1c17…
06-05 06:35:01	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x5552b6…
05-06 08:01:18	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc1f79d…
05-06 08:01:00	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2eaa7b…
05-06 08:00:54	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1908c7…
05-06 08:00:44	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78cb41…
05-06 08:00:38	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9fd7b…
05-06 08:00:22	Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1be7d6…
05-06 08:00:16	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9e885f…
05-06 08:00:06	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0aa6d6…
05-06 08:00:00	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd43f02…
05-06 07:59:52	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x02b2ab…
05-03 12:50:28	Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe94efa…
05-03 12:50:24	Will XRP dip to $1.30 on May 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe70ae9…
05-03 12:50:18	Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x33d806…
05-03 12:50:14	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x89e21b…
05-03 12:50:14	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x43e80d…
05-03 12:49:52	Will Solana dip to $70 on May 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc0eeb…
05-03 12:49:46	Will Solana reach $90 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb78b85…
05-03 12:49:38	Will Solana reach $95 on May 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80b0c2…
05-03 12:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe71e48…
03-06 18:12:11	tsla up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	170	96¢	$163	0x2b6d33…
02-03 07:04:52	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0324…
02-03 07:04:36	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95723a…
02-03 07:04:30	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6c03c3…
02-03 07:04:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb27b30…
02-03 07:04:04	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaa5d8d…
02-03 07:03:58	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8a1ab8…
02-03 07:03:42	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfe956a…
01-08 10:53:15	Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2a3d9a…
01-08 10:52:55	will bitcoin dip to 78k january 5 11	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x39b4fe…
01-08 10:52:49	will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xca52d2…
01-08 10:52:33	over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x72973d…
01-08 10:52:23	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa87889…
01-08 10:52:15	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5d7e7c…
01-08 10:52:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0d1e5…
01-08 10:52:01	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6fd146…
01-08 10:51:55	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb06bbe…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
tsla up or down on march 6 2026	1	$163	170	0	+170	Down	+$7	03-06 18:12
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$90	45,147	45,147	+0	No	+$0	06-17 19:43
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$72	73	0	+73	open	—	06-05 06:35
will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	07-05 06:06
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	08-06 09:26
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-03 07:04
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-03 07:03
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 3?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-03 12:50
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-08 10:51
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-03 07:04
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-06 08:01
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-03 12:50
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	02-03 07:04
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-06 08:01
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-06 08:00
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-08 10:52
Will Solana dip to $70 on May 3?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-03 12:49
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-08 10:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-03 07:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	01-08 10:52
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-06 08:00
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-06 08:00
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:50
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 08:00
Will Solana reach $90 on May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:49
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-03 07:04
will bitcoin reach 106k january 5 11	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-08 10:52
Will XRP dip to $1.25 on May 3?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-03 12:50
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 5 11	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-08 10:52
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-06 08:00