Ornery-Start — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

553

Trades

1,480

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-15 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 48% $-30

Other

20% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 404 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$357	1,152	1,152	+0	open	—	03-09 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$213	117	117	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 17:28
btc updown 5m 1773048900	1	$81	158	0	+158	open	—	03-09 09:35
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 56 57f	3	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$25	39	38	+2	open	—	05-14 13:17
btc updown 5m 1773061200	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	03-09 13:00
eth updown 5m 1773062100	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	03-09 13:15
btc updown 5m 1773060300	1	$25	47	0	+47	open	—	03-09 12:48
btc updown 5m 1773063600	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	03-09 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$21	59	0	+59	open	—	05-14 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 15:24
highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 12corhigher	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	03-12 10:50
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 13 2026 24corhigher	2	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	03-13 17:06
atp fearnle cazaux 2026 03 10	3	$15	21	12	+9	open	—	03-11 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$14	17	15	+2	open	—	05-14 14:23
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-12 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$12	27	0	+27	open	—	05-15 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 14:37
cs2 aur1 all 2026 04 01	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-01 13:57
atp demin forejte 2026 04 02	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	8	$11	7	6	+0	open	—	05-14 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$11	10	9	+0	open	—	05-14 19:09
atp andalor paulson 2026 04 02	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$11	38	0	+38	Up	+$2	05-09 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	9	$11	21	15	+7	open	—	05-14 18:49
will ethereum reach 2100 march 30 april 5	2	$11	25	25	+0	open	—	03-31 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$10	34	9	+25	open	—	05-14 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 09:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x383891…
05-15 08:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd15923…
05-15 08:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1c6210…
05-15 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x1bdd58…
05-15 08:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xec9acf…
05-15 08:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xc9b392…
05-15 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5ae583…
05-15 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1c8033…
05-15 08:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x34b5bb…
05-15 08:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x81a9a8…
05-15 08:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d01f2…
05-15 08:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3ba4f2…
05-15 07:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3d3b9c…
05-15 07:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x13c87b…
05-15 07:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x87fb05…
05-15 07:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcc04a8…
05-15 07:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa387d3…
05-15 07:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99bc48…
05-15 07:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8c9c28…
05-15 07:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x06d43e…
05-15 07:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3c6f2f…
05-15 07:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9efc80…
05-15 06:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xea21c1…
05-15 06:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb417ce…
05-15 06:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x5f1598…
05-15 06:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1e62d6…
05-15 06:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xf3df7a…
05-15 06:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6be189…
05-15 06:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdbc0e7…
05-14 21:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xce1f9d…
05-14 21:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7981d7…
05-14 21:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x571d42…
05-14 21:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1bbb8a…
05-14 21:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x398fc7…
05-14 21:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x61cbb3…
05-14 21:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x64cfb3…
05-14 21:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xaa0e2c…
05-14 21:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x12a9ad…
05-14 21:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xdaacac…
05-14 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1ac9ee…
05-14 21:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x209e7d…
05-14 21:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8e7536…
05-14 21:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x90cda5…
05-14 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0e14c6…
05-14 21:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd13c39…
05-14 21:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x8e01e2…
05-14 21:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd344fa…
05-14 21:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfdc9f7…
05-14 21:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xcfdbef…
05-14 21:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x40b396…
05-14 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x73d8e2…
05-14 21:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x366a6a…
05-14 20:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x910fff…
05-14 20:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x338014…
05-14 20:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x4e791e…
05-14 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90798a…
05-14 20:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xd236ac…
05-14 20:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xea0d70…
05-14 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xd8ce45…
05-14 20:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2e73b6…
05-14 20:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8cf4c…
05-14 20:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x29fa28…
05-14 20:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xf37599…
05-14 20:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x591111…
05-14 20:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xacc5e9…
05-14 20:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x24e110…
05-14 20:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8fbb2b…
05-14 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d484e…
05-14 20:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x88c56a…
05-14 20:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6df726…
05-14 20:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3050ad…
05-14 20:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x27f17a…
05-14 20:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6919fa…
05-14 20:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xac72dc…
05-14 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xac7d6a…
05-14 20:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x964df8…
05-14 20:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1aae36…
05-14 20:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcb4f3d…
05-14 20:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd139cd…
05-14 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x812038…
05-14 20:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b2524…
05-14 20:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xc54e6c…
05-14 20:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8056aa…
05-14 20:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x04230c…
05-14 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb18d75…
05-14 20:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x2076e4…
05-14 20:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x130489…
05-14 20:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x88e5b0…
05-14 20:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x728a30…
05-14 20:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x52a665…
05-14 19:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xf77b4b…
05-14 19:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcd7320…
05-14 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x18d837…
05-14 19:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x772bcc…
05-14 19:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x20757c…
05-14 19:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x58901b…
05-14 19:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x788d89…
05-14 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xc0a3c7…
05-14 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x54b0d9…
05-14 19:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa2bfd7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	767	$2.06K	3,739	05-15 09:02
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	725	$753.1K	28,199	05-15 09:05
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	688	$154.5K	21,467	05-15 09:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	685	$177.0K	25,178	05-15 09:02
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	680	$156.1K	41,283	05-15 09:04
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	679	$169.4K	45,451	05-15 09:04
Joyful-Algorithm 0xf16a…f999	678	$40.1K	2,082	05-15 09:00
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	677	$238.6K	12,699	05-15 09:04