Frayed-Cream — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.5%

Resolved

Trades

7,722

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-03 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-7

Politics

28% — —

Sports

7% 60% +$0

Crypto

6% 0% $-11

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 1898 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	12	$247	322	377	-55	open	—	05-07 22:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	10	$161	158	158	+0	Yes	$-3	05-11 00:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$146	646	646	+0	open	—	05-06 12:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	9	$143	628	628	+0	open	—	05-14 12:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	5	$143	318	318	+0	open	—	05-14 13:33
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$128	328	328	+0	open	—	05-08 00:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$125	562	562	+0	open	—	05-12 06:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$123	611	611	+0	open	—	05-10 20:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$120	482	482	+0	open	—	05-08 00:40
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	16	$116	489	489	+0	open	—	05-10 18:04
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$82	70	70	+0	open	—	05-13 19:04
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	2	$76	133	133	+0	open	—	05-12 15:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$54	73	73	+0	open	—	05-11 15:51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	2	$53	63	63	+0	open	—	05-06 13:36
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	2	$52	52	52	+0	open	—	05-15 04:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$50	47	47	+0	open	—	05-09 12:58
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$49	66	66	+0	open	—	05-13 10:06
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$33	0	227	-227	open	—	05-12 13:27
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$17	70	70	+0	open	—	05-14 15:28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	2	$17	42	42	+0	open	—	06-03 13:49
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	0	170	-170	open	—	05-12 13:27
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	16	$14	6,000	4,795	+1,205	open	—	04-15 07:29
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	45	$11	4,979	3,999	+980	open	—	04-28 02:17
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	8	$9	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-21 19:33
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	136	$9	4,357	4,356	+1	No	$-0	04-28 03:12
Will Liam Delap be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	62	$8	4,112	4,111	+1	open	—	04-21 14:26
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	10	$8	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-22 23:12
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	29	$8	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-24 13:30
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 520 539	12	$8	4,000	2,999	+1,001	open	—	04-16 15:29
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 100 119	7	$7	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-17 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 13:49:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x5da5f1…
06-03 13:49:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x042d72…
05-16 09:26:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf80b6c…
05-15 04:05:00	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0xefb621…
05-15 04:00:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x5d64b5…
05-14 15:28:27	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0x14ffa2…
05-14 15:26:49	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x38358f…
05-14 13:33:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	SELL	128	20¢	$26	0x6aaa83…
05-14 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	101	22¢	$22	0xd98bc7…
05-14 13:32:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x738036…
05-14 12:07:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	299	10¢	$29	0x331d6d…
05-14 12:06:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	299	12¢	$36	0x686402…
05-14 06:46:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	212	10¢	$20	0xa96715…
05-14 06:44:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	192	12¢	$23	0x0d6d62…
05-14 06:43:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x572fde…
05-14 06:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xcecfbf…
05-14 06:43:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe3a00f…
05-14 06:06:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	97	13¢	$12	0x6622b1…
05-14 06:01:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	97	16¢	$16	0xd3ab5f…
05-13 19:04:11	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	21	82¢	$18	0x5647ca…
05-13 19:00:37	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xcc05fb…
05-13 18:59:36	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6828e9…
05-13 18:59:33	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc54229…
05-13 18:59:31	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3e1585…
05-13 18:59:10	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x82c9fe…
05-13 18:55:29	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb8f61a…
05-13 18:51:05	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x4250b9…
05-13 18:51:03	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xc50e96…
05-13 18:03:55	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	23	81¢	$19	0x22e4dd…
05-13 17:59:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0x60c7af…
05-13 10:06:47	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	36¢	$24	0x5b68c9…
05-13 10:06:12	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xf072f5…
05-12 15:17:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	SELL	133	25¢	$33	0xd516a5…
05-12 15:15:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	32¢	$43	0xbd2235…
05-12 13:47:16	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	SELL	191	23¢	$44	0x660234…
05-12 13:43:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	191	24¢	$46	0xb26621…
05-12 13:27:07	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	9¢	$15	0x6ba48f…
05-12 13:27:05	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	227	14¢	$33	0xfee8d6…
05-12 06:34:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	216	10¢	$22	0x426fa5…
05-12 06:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	216	11¢	$24	0xa9e7e1…
05-11 15:51:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	73	36¢	$26	0xa5db55…
05-11 15:43:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	73	38¢	$28	0x608056…
05-11 00:46:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x5643bd…
05-11 00:45:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x2cc2c8…
05-10 21:35:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0x3c425d…
05-10 21:33:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xf3d8b4…
05-10 20:30:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	9¢	$22	0x40b039…
05-10 20:28:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	10¢	$25	0xe50bd3…
05-10 19:25:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x2823d0…
05-10 19:22:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0xe11ed1…
05-10 18:04:57	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	10¢	$8	0x4a9749…
05-10 18:00:33	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0x578ea7…
05-10 17:59:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	11¢	$11	0x513459…
05-10 17:55:35	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x7db691…
05-10 17:55:35	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x190ef3…
05-10 17:55:32	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xbee8c7…
05-10 17:54:55	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x5fb26f…
05-10 17:50:33	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x68fc5d…
05-10 17:49:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xbd3e46…
05-10 17:47:15	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xa8a371…
05-10 17:47:06	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x6bb43c…
05-10 17:47:04	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x1975e9…
05-10 16:54:41	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	223	13¢	$28	0x5dafdc…
05-10 16:52:00	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	13¢	$29	0x762a3f…
05-10 14:08:53	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xe57c1e…
05-10 14:07:22	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x99b6d1…
05-09 18:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0x20393b…
05-09 18:37:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x49c1af…
05-09 13:13:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	365	9¢	$33	0x7ee11b…
05-09 13:10:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	12¢	$44	0xaf68ff…
05-09 12:58:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	47	51¢	$24	0xa1e1ff…
05-09 12:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x5fafe5…
05-08 18:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	42	75¢	$32	0x2d13cc…
05-08 18:01:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x4482e5…
05-08 00:40:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	482	10¢	$48	0xf09ec1…
05-08 00:38:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	482	15¢	$72	0x2e25e4…
05-08 00:15:11	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	328	20¢	$66	0x49ed23…
05-08 00:13:38	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	328	19¢	$62	0x936a6f…
05-07 22:39:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	77	22¢	$17	0xe76aac…
05-07 22:39:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	77	22¢	$17	0x351416…
05-07 19:12:51	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	138	21¢	$29	0x77651e…
05-07 19:07:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	83	28¢	$23	0x4c4c10…
05-07 18:47:42	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0xdc169d…
05-07 18:44:00	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xb4a5b2…
05-07 18:38:55	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x96ae5c…
05-07 18:38:52	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x84b836…
05-07 18:27:33	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0xccea8f…
05-07 18:23:14	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	45	30¢	$13	0x4e8757…
05-07 13:19:49	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	65¢	$57	0x34299a…
05-07 13:19:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0x31def1…
05-06 14:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	307	0¢	$0	0x810300…
05-06 14:21:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	693	0¢	$1	0xed6429…
05-06 13:36:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	SELL	63	34¢	$21	0x92bddc…
05-06 13:32:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	Yes	BUY	63	50¢	$31	0x80f2e7…
05-06 12:51:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	281	11¢	$31	0x981e8c…
05-06 12:46:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	281	11¢	$31	0xc4b9a7…
05-06 10:20:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	365	11¢	$40	0x87d7dd…
05-06 10:18:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	365	12¢	$44	0xd3b570…
05-06 09:11:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	346	11¢	$38	0xbef881…
05-06 09:10:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	425	0¢	$0	0x5a8850…