Full-Porter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$103

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-16 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

82% 100% +$16

Politics

13% 100% +$3

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		-104	-$100	99¢	$-103	-$3	05-10 07:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$415	281	140	+140	No	+$2	06-03 07:01
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 260 279	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	01-04 15:57
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	05-10 07:15
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	02-02 13:07
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	04-21 07:24
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	1	$229	230	0	+230	No	+$1	04-11 06:35
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 40 64	1	$220	224	0	+224	No	+$4	03-07 06:41
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	1	$210	211	0	+211	No	+$1	07-11 05:41
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-03 07:03
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	1	$176	177	0	+177	No	+$1	09-07 05:40
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$175	175	0	+175	No	+$0	02-09 11:56
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	1	$170	171	0	+171	No	+$1	03-20 06:11
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$170	171	0	+171	No	+$1	09-07 05:40
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	08-04 07:08
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	06-17 06:09
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-23 09:01
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	07-26 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 11?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	07-11 05:45
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	01-16 08:31
will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	08-04 07:09
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	1	$115	117	0	+117	No	+$2	01-23 01:59
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	01-16 08:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$110	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-28 23:30
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$100	0	104	-104	open	—	05-10 07:14
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$94	94	0	+94	No	+$0	05-10 07:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	10-16 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 4?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	08-04 07:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 05:23:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xe79abd…
09-07 05:40:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0x54b8f9…
09-07 05:40:27	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x4b1f7a…
08-04 07:09:24	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3083dc…
08-04 07:08:38	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xb2b3cf…
08-04 07:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 4?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x04ddf7…
07-26 13:01:07	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x8fc167…
07-11 05:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 11?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x8e939f…
07-11 05:41:17	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x13ceb0…
06-23 09:01:16	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1d921f…
06-17 06:09:40	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x4d6105…
06-03 07:03:34	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x55809c…
06-03 07:01:11	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0xa79e23…
05-28 23:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x3dd13c…
05-28 08:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xbb2064…
05-18 17:57:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	281	99¢	$277	0x4249b0…
05-10 07:15:54	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x1ccac3…
05-10 07:15:25	Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7e6944…
05-10 07:14:18	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0xed566e…
04-21 07:24:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x86af3a…
04-11 06:35:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x20eeff…
03-20 06:11:33	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x44d4c1…
03-07 06:41:25	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 40 64	No	BUY	224	98¢	$220	0x0d6d4f…
02-09 11:56:35	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x541f0c…
02-02 13:07:04	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x7b8f43…
01-23 01:59:58	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 540 559	No	BUY	117	99¢	$115	0xdd7b39…
01-16 08:31:52	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xee74cb…
01-16 08:30:32	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x49e744…
01-04 15:57:27	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 260 279	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0xc2d582…