Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
142
lifetime
Volume
$510
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$8
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-30 22:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
38%
Crypto
30%
Politics
20%
Tech
10%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +20 $2 14¢ $3 +$1 06-26 17:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-2 30¢ $-1 +$1 06-14 13:44
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 30¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 09:46
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +9 $2 16¢ $1 $-0 06-26 17:05
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1 $-0 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 17:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 16:53
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +0 $-0 86¢ $0 +$0 06-06 21:21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 $-0 06-17 04:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 06-11 21:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +0 $-0 76¢ $0 +$0 06-11 17:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +0 $1 74¢ $0 $-1 06-09 01:48
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 64¢ $0 $-1 06-26 06:54
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +0 $1 62¢ $0 $-1 06-15 18:24
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $-0 55¢ $0 +$0 06-30 22:12
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 54¢ $0 +$0 06-16 09:51
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 51¢ $0 $-0 06-25 08:50
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $0 49¢ $0 $-0 06-16 13:19
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 24¢ $0 $-0 06-15 14:14
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +0 $1 43¢ $0 $-1 06-04 10:18
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +0 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-12 04:23
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +0 $0 33¢ $0 $-0 06-11 18:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-17 02:18
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-15 18:49
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-10 18:40
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +0 $2 16¢ $0 $-2 06-24 01:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 05:14