Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
167
lifetime
Volume
$625
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$5
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-20 14:25
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
44%
Crypto
27%
Politics
19%
Tech
8%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 58¢ $3 +$0 07-20 14:25
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 26¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 09:46
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1 $-0 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 17:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 07-14 12:58
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +0 $-0 92¢ $0 +$0 06-06 21:21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-17 04:35
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +0 $-0 81¢ $0 +$0 06-11 17:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +0 $1 80¢ $0 $-1 06-09 01:48
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 74¢ $0 $-1 06-26 06:54
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $-0 07-20 05:51
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +0 $0 34¢ $0 $-0 06-15 14:14
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $0 64¢ $0 $-0 06-16 13:19
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +0 $1 55¢ $0 $-1 06-15 18:24
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 52¢ $0 $-0 07-06 17:22
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 52¢ $0 +$0 06-16 09:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 50¢ $0 $-0 06-11 21:55
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +0 $0 47¢ $0 $-0 06-11 18:18
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $-0 06-25 08:50
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 $-0 07-14 05:16
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +0 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-12 04:23
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 07-14 12:27
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-15 18:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-17 02:18
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +0 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 07-03 06:21
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +0 $2 10¢ $0 $-2 06-24 01:47
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 18:40
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-04 10:18
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 05:14