Realized P&L
+$26
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
126
Trades
8,757
lifetime
Volume
$1.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$0
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-26
last 10-27 09:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
50% 37% +$8
Other
36% 46% +$28
Sports
15% 38% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 09-12 05:30
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 09-02 21:49
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-24 17:24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes +0 -$2 1¢ $0 +$2 09-22 10:19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-01 12:49
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$19 0¢ $0 +$19 09-01 13:45
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-27 23:47
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-06 15:41
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-02 21:21
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-11 02:48
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-07 17:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 08-10 07:55
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 07-09 13:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +0 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 09-26 17:19
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-12 12:57
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$3 0¢ $0 +$3 08-05 07:16
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-21 23:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-19 05:59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-15 11:33
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-08 21:47
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-09 08:19
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 09-16 23:28
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 09-09 06:57
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-03 16:17