(anonymous) 0x4c9ee8…b54449
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Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
64.2%
Resolved
219
Trades
811
lifetime
Volume
$1.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$203
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-07
last 10-30 06:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
56% 49% -$29
Politics
34% 56% -$42
Crypto
9% 58% +$8
Sports
1% 25% -$4
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +17 $15 97¢ $17 +$2 10-12 22:59
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +15 $8 94¢ $14 +$7 10-10 22:34
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +26 $13 54¢ $14 +$1 10-23 19:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 $0 10-30 06:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $15 60¢ $13 -$2 10-03 02:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +20 $13 60¢ $12 -$1 10-23 15:49
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 10-13 19:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +17 $7 64¢ $11 +$3 08-11 12:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +12 $8 70¢ $8 +$1 10-16 11:43
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 +$1 10-09 13:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 10-25 12:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 +$0 10-25 02:20
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 66¢ $7 -$1 10-27 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $6 82¢ $6 $0 10-04 14:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 10-08 18:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 57¢ $6 +$0 10-07 12:02
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-29 09:06
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? No +5 $4 91¢ $4 +$0 10-08 16:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 40¢ $4 -$4 10-11 02:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +7 $5 62¢ $4 -$1 09-26 19:08
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 87¢ $4 $0 10-25 12:52
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +21 $3 17¢ $4 +$0 10-26 10:13
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$0 10-05 12:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +8 $3 30¢ $2 $0 08-24 00:01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-09 18:38
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +5 $2 46¢ $2 $0 08-26 01:30
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 09-26 20:02
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +21 $3 10¢ $2 -$2 08-08 23:07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 09-24 14:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$1 10-27 07:52