Adventurous-Ebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-16 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

41% — —

Crypto

7% 20% $-3

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$320	170	170	+0	open	—	04-01 16:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$223	125	125	+0	open	—	04-17 18:52
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$185	0	185	-185	open	—	01-03 09:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$159	455	455	+0	open	—	08-16 08:47
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$119	111	111	+0	open	—	02-18 22:09
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	04-01 16:57
will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	2	$90	91	91	+0	open	—	02-12 07:17
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$88	87	87	+0	open	—	01-06 21:56
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	9	$68	111	0	+111	open	—	01-26 19:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$64	0	69	-69	open	—	01-19 11:39
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	11	$57	29	184	-156	open	—	02-14 12:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$57	100	100	+0	open	—	04-17 18:56
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$49	190	0	+190	open	—	01-15 11:13
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$45	77	0	+77	open	—	02-22 18:37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	01-19 08:48
hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt63	3	$40	194	0	+194	open	—	02-03 10:14
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	11	$38	78	9	+69	open	—	02-08 20:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$37	42	42	+0	open	—	03-15 08:15
btc updown 15m 1770551100	3	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	02-08 11:59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$28	40	40	+0	open	—	01-15 12:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$22	54	54	+0	open	—	03-03 06:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$22	292	0	+292	open	—	01-31 11:21
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$21	44	0	+44	open	—	01-17 20:29
will trump say intel or nvidia during wef address on january 21	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	01-21 05:49
bitcoin up or down january 15 11am et	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	01-15 13:40
txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 27 2026 1pt31	1	$20	83	0	+83	open	—	01-24 07:40
rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 neg0pt8	1	$20	46	0	+46	open	—	02-03 10:03
yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 1pt76	1	$20	63	0	+63	open	—	02-03 10:21
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt42	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	01-13 17:30
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase december 30 january 5	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	01-03 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 08:47:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	455	13¢	$59	0x756705…
08-10 21:01:49	btc updown 5m 1786395600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x068de5…
08-10 21:01:09	btc updown 5m 1786395600	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xcfec78…
08-08 09:03:49	btc updown 5m 1786179600	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf405c0…
08-02 09:02:56	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf2ebaf…
08-02 08:36:23	btc updown 5m 1785659700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb2f7a3…
08-01 09:03:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd22e7a…
07-28 16:53:22	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x80348c…
07-24 15:09:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x39c35d…
07-24 15:02:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x72a19e…
07-24 14:57:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8c2fa8…
07-24 14:56:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$4	0xf1673d…
07-23 18:22:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xc670b1…
07-16 19:11:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x119158…
07-12 19:38:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbbf8c6…
07-02 06:47:29	will donald trump publicly insult joe biden by july 31 2026 20260626210612716	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x274422…
07-01 13:28:26	btc updown 5m 1782912300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1e8be5…
07-01 11:17:17	btc updown 5m 1782904500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x889adb…
07-01 11:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782904200	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a4b21…
07-01 11:08:35	btc updown 5m 1782903900	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x276210…
06-19 19:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781895900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x59d8b4…
06-19 18:45:59	btc updown 5m 1781894700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x57fcef…
06-19 18:37:53	btc updown 5m 1781894100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x03601e…
06-19 18:36:44	btc updown 5m 1781894100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3ce0ac…
06-19 18:20:53	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d5e41…
06-16 17:03:55	btc updown 5m 1781629200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0e2e83…
06-16 11:14:42	btc updown 5m 1781608200	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x744a35…
06-15 18:56:28	btc updown 5m 1781549700	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc9ef10…
06-15 18:52:51	btc updown 5m 1781549400	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc5c158…
06-15 15:04:22	btc updown 5m 1781535600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe78b4f…
06-15 15:03:40	btc updown 5m 1781535600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b91cb…
06-01 07:03:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x384353…
05-23 10:45:34	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xef7f23…
05-17 18:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa05420…
05-13 04:12:19	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7da3f4…
05-10 18:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb51156…
05-09 15:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1a5dc9…
05-09 07:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd3ab64…
05-06 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x598f50…
05-06 19:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd3c390…
04-28 12:48:18	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4756fd…
04-28 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1eac46…
04-28 12:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x853774…
04-28 12:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x75c792…
04-28 12:32:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x788626…
04-24 20:45:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x304803…
04-24 20:44:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc2a534…
04-24 20:44:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0b7f30…
04-22 10:35:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8c144d…
04-21 20:12:28	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x1e0d5f…
04-21 19:52:16	btc updown 5m 1776801000	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe27796…
04-21 19:48:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x75daec…
04-21 19:47:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbbb4b0…
04-21 19:47:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa710a8…
04-21 19:47:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	No	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xa1577c…
04-21 19:47:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x1e42ec…
04-20 16:52:36	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd1e416…
04-20 16:52:30	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcba1d4…
04-20 16:52:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x6cbd19…
04-20 16:42:00	btc updown 5m 1776703200	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe68130…
04-20 14:53:08	intc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 0	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbb2204…
04-18 08:32:06	dota2 xtreme navi 2026 04 18	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x991e00…
04-17 18:56:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x24c990…
04-17 18:52:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xcdc99b…
04-17 18:52:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	125	98¢	$123	0xa2abf5…
04-17 10:12:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf76f9e…
04-12 20:08:01	ally quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 17 2026 0pt95	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7a7793…
04-12 20:07:07	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt6	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xee0756…
04-12 20:06:59	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 13 2026 15pt95	No	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x9a700e…
04-12 20:06:47	jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt68	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x770846…
04-12 07:37:35	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3d903a…
04-12 07:37:25	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x51180a…
04-12 07:36:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x1e1df7…
04-10 15:18:53	btc updown 5m 1775834100	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf49153…
04-10 13:12:35	btc updown 5m 1775826600	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa72951…
04-10 11:53:33	btc updown 5m 1775821800	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x259cba…
04-10 08:23:49	btc updown 5m 1775809200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfdb575…
04-08 17:15:31	wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 1pt58	No	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x18e502…
04-08 16:11:13	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 12pt26	No	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x7e9818…
04-08 15:01:21	btc updown 5m 1775660700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x893e57…
04-08 13:58:57	btc updown 5m 1775656500	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbad21a…
04-08 13:36:41	btc updown 5m 1775655300	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x454408…
04-05 19:29:27	btc updown 5m 1775417400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x664b82…
04-02 21:06:31	wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 1pt58	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xafd42b…
04-02 21:06:17	blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 12pt26	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f5eb4…
04-02 19:31:49	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x092563…
04-01 16:58:07	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during address to the nation	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x63e90b…
04-01 16:57:01	will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x47a4dd…
04-01 16:56:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	166	100¢	$165	0x4c759f…
04-01 07:58:17	btc updown 5m 1775030100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa910dd…
03-31 20:15:57	btc updown 5m 1774988100	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x0aa90e…
03-31 20:15:07	btc updown 5m 1774988100	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc6cf0…
03-31 20:14:53	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xcdc81b…
03-31 20:14:35	btc updown 15m 1774988100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa2a43b…
03-29 10:30:24	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	166	92¢	$153	0xd8d16a…
03-26 17:58:15	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 rom	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2a0b7e…
03-26 17:38:37	will romania qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x90bf76…
03-22 07:59:19	btc updown 5m 1774166400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x57c07a…
03-21 11:44:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2588fd…
03-21 11:43:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1295bc…