Firm-Sandpaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-21 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$20

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$21	4¢	$35	+$14	07-07 04:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	31	$2.0K	4,292	300	+3,992	open	—	04-30 12:56
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner	5	$1.1K	1,523	597	+926	open	—	04-25 04:17
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game2	5	$747	900	0	+900	open	—	04-24 09:41
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	3	$703	786	1,138	-352	open	—	05-27 08:47
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	2	$690	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-26 06:57
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	4	$442	881	167	+714	open	—	05-27 09:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$380	422	0	+422	open	—	04-24 23:25
lol gen t1 2026 07 21	3	$288	533	402	+131	open	—	07-21 07:40
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$270	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-28 02:31
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	1	$250	500	0	+500	open	—	04-30 03:51
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	3	$225	250	0	+250	open	—	04-25 04:44
lol omg lng 2026 04 24	1	$200	317	0	+317	open	—	04-24 06:39
lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24	1	$200	267	0	+267	open	—	04-24 06:38
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	2	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	07-21 07:30
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	1	$152	250	0	+250	open	—	04-24 16:14
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 10:18
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	05-03 03:05
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	7	$76	2,361	0	+2,361	open	—	06-11 06:33
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$39	55	0	+55	Yes	+$17	05-02 13:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$21	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-07 04:12
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$18	22	0	+22	Yes	+$3	05-02 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$13	22	22	+0	open	—	05-26 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-26 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:40:57	lol gen t1 2026 07 21	Gen.G	SELL	402	22¢	$88	0xf31eea…
07-21 07:31:49	lol gen t1 2026 07 21	Gen.G	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0x287bed…
07-21 07:31:45	lol gen t1 2026 07 21	T1	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xbb47ef…
07-21 07:30:16	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x5c572c…
07-21 07:28:10	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x448316…
07-07 04:12:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x1e9566…
06-11 06:33:34	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	662	3¢	$21	0xf99f6c…
06-11 04:59:24	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	361	3¢	$12	0x396423…
06-11 04:57:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x266503…
06-11 04:55:24	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xedb5cf…
06-11 04:55:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xbc9f5d…
06-11 04:55:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	113	3¢	$4	0xa40c05…
06-11 04:55:12	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	1,056	3¢	$34	0x780235…
05-28 02:31:02	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0x3f5539…
05-27 18:57:29	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x6adec0…
05-27 09:33:05	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	70	35¢	$24	0x7cab65…
05-27 09:31:08	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	97	18¢	$17	0x9f931f…
05-27 08:51:35	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x745797…
05-27 08:47:38	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	369	80¢	$295	0x6b64df…
05-27 08:36:11	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xcb3349…
05-27 08:36:00	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	769	40¢	$308	0x7ef632…
05-27 08:33:49	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	786	13¢	$100	0xf01aae…
05-26 22:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe154ac…
05-26 22:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	39¢	$8	0x65201f…
05-26 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe1d67d…
05-03 03:05:18	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x860191…
05-02 13:55:28	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x17aa53…
05-02 13:45:56	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xbac286…
05-02 13:04:10	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0xa39e60…
05-02 03:33:00	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x8f2eeb…
05-02 02:45:56	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x9c14da…
05-02 02:06:54	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x772648…
04-30 12:56:16	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xe089c1…
04-30 10:18:18	LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x0f8491…
04-30 09:43:10	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xcce32f…
04-30 07:14:10	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x76771b…
04-30 04:43:50	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfdd96…
04-30 03:51:04	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xe2457c…
04-29 21:21:48	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1d9df6…
04-29 21:21:38	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6b615d…
04-27 23:27:22	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	3,300	40¢	$1,320	0x6f4a51…
04-27 23:09:10	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x646302…
04-27 18:56:54	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x65c11c…
04-27 18:53:18	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa3ff76…
04-27 18:53:08	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x927227…
04-27 16:38:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x56df4e…
04-27 16:38:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x56df4e…
04-27 16:37:32	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfbc3cb…
04-26 06:57:18	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x0b68ff…
04-26 06:54:36	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x769200…
04-26 06:35:56	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xd67f9d…
04-26 06:35:22	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	108	78¢	$84	0x4ec306…
04-25 22:11:12	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xa07169…
04-25 04:44:44	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	BUY	84	90¢	$75	0xde0efa…
04-25 04:17:18	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner	T1 Academy	SELL	597	100¢	$597	0x4c82fb…
04-25 04:14:52	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x21c08e…
04-25 04:04:18	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x0cf14f…
04-25 04:00:00	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner	T1 Academy	BUY	98	88¢	$86	0xe59471…
04-25 03:59:04	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	BUY	112	90¢	$101	0x56975e…
04-25 03:58:26	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner	T1 Academy	BUY	175	89¢	$156	0x38cf7d…
04-25 03:58:16	LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner	T1 Academy	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x73ec6b…
04-24 23:25:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x393388…
04-24 22:49:52	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xc513cd…
04-24 22:06:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xbbedc5…
04-24 18:52:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x44010c…
04-24 18:43:30	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xef5803…
04-24 18:13:16	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0ddcee…
04-24 18:13:00	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x16a498…
04-24 18:03:56	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xee54f9…
04-24 17:26:30	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x75ba1f…
04-24 16:45:40	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x9f5c4e…
04-24 16:45:32	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x09c890…
04-24 16:14:46	LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	Fnatic	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x0d592a…
04-24 16:05:40	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xec85fb…
04-24 16:03:38	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9142c6…
04-24 10:53:02	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0882ca…
04-24 09:41:28	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	250	87¢	$218	0x9b5172…
04-24 09:31:24	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x4438af…
04-24 09:31:14	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x894128…
04-24 09:25:26	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xd59449…
04-24 09:09:42	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24 game2	KT Rolster	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0x3cb1c6…
04-24 07:19:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xdcabb4…
04-24 07:16:06	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x445d0e…
04-24 06:46:28	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x9b1180…
04-24 06:39:16	lol omg lng 2026 04 24	LNG Esports	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x705f46…
04-24 06:38:36	lol fox1 kt 2026 04 24	KT Rolster	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x6d9d22…
04-24 06:35:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4804a7…