Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$310

Unrealized P&L

-$371

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

422

lifetime

Volume

$2.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-04 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

100% 27% -$310

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+1,500	$135	2¢	$23	-$112	09-04 10:12
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+3,500	$265	0¢	$5	-$260	06-17 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in december 2025	3	$742	370	685	-315	Yes	+$223	01-14 09:36
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	25	$448	1,980	468	+1,511	No	+$89	03-11 14:53
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	36	$265	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	06-17 19:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	5	$135	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	09-04 10:12
will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in january 2026	57	$101	2,900	1,450	+1,450	No	-$58	02-11 08:20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	3	$91	1,400	500	+900	No	-$42	06-06 06:26
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	2	$74	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$74	06-04 08:00
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	11	$71	1,000	101	+899	No	-$69	05-07 11:21
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in december 2025	2	$70	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$70	01-01 08:42
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in january 2026	25	$63	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$17	02-08 20:55
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	22	$60	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$60	05-18 01:17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	14	$60	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$60	05-04 07:22
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	6	$53	1,000	0	+1,000	India	-$53	03-08 15:53
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	14	$53	531	0	+531	No	-$53	05-04 05:40
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	18	$51	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$29	05-09 00:21
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	7	$47	438	438	+0	No	+$21	03-05 19:42
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	48	$40	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	02-09 14:51
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?	3	$32	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$28	06-07 01:52
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in december 2025	5	$30	0	2,000	-2,000	No	+$30	01-11 07:19
will global temperature increase by between 1pt00c and 1pt04c in december 2025	9	$25	500	0	+500	No	-$25	01-14 10:23
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in december 2025	8	$24	500	761	-261	No	+$14	01-11 07:20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	13	$20	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$20	05-19 14:21
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	27	$20	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$20	04-23 16:34
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	36	$20	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	02-09 14:50
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	20	$10	473	165	+308	No	+$5	03-06 13:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	04-29 16:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	04-29 16:51
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in december 2025	1	$5	0	500	-500	No	+$5	01-07 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 10:12:15	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	489	5¢	$24	0x89c6b6…
08-01 04:20:27	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xfb903d…
08-01 04:19:30	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1b0391…
06-17 19:41:11	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x271791…
06-07 01:52:24	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xe043b1…
06-06 18:40:45	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	996	0¢	$2	0x9682e2…
06-06 06:26:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$17	0xf5b416…
06-05 21:37:54	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	880	11¢	$97	0xaf112a…
06-05 20:48:40	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x139784…
06-05 08:28:25	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x26b360…
06-04 08:00:34	Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x001b64…
05-19 14:21:57	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x603576…
05-19 14:21:52	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$6	0x66ad95…
05-19 08:30:47	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x8d7a70…
05-19 08:30:47	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x8292d4…
05-19 00:11:09	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x0db62c…
05-19 00:11:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xfda7f9…
05-18 15:31:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x3cdc46…
05-18 15:31:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x16a9ea…
05-18 15:20:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	2¢	$3	0xcba232…
05-18 15:20:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$4	0xa675b3…
05-18 15:20:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x4853d7…
05-18 15:20:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x441bab…
05-18 14:07:31	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x56d985…
05-18 01:17:31	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x5dae84…
05-16 16:26:35	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd6aec7…
05-16 14:44:16	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x615006…
05-16 14:41:49	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x533e6a…
05-16 14:40:50	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x9fef41…
05-14 14:56:19	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe5c8da…
05-14 14:56:19	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xc69a8d…
05-14 14:56:19	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x63ae49…
05-14 14:56:19	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x243131…
05-14 14:54:23	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x32c7a2…
05-14 14:54:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xb6f7e6…
05-14 14:54:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xa44fd9…
05-14 14:54:09	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xa2e575…
05-14 14:54:09	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6886ff…
05-14 14:53:29	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0xd86656…
05-14 14:53:29	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x69d46a…
05-14 14:53:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb1abfa…
05-14 14:53:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa701a0…
05-14 14:53:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1690d6…
05-14 14:53:18	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0xd41084…
05-14 14:53:18	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x99a509…
05-14 14:53:18	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x21303f…
05-13 09:08:48	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xe8d665…
05-13 09:07:45	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0xd6c8d3…
05-13 09:07:45	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x4968bd…
05-13 09:07:15	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x45169e…
05-13 09:07:05	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8c74c9…
05-13 09:06:53	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8e75b8…
05-13 09:06:25	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x80b5ba…
05-13 09:05:36	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0xaa1f07…
05-13 09:05:09	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	7¢	$33	0x91a1e9…
05-13 08:08:26	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xe01869…
05-13 08:08:26	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0xc8e82a…
05-13 08:08:26	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbff8ab…
05-13 08:08:26	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x0ffb6a…
05-13 08:08:26	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0f7b47…
05-13 08:08:24	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xdeb653…
05-13 08:02:41	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x641572…
05-13 08:02:39	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x9c36a7…
05-13 08:01:15	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0xa6b48a…
05-13 08:01:05	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0xf7a4f9…
05-12 11:14:45	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x99d467…
05-11 02:03:31	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0xa72a49…
05-09 00:21:36	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	478	1¢	$5	0xc571c9…
05-07 11:21:45	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xba87d8…
05-07 11:21:43	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x37b15d…
05-07 11:21:41	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x3e73bd…
05-06 16:31:55	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x4bc9bd…
05-06 16:28:09	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	1¢	$5	0x88c861…
05-04 07:22:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x535082…
05-04 05:40:06	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2bca41…
05-04 05:16:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x6d872f…
05-04 05:16:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x0269eb…
05-04 05:16:12	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x060078…
05-04 05:11:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xf20b02…
05-04 05:11:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x317531…
05-04 05:11:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x194de1…
05-04 05:10:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xc4b624…
05-04 05:10:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xc1bf04…
05-04 05:10:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xaa9454…
05-04 03:04:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd71f62…
05-04 03:04:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xbcf1b6…
05-04 03:04:26	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xac0198…
05-04 03:04:26	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7215a0…
05-03 20:13:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	5¢	$25	0x372319…
05-01 08:30:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x8cf8e7…
05-01 08:29:52	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x39ec83…
05-01 08:21:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5fa15e…
05-01 04:04:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	7¢	$12	0xe3aabe…
05-01 04:04:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x863b1e…
05-01 04:04:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$6	0x326a84…
05-01 04:02:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xd5c7b7…
04-30 21:43:34	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xf48842…
04-30 21:11:26	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb76f87…
04-30 17:37:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x59fa1d…
04-30 07:54:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x9fcef7…