Bumpy-Conscience 0x4d024c…fe2ad3 Create alert
whale 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$678
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved (24h)
45
Trades (24h)
17
2,980 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$973
$108.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$779
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 20:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 47% -$2,021
Other
23% 65% +$4,033
Politics
11% 52% +$607
Tech
1% 72% +$406
Sports
0% 75% +$50
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +237 $173 72¢ $169 -$4 11-02 20:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +111 $72 80¢ $89 +$17 10-05 09:41
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +92 $71 94¢ $87 +$16 10-28 09:08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +120 $36 62¢ $74 +$38 09-28 06:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +105 $58 62¢ $66 +$8 10-26 10:15
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +80 $65 79¢ $63 -$2 11-02 17:20
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +62 $50 99¢ $61 +$11 10-02 07:00
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +66 $35 66¢ $44 +$9 10-30 16:37
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +48 $34 88¢ $43 +$9 09-27 18:38
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat? Yes +135 $23 26¢ $35 +$12 09-19 06:35
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +34 $22 66¢ $22 +$0 10-25 21:17
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +51 $30 28¢ $14 -$16 09-07 20:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +16 $10 76¢ $12 +$2 10-11 17:14