Unripe-Fax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-13 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$66

Other

18% 100% +$19

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2400 december 29 january 4	1	$420	421	0	+421	No	+$0	01-02 10:22
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$331	331	0	+331	No	+$0	01-27 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	7	$290	149	149	+0	Down	+$6	10-13 17:54
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?	1	$276	276	0	+276	Yes	+$0	09-20 07:11
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$275	275	0	+275	No	+$0	09-10 08:33
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$274	274	0	+274	No	+$1	08-24 06:36
will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	1	$273	273	0	+273	No	+$0	07-09 17:45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	1	$272	273	0	+273	No	+$1	08-12 09:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$268	270	0	+270	No	+$2	04-18 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:40 UTC	1	$259	261	0	+261	Down	+$3	04-18 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:30 UTC	1	$256	259	0	+259	Down	+$3	04-18 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:10 UTC	1	$254	257	0	+257	Up	+$3	04-18 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC	1	$252	254	0	+254	Down	+$3	04-18 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:50 UTC	1	$249	252	0	+252	Up	+$3	04-18 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:40 UTC	1	$247	250	0	+250	Up	+$2	04-18 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:35 UTC	1	$245	247	0	+247	Down	+$2	04-18 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:15 UTC	1	$240	245	0	+245	Down	+$5	04-18 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:40 UTC	1	$235	240	0	+240	Up	+$5	04-18 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:35 UTC	1	$233	235	0	+235	Down	+$2	04-18 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C or higher on September 9?	1	$232	232	0	+232	No	+$0	09-09 05:18
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$231	232	0	+232	No	+$1	07-22 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:15 UTC	1	$231	233	0	+233	Up	+$2	04-18 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC	1	$229	231	0	+231	Up	+$2	04-17 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC	1	$227	229	0	+229	Down	+$2	04-17 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:30 UTC	1	$225	227	0	+227	Up	+$2	04-17 14:33
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$0	04-09 07:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$218	218	0	+218	No	+$0	02-24 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$208	208	0	+208	No	+$0	03-27 14:39
will ethereum dip to 1500 march 16 22	1	$207	208	0	+208	No	+$1	03-20 10:23
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	2	$168	85	85	+0	No	+$2	02-04 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 18:58:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xa1af5f…
10-13 17:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb4a11c…
10-13 17:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x0eb990…
10-13 17:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb6b3cb…
10-13 17:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x5bac5c…
10-13 17:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0xf9a359…
10-13 17:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xf1af21…
10-13 17:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	149	95¢	$142	0x98e0a4…
10-06 07:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	148	96¢	$142	0x16d847…
10-05 13:53:59	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0x7b18fd…
09-29 18:36:17	Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0x771f46…
09-20 07:11:49	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0x871eb4…
09-18 07:45:37	Will Polymarket be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xe1ec01…
09-10 08:33:52	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x4d7f97…
09-10 08:33:52	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x13a951…
09-09 05:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0xf4a3db…
08-24 06:36:55	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xda1ee8…
08-12 09:15:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0x8d3a45…
07-22 12:38:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0xeb323e…
07-09 17:45:22	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0x141831…
05-17 09:40:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xbf3bbe…
05-17 09:38:21	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xc37c3e…
04-18 17:10:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0x744288…
04-18 16:57:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x63d763…
04-18 16:44:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	261	99¢	$259	0x4348e7…
04-18 16:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0x3f7ef6…
04-18 16:14:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	257	99¢	$254	0xc4d5a8…
04-18 16:03:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	254	99¢	$252	0x52feba…
04-18 15:54:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xac4ab2…
04-18 15:51:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x80f291…
04-18 13:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	252	99¢	$249	0xb8be15…
04-18 13:44:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0x498072…
04-18 13:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	247	99¢	$245	0x5cc963…
04-18 13:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	245	98¢	$240	0x4b645f…
04-18 12:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0x012ff6…
04-18 12:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0x43bc25…
04-18 12:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	233	99¢	$231	0x9544ab…
04-17 17:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0xb1aa82…
04-17 16:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0xa35501…
04-17 14:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0x63b6d5…
04-09 07:33:39	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x96f0ea…
03-27 14:39:19	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xe1c761…
03-20 10:23:31	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 16 22	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x30e900…
03-10 18:30:07	will russia enter stinky by march 31	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x655228…
03-10 18:26:11	will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xddaf51…
02-24 09:36:38	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x1e89f5…
02-04 13:23:06	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x13293f…
01-27 07:48:47	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	331	100¢	$331	0xaa9888…
01-09 12:29:40	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x69cdfb…
01-09 12:28:06	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$83	0x11d2f5…
01-02 10:22:19	will ethereum dip to 2400 december 29 january 4	No	BUY	421	100¢	$420	0xc2c272…