Good-Ethnicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$142

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-09 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 38% -$4

Crypto

28% 67% -$5

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+112	$111	100¢	$112	+$1	10-09 19:52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+11	$10	95¢	$10	+$0	10-09 19:53
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-09 19:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	$0	10-09 19:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+22	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-09 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 19:55:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x169ae8…
10-09 19:54:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x578cde…
10-09 19:53:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa2fb06…
10-09 19:53:17	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x61480e…
10-09 19:53:08	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfeadb5…
10-09 19:53:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4fbe76…
10-09 19:52:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x4e1f5d…
10-09 19:52:08	Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4d90b8…
10-09 19:51:58	Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7a5bdf…
10-09 19:51:50	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa74a03…
10-09 19:51:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7945e1…
10-09 19:50:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x6b2303…
05-17 11:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02dc27…
05-17 11:30:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe9837b…
05-15 10:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x472449…
05-15 10:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x79ddea…
05-15 10:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	851	100¢	$849	0xd079a0…
05-15 10:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	851	100¢	$850	0xf1aeaa…
05-12 10:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1f16be…
05-12 10:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd83f69…
05-12 10:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x03ae18…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$1.7K	851	851	+0	No	-$1	05-15 10:08
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 9?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	10-09 19:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 9?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	10-09 19:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 9?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	10-09 19:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$111	112	0	+112	open	—	10-09 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	Up	-$5	05-12 10:19
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-09 19:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-09 19:53
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-09 19:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-15 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-17 11:34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-15 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	-$1	05-12 10:14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	10-09 19:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	22	0	+22	open	—	10-09 19:50
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-09 19:52
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	10-09 19:51
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-09 19:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	05-17 11:30