Fair-Hurricane — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

6,074 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$18.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 91% +$31

Other

6% 93% -$19

Politics

1% 92% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$65	71	0	+71	No	+$6	03-10 06:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$63	70	0	+70	No	+$7	03-23 00:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 03:00 UTC	3	$55	59	0	+59	Down	-$2	03-23 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 04:15 UTC	4	$46	51	0	+51	Down	-$1	03-16 04:28
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 14c	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	03-24 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 5?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	08-05 03:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 08:30 UTC	3	$40	42	0	+42	Up	-$4	03-17 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 30?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	10-30 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 24?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	08-24 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	3	$30	27	6	+21	Yes	-$21	10-12 01:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 08:00 UTC	4	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$0	03-17 08:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	10-28 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 2?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	08-02 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 20?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-20 01:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	07-30 15:23
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 16c	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-24 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:15 UTC	2	$24	27	0	+27	Down	-$3	02-07 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 12:30 UTC	3	$24	27	0	+27	Down	-$2	08-06 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 02:15 UTC	3	$23	33	0	+33	Up	-$17	02-08 02:30
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 15c	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-24 07:49
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	03-13 07:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	11-01 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on October 5?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-04 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-26 02:48
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 10c	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 01:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-28 08:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	-$19	04-06 09:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:15 UTC	3	$17	18	0	+18	Down	+$1	02-05 12:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 04:15 UTC	2	$16	18	0	+18	Down	-$4	02-07 04:28
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 18c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-26 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 10:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x90ee50…
11-06 07:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc49df4…
11-06 05:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x257738…
11-06 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x15ea00…
11-06 03:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x52156a…
11-05 23:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x88c07b…
11-05 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f892f…
11-05 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x18c9a2…
11-05 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1321da…
11-05 16:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa0324d…
11-05 15:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf6baa1…
11-05 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6dd9c9…
11-05 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x373256…
11-05 08:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x58e4af…
11-05 07:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xdec0b7…
11-05 06:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5ef141…
11-05 04:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xabf91a…
11-05 04:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdcf4a0…
11-05 02:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4e41cb…
11-05 02:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x674697…
11-05 01:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7d0a03…
11-05 00:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2c1d36…
11-05 00:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8dfbcc…
11-04 23:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x52cdc9…
11-04 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfdd851…
11-04 18:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf05ca6…
11-04 18:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7923c4…
11-04 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x25d860…
11-04 15:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2796c2…
11-04 12:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd6fa12…
11-04 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf0246e…
11-04 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad8f68…
11-04 09:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1bd058…
11-04 07:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6ef5a9…
11-04 06:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bbab7…
11-04 05:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xade2ef…
11-04 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x96811f…
11-04 04:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa67e58…
11-04 03:51:42	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae3035…
11-04 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x9f1c10…
11-04 02:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6ea878…
11-04 02:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x91d582…
11-04 00:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5f15e…
11-04 00:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa1a6dd…
11-04 00:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6b0ff7…
11-04 00:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe2a8e6…
11-04 00:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1e39a1…
11-03 23:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3cb8c6…
11-03 22:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x315cae…
11-03 19:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcf5d99…
11-03 07:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x3f020c…
11-03 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b6c4a…
11-03 07:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfa5863…
11-03 05:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xc2f522…
11-03 05:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3aa57…
11-03 03:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x801487…
11-03 02:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7ce455…
11-03 01:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4c7a1f…
11-03 01:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a0585…
11-03 00:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 3?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x422549…
11-02 12:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x69fce2…
11-02 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xb9149b…
11-02 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7505dc…
11-02 12:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd8eaad…
11-02 11:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7e2bdc…
11-02 11:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xcaf0d0…
11-02 10:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6816c2…
11-02 06:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xcd7fe7…
11-02 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1b8627…
11-02 04:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xb0464a…
11-02 03:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb7215b…
11-02 01:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf998bf…
11-02 01:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3f5e49…
11-02 01:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1ad3e5…
11-02 01:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea6ba0…
11-02 01:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x121091…
11-01 14:51:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa197b9…
11-01 14:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x854a4a…
11-01 14:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8591ac…
10-30 02:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5a6063…
10-28 08:22:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd50fac…
10-28 08:22:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xabd8bb…
10-28 08:21:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf5ef52…
10-27 13:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f3608…
10-26 02:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f3361…
10-20 01:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8e5f59…
10-19 04:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x958224…
10-19 03:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5ec471…
10-19 01:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe98335…
10-19 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x129066…
10-19 01:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x96d8cd…
10-19 01:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6ceaf3…
10-18 08:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xab38db…
10-18 07:28:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x76a643…
10-18 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xeb174a…
10-17 19:04:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xc6dcd0…
10-17 15:29:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x2f3c41…
10-17 09:49:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x5dd40d…
10-17 09:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x58b1c3…
10-17 06:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0987c4…