Determined-Cooking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,378

lifetime

Volume

$73.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$6.67K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$21

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	-12,559	$-6,192	50¢	$-6223	$-31	06-12 21:05
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	+462	$385	84¢	$391	+$5	06-14 18:38
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	+72	$55	76¢	$54	$-1	06-30 18:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	19	$8.9K	7,933	7,933	+0	open	—	06-11 23:12
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	590	$6.6K	0	13,377	-13,377	open	—	06-12 21:05
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 5m and 6m	3	$2.6K	1,328	1,327	+1	open	—	03-31 01:06
will ready or not 2 here i come opening weekend box office be between 8pt5m and 10m	2	$2.3K	1,152	1,152	+0	open	—	03-23 22:35
highest temperature in seattle on march 20 2026 58 59f	4	$2.3K	1,134	1,120	+14	open	—	03-21 02:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-11 21:19
will scream 7 second weekend box office be less than 19m	2	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	03-13 14:39
GTA VI released before June 2026?	22	$2.0K	999	1,000	-1	open	—	05-17 19:04
will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be between 50m and 54m	4	$2.0K	984	984	+0	open	—	03-30 19:45
will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be greater than 54m	5	$1.9K	955	955	+0	open	—	03-30 19:50
will gas hit high 3pt75 by march 31	88	$1.7K	1,298	1,293	+5	open	—	03-09 21:48
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	6	$1.6K	888	888	+0	open	—	03-30 19:50
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	2	$1.5K	760	760	+0	open	—	03-23 19:30
Will Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	17	$1.5K	1,426	145	+1,281	open	—	04-14 23:19
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	3	$1.5K	1,492	0	+1,492	open	—	04-05 15:07
highest temperature in austin on april 14 2026 74 75f	4	$1.5K	737	737	+0	open	—	04-14 05:17
will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be between 16pt5m and 18m	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	open	—	03-23 21:15
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	18	$1.2K	676	676	+0	open	—	03-30 20:21
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	3	$1.2K	1,164	0	+1,164	open	—	05-15 20:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 7c	1	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	03-20 00:34
will nrg win masters santiago 2026	1	$1.1K	1,093	0	+1,093	open	—	03-14 20:52
will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be between 18m and 19pt5m	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	03-23 21:02
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	6	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	03-31 01:10
will g2 esports win masters santiago 2026	1	$1.0K	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	03-13 22:02
will all gamers win masters santiago 2026	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	03-10 22:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$950	500	500	+0	open	—	06-30 21:18
r6siege los liquid 2026 04 04	4	$919	920	0	+920	open	—	04-04 18:31
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	2	$880	883	0	+883	open	—	03-31 23:37
r6siege ssg c9 2026 04 03	1	$835	837	0	+837	open	—	04-04 00:13
will gas hit high 3pt35 by march 31	7	$830	649	211	+438	open	—	03-06 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:18:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x282a84…
06-30 21:07:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0xa005ae…
06-30 21:07:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x329104…
06-30 21:07:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x8f2c5c…
06-30 21:07:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0x093bac…
06-30 19:33:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x77929d…
06-30 18:42:22	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x3de93a…
06-30 18:42:17	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0xc647fd…
06-30 04:47:40	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x5bec96…
06-29 20:14:52	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbd167…
06-14 18:39:22	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x9632b7…
06-14 18:38:30	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	BUY	462	83¢	$385	0x5d12e2…
06-13 14:27:27	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	362	68¢	$246	0x6a8b4b…
06-12 21:05:42	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x8386ba…
06-12 21:00:43	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	164	49¢	$81	0x94be30…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xb5f9fb…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6eacca…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x37ab52…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x02ce52…
06-12 20:48:48	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	316	74¢	$234	0x9b880d…
06-12 19:33:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	549	78¢	$430	0x55b3bc…
06-12 19:25:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	2,234	13¢	$290	0x8e4ee0…
06-12 19:17:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xe70661…
06-12 19:17:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xf747fb…
06-12 19:16:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x4bb84d…
06-12 16:12:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc0604d…
06-12 16:12:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf5a069…
06-12 16:12:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb7a809…
06-12 16:12:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	528	67¢	$354	0xe4328d…
06-11 23:12:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5,340	56¢	$2,990	0x1c349a…
06-11 23:08:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0x385cb2…
06-11 22:58:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x236f7d…
06-11 22:32:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x525ce0…
06-11 22:16:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xeeb14c…
06-11 21:19:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,400	78¢	$1,092	0x7dc07c…
06-11 20:52:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x6ccfff…
06-11 20:43:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x932b08…
06-11 20:43:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0caac5…
06-11 20:39:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4032e0…
06-11 20:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,400	78¢	$1,092	0xb1c103…
06-11 20:37:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x952a80…
06-11 20:36:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,075	58¢	$623	0x6c3e64…
06-11 20:34:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xfdbec7…
06-11 20:13:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	223	58¢	$129	0xf69755…
06-11 20:13:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,696	56¢	$950	0x6a0960…
06-11 20:13:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	121	58¢	$70	0xdb8a45…
06-11 20:09:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	146	58¢	$85	0x9e830a…
06-11 20:09:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	56¢	$1,120	0x46dbfb…
06-11 19:59:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,548	58¢	$898	0x6defac…
06-11 19:59:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	252	58¢	$146	0x9a0cf4…
06-11 19:00:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	222	42¢	$93	0x3756e8…
06-11 18:59:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x5f49eb…
06-11 18:59:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x5678b2…
06-11 18:59:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	391	42¢	$164	0x5c140d…
06-11 17:47:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb5cf4e…
06-11 17:47:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	691	42¢	$287	0x9fe03d…
06-09 18:02:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	742	16¢	$119	0x07ba57…
06-09 17:38:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xca8b21…
06-09 17:28:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x5027bc…
06-09 17:24:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	736	16¢	$116	0x8d7d45…
06-09 17:11:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,300	6¢	$78	0x1abdf2…
06-09 16:56:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,300	8¢	$104	0x619df2…
06-08 08:56:31	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	126	49¢	$62	0x715d74…
06-08 08:52:24	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x3cae06…
06-08 08:40:03	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x2f8c5d…
06-08 08:21:34	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xb927b6…
06-08 07:05:18	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	105	49¢	$52	0xa94a7f…
06-08 06:57:40	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x54ae1a…
06-08 04:51:51	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x9b3459…
06-08 04:38:40	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x37ea5f…
06-08 03:58:54	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x942c66…
06-08 03:50:46	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x6214aa…
06-08 03:47:51	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x80f7d8…
06-08 03:46:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x9ddd0f…
06-08 03:44:51	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa3e043…
06-08 03:43:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xc580b6…
06-08 03:41:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xcc65c9…
06-08 03:40:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x34c84a…
06-08 03:38:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xea12e5…
06-08 03:37:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x65e507…
06-08 03:35:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x5ee4db…
06-08 03:34:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xd2f7f6…
06-08 03:32:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x61a110…
06-08 03:31:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x0e3657…
06-08 03:29:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x92b20e…
06-08 03:28:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x45e7ec…
06-08 03:26:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x89c460…
06-08 03:25:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xdd7358…
06-08 03:23:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x9db23f…
06-08 03:22:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x26092a…
06-08 03:20:49	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x53d382…
06-08 03:19:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x788fc9…
06-08 03:17:51	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3ecd32…
06-08 03:14:39	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xc8ccfb…
06-08 03:13:09	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x494bab…
06-08 03:11:39	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3c258e…
06-08 03:10:09	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3482e2…
06-08 03:08:39	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xec3417…
06-08 03:07:09	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x99ea22…
06-08 03:05:39	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa8b528…