Determined-Cooking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,442

lifetime

Volume

$85.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$6.68K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-23 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$21

Politics

15% — —

Sports

11% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	-12,559	$-6,192	50¢	$-6261	$-69	06-12 21:05
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	+288	$238	84¢	$242	+$5	07-23 15:48
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	No	+157	$119	77¢	$121	+$1	07-14 16:18
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Yes	+39	$28	84¢	$33	+$5	07-23 15:49
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	+24	$17	82¢	$20	+$3	07-20 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	29	$9.6K	12,799	12,799	+0	open	—	07-07 17:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	19	$8.9K	7,933	7,933	+0	open	—	06-11 23:12
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	590	$6.6K	0	13,377	-13,377	open	—	06-12 21:05
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 5m and 6m	3	$2.6K	1,328	1,327	+1	open	—	03-31 01:06
will ready or not 2 here i come opening weekend box office be between 8pt5m and 10m	2	$2.3K	1,152	1,152	+0	open	—	03-23 22:35
highest temperature in seattle on march 20 2026 58 59f	4	$2.3K	1,134	1,120	+14	open	—	03-21 02:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-11 21:19
will scream 7 second weekend box office be less than 19m	2	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	03-13 14:39
GTA VI released before June 2026?	22	$2.0K	999	1,000	-1	open	—	05-17 19:04
will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be between 50m and 54m	4	$2.0K	984	984	+0	open	—	03-30 19:45
will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be greater than 54m	5	$1.9K	955	955	+0	open	—	03-30 19:50
will gas hit high 3pt75 by march 31	88	$1.7K	1,298	1,293	+5	open	—	03-09 21:48
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	6	$1.6K	888	888	+0	open	—	03-30 19:50
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	2	$1.5K	760	760	+0	open	—	03-23 19:30
Will Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	17	$1.5K	1,426	145	+1,281	open	—	04-14 23:19
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	3	$1.5K	1,492	0	+1,492	open	—	04-05 15:07
highest temperature in austin on april 14 2026 74 75f	4	$1.5K	737	737	+0	open	—	04-14 05:17
will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be between 16pt5m and 18m	2	$1.2K	623	623	+0	open	—	03-23 21:15
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	18	$1.2K	676	676	+0	open	—	03-30 20:21
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	3	$1.2K	1,164	0	+1,164	open	—	05-15 20:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 7c	1	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	03-20 00:34
will nrg win masters santiago 2026	1	$1.1K	1,093	0	+1,093	open	—	03-14 20:52
will hoppers 3rd weekend box office be between 18m and 19pt5m	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	03-23 21:02
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	6	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	03-31 01:10
will g2 esports win masters santiago 2026	1	$1.0K	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	03-13 22:02
will all gamers win masters santiago 2026	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	03-10 22:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$950	500	500	+0	open	—	06-30 21:18
r6siege los liquid 2026 04 04	4	$919	920	0	+920	open	—	04-04 18:31
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	2	$880	883	0	+883	open	—	03-31 23:37
r6siege ssg c9 2026 04 03	1	$835	837	0	+837	open	—	04-04 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:49:46	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x2e5514…
07-23 15:48:58	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xaa6ae1…
07-23 11:27:24	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xb68fa9…
07-22 21:19:27	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x36f715…
07-22 17:44:09	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x466cfa…
07-21 17:28:42	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xa76e7b…
07-20 13:41:18	will wakanda be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441155	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x5aed54…
07-20 13:40:49	will son be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441163	No	BUY	63	91¢	$57	0xaf419d…
07-20 13:11:55	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x94c23f…
07-18 17:27:27	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	55	85¢	$47	0xd1d28a…
07-18 14:20:00	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x20b150…
07-16 22:04:59	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd302fe…
07-16 19:40:10	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc2f937…
07-14 16:18:23	Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	88	71¢	$62	0x87a4c1…
07-10 17:58:13	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Yes	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0xd37af1…
07-10 12:05:52	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x9aea63…
07-09 20:01:11	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xbc9854…
07-09 09:56:47	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x516eea…
07-09 02:56:55	Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x610058…
07-09 02:15:37	Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x1115f2…
07-09 02:08:50	Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xb3ca5c…
07-08 23:43:11	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xeaa0e6…
07-08 17:02:31	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	662	6¢	$39	0x67f767…
07-08 15:51:20	will the odyssey score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x265920…
07-08 15:38:08	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x5f171d…
07-08 15:33:16	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	362	15¢	$53	0xedec06…
07-08 15:27:28	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	SELL	280	91¢	$256	0xc3da38…
07-08 03:35:31	will the odyssey score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x4d94ff…
07-08 03:18:49	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	280	90¢	$253	0xfbd99a…
07-08 03:13:49	will the odyssey score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xa25932…
07-07 17:24:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5,275	7¢	$369	0x359f24…
07-07 17:24:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8a9c06…
07-07 17:23:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xa025fb…
07-07 17:23:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	55	8¢	$4	0xe8be60…
07-07 03:36:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	161	21¢	$34	0xf62ff9…
07-07 02:00:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	328	38¢	$125	0xa97932…
07-07 02:00:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	643	38¢	$244	0x19ad2a…
07-07 01:59:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4a2903…
07-07 01:58:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb414d7…
07-07 01:58:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x8f34f4…
07-07 01:58:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,999	38¢	$1,140	0xa33d26…
07-07 01:57:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5e8401…
07-07 01:56:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,163	40¢	$465	0x8c4250…
07-07 01:53:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xe6df15…
07-07 01:00:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4,146	26¢	$1,098	0x503131…
07-07 00:21:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4,146	44¢	$1,811	0x4d9ae7…
07-07 00:20:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,157	51¢	$591	0xed87f8…
07-07 00:20:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,140	56¢	$1,191	0x0c8782…
07-06 21:09:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,403	78¢	$1,094	0x868ba9…
07-06 21:09:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0xfe50e4…
07-06 21:09:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	179	72¢	$129	0x8c9fbf…
07-06 21:09:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x5f9c6e…
07-06 21:09:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	357	72¢	$257	0x21cd2f…
07-06 21:09:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0x3844fc…
07-06 21:09:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	142	72¢	$102	0x8e873a…
07-06 21:09:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x4e61d3…
07-06 21:09:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2ab94a…
07-06 21:09:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x03d608…
07-06 21:09:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	67	71¢	$47	0xa06a39…
07-06 06:23:37	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xe01c68…
07-05 15:51:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xfecbe8…
07-04 03:53:43	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0afbe1…
07-03 20:41:25	will anthropics valuation hit low 1pt05 by july 31 20260629184429518	No	BUY	235	81¢	$190	0x6b0bf3…
07-03 15:43:31	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbdf693…
06-30 21:18:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x282a84…
06-30 21:07:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0xa005ae…
06-30 21:07:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x329104…
06-30 21:07:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x8f2c5c…
06-30 21:07:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0x093bac…
06-30 19:33:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x77929d…
06-30 18:42:22	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x3de93a…
06-30 18:42:17	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0xc647fd…
06-30 04:47:40	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	396	100¢	$396	0x5bec96…
06-29 20:14:52	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbd167…
06-14 18:39:22	Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x9632b7…
06-14 18:38:30	Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?	Yes	BUY	462	83¢	$385	0x5d12e2…
06-13 14:27:27	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	362	68¢	$246	0x6a8b4b…
06-12 21:05:42	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x8386ba…
06-12 21:00:43	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	164	49¢	$81	0x94be30…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xb5f9fb…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6eacca…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x37ab52…
06-12 20:48:49	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x02ce52…
06-12 20:48:48	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	316	74¢	$234	0x9b880d…
06-12 19:33:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	549	78¢	$430	0x55b3bc…
06-12 19:25:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	2,234	13¢	$290	0x8e4ee0…
06-12 19:17:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xe70661…
06-12 19:17:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xf747fb…
06-12 19:16:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	42	29¢	$12	0x4bb84d…
06-12 16:12:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc0604d…
06-12 16:12:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf5a069…
06-12 16:12:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb7a809…
06-12 16:12:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	528	67¢	$354	0xe4328d…
06-11 23:12:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5,340	56¢	$2,990	0x1c349a…
06-11 23:08:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0x385cb2…
06-11 22:58:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x236f7d…
06-11 22:32:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x525ce0…
06-11 22:16:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xeeb14c…
06-11 21:19:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,400	78¢	$1,092	0x7dc07c…
06-11 20:52:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x6ccfff…