Heavy-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 33% +$2

Sports

38% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	-12	$-5	42¢	$-5	$-0	05-07 09:41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	+4	$2	55¢	$2	$-0	05-16 16:06
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	+9	$1	10¢	$1	$-0	05-14 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 16:06:38	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb3941a…
05-16 14:07:15	Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x42d0d7…
05-14 02:07:06	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x99505a…
05-11 10:42:11	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x037227…
05-11 10:41:24	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcc7c6f…
05-07 09:41:14	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x3f23ba…
05-06 19:09:53	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xba2234…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	5	$22.3K	45	05-16 15:16
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	5	$11.7K	166	05-17 02:59
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	4	$9.42K	25	05-16 15:14
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$7.75K	22	05-15 15:59
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	4	$2.09K	37	05-16 15:19
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$1.96K	217	05-16 15:14
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	4	$1.75K	17	05-16 15:12
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	3	$45.0K	4	05-16 15:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	0	12	-12	open	—	05-07 09:41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-16 16:06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	05-11 10:41
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 14:07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-06 19:09
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 02:07
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-11 10:42