Vivid-Disco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

111

Trades

280

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

95% 54% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	05-31 17:49
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-21 16:31
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:57
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-31 15:48
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-22 18:47
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-16 19:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-14 02:17
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-17 07:09
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-29 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 14:43
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-09 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-22 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 9?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 9?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-08 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 21:49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 11?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 11?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-15 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 17?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-01 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 9?	6	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-11 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 13?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-13 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 12?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-11 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	06-02 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	4	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	06-08 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:51:31	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb65698…
06-29 12:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x3a25ad…
06-29 12:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x08999b…
06-29 12:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcb2d66…
06-29 02:50:04	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x770e6c…
06-28 18:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd258fc…
06-28 18:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62768c…
06-28 18:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1a7c60…
06-28 18:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2febfe…
06-28 04:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdceda0…
06-28 04:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x19d590…
06-28 02:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xc93609…
06-28 01:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x91e21b…
06-27 10:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x28e12d…
06-27 10:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x23f673…
06-27 10:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa21165…
06-26 14:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdcbcfb…
06-26 12:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x38e0c8…
06-25 16:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x40ee91…
06-25 16:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1001d6…
06-25 12:57:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2516d7…
06-25 12:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7f6039…
06-24 16:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xddb104…
06-24 12:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x32f1e2…
06-23 18:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc1e84b…
06-23 17:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfa09a2…
06-23 17:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x113bfa…
06-22 08:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x797a95…
06-22 08:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32cd65…
06-21 16:31:35	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6918fc…
06-20 16:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2d2b8d…
06-20 16:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xca3d6b…
06-20 16:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0a3a9f…
06-20 16:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb792cd…
06-19 22:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x99d92a…
06-19 20:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeee3e3…
06-18 08:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xaa3563…
06-18 08:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x086ad8…
06-18 08:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe27aba…
06-17 07:09:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x06f6fd…
06-16 22:10:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1a0a20…
06-16 01:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe314d1…
06-15 23:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcdeff8…
06-15 00:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x14681f…
06-15 00:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf4b466…
06-14 17:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9cc761…
06-14 12:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0a21b1…
06-14 02:17:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd75acc…
06-14 00:44:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x80e441…
06-13 05:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3b759f…
06-13 05:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbfe2e7…
06-12 05:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8c2f02…
06-12 05:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0f0b6c…
06-12 05:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xeeec9c…
06-12 05:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9f8abd…
06-11 07:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc3d0f9…
06-11 07:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9f8fc9…
06-09 06:15:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x65de2b…
06-09 06:04:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf46ccb…
06-08 09:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x87df16…
06-08 09:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x11575a…
06-08 07:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbff602…
06-08 07:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x7e6216…
06-08 07:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7bda6b…
06-07 12:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 8?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0b74e1…
06-07 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcf42a6…
06-07 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x793586…
06-07 06:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc79310…
06-07 05:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e36d2…
06-06 17:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x894d6b…
06-06 13:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9c725b…
06-05 17:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1c2861…
06-05 17:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7cf23c…
06-05 16:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x68ffad…
06-05 16:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 6?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xdb5195…
06-05 06:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x15ecd0…
06-05 06:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x3ea2a0…
06-05 03:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4d8128…
06-04 04:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6f15a1…
06-04 04:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 4?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf89195…
06-02 17:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x3db431…
06-02 16:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x21dd0a…
06-02 08:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb1f9f0…
06-02 07:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x76dd9e…
06-01 23:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc14c6c…
06-01 19:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x65bc71…
06-01 08:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb4a690…
06-01 07:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbd9418…
06-01 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdeef05…
06-01 07:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x41e240…
05-31 17:49:29	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xa2b2bc…
05-31 16:48:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf11771…
05-31 16:48:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xeca31a…
05-31 16:48:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x749c60…
05-31 16:46:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x26e6c6…
05-31 15:48:56	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9e8010…
05-31 14:10:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa5e240…
05-31 12:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2767cc…
05-31 03:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x947068…
05-31 03:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x815f5d…