Realized P&L
+$137.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$722
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
234
Trades
6,463
lifetime
Volume
$4.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$676
Open exposure
$7.88K
1 position
First seen
2026-02-11
last 07-01 14:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
69%
72%
+$90,468
Other
26%
60%
+$41,546
Crypto
5%
100%
+$3,233
Tech
1%
100%
+$1,973
Sports
0%
50%
+$250
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +9,673 | $7,161 | 82¢ | $7.9K | +$722 | 06-11 14:48 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 253 | $433.8K | 264,836 | 308,939 | -44,102 | Yes | +$1,361 | 04-08 20:29 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 229 | $334.2K | 193,834 | 152,427 | +41,407 | No | +$2,093 | 03-04 16:40 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 48 | $306.0K | 207,256 | 118,497 | +88,759 | No | +$6,309 | 03-31 10:43 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 153 | $231.6K | 161,693 | 119,230 | +42,463 | Yes | +$2,723 | 03-01 13:41 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 231 | $231.6K | 188,975 | 197,731 | -8,756 | No | +$4,403 | 04-01 15:44 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 64 | $205.3K | 179,902 | 34,000 | +145,902 | Yes | +$1,241 | 04-10 18:57 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 175 | $190.1K | 260,577 | 200,577 | +60,000 | Yes | +$24,772 | 06-17 20:09 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 81 | $189.0K | 202,057 | 32,057 | +170,000 | No | +$3,003 | 06-03 22:43 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 20 | $170.7K | 171,981 | 1,229 | +170,752 | No | +$658 | 04-30 21:53 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 82 | $109.7K | 91,680 | 90,964 | +716 | No | +$876 | 04-29 18:38 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 218 | $101.0K | 238,985 | 184,895 | +54,089 | No | -$13,521 | 05-29 17:13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 96 | $100.5K | 64,000 | 64,000 | +0 | No | +$8,722 | 06-24 17:53 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 273 | $99.2K | 113,789 | 116,789 | -3,000 | Yes | +$21,356 | 06-15 08:14 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 129 | $96.1K | 93,436 | 89,295 | +4,141 | No | +$978 | 03-27 22:18 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 43 | $67.9K | 29,789 | 40,000 | -10,211 | No | +$1,250 | 03-26 16:14 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 193 | $63.8K | 102,524 | 112,047 | -9,523 | Yes | -$7,521 | 02-27 20:25 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 40 | $61.0K | 47,933 | 43,933 | +4,000 | Yes | +$572 | 03-13 14:35 |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m? | 59 | $50.9K | 52,036 | 0 | +52,036 | No | +$1,100 | 05-02 18:25 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 104 | $49.7K | 27,000 | 27,000 | +0 | No | +$3,881 | 04-12 19:22 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 5 | $47.9K | 25,000 | 25,000 | +0 | No | +$1,125 | 03-26 16:14 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 62 | $47.7K | 33,000 | 29,876 | +3,124 | No | +$1,951 | 04-17 08:50 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 50 | $43.5K | 45,331 | 0 | +45,331 | Yes | +$1,810 | 03-04 16:23 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 161 | $39.2K | 42,390 | 42,390 | +0 | Yes | +$893 | 04-06 15:20 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 10 | $38.6K | 39,313 | 0 | +39,313 | No | +$729 | 06-16 19:41 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 69 | $38.3K | 41,820 | 41,820 | +0 | No | +$3,276 | 06-19 17:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 257 | $37.9K | 90,091 | 91,802 | -1,711 | No | +$165 | 04-25 05:58 |
| will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m | 16 | $29.5K | 22,724 | 14,457 | +8,267 | No | +$3,701 | 04-05 14:45 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | 42 | $29.5K | 19,935 | 9,935 | +10,000 | Yes | +$159 | 04-12 22:30 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 16 | $27.6K | 15,103 | 15,103 | +0 | No | +$272 | 02-19 15:18 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st | 52 | $24.9K | 15,383 | 16,110 | -727 | No | +$919 | 03-25 16:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||