Famous-Scientist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$34

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

5,554 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$166

$37.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-02 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Other

95% 14% +$826

Crypto

4% 44% -$72

Politics

1% 17% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes		+513	$10	5¢	$27	+$17	10-15 08:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	4	$1.1K	1,017	1,017	+0	Yes	+$912	06-02 05:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 16c	4	$949	1,411	1,341	+70	No	+$929	04-13 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?	3	$887	751	751	+0	Yes	+$601	05-01 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?	13	$491	442	442	+0	Yes	+$311	05-08 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 9?	108	$465	557	557	+0	No	+$325	05-09 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	12	$443	481	481	+0	Yes	+$383	06-16 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?	15	$429	449	449	+0	Yes	+$369	05-14 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?	7	$370	474	474	+0	Yes	+$340	04-30 19:55
highest temperature in wuhan on april 9 2026 21c	2	$291	228	220	+8	Yes	+$144	04-09 07:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?	5	$280	318	316	+2	Yes	+$270	06-11 20:52
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	3	$273	1,363	1,363	+0	open	—	04-28 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?	6	$269	286	286	+0	Yes	+$249	06-22 08:01
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 10c	7	$253	260	253	+7	Yes	+$238	04-15 15:10
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	4	$240	268	255	+13	Yes	+$220	04-12 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	7	$234	516	150	+366	No	+$4	05-12 14:10
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 16c	11	$212	224	224	+0	Yes	+$192	03-28 08:17
highest temperature in chongqing on april 20 2026 20c	2	$203	154	151	+3	Yes	+$6	04-19 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	4	$201	260	260	+0	Yes	+$181	05-15 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	10	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$164	07-19 06:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	12	$192	150	150	+0	Yes	+$93	04-06 07:08
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	3	$185	181	181	+0	Yes	+$163	03-26 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	3	$180	200	191	+10	No	+$160	04-25 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?	10	$175	236	236	+0	Yes	+$165	05-27 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 3?	14	$173	238	238	+0	No	+$131	05-03 05:19
highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 10c	2	$168	148	148	+0	Yes	+$128	02-25 14:37
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	16	$160	362	362	+0	Yes	-$9	02-27 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 3?	19	$158	6,688	0	+6,688	No	-$158	05-03 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?	5	$157	189	189	+0	No	+$137	05-17 15:21
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 33c	7	$156	215	205	+11	Yes	+$159	04-23 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	2	$153	200	200	+0	Yes	+$143	05-05 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1149b3…
11-02 03:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	303	2¢	$5	0xf72f15…
11-02 03:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x858b4d…
11-01 21:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	103	49¢	$50	0xa85899…
11-01 16:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	237	0¢	$1	0xac711c…
11-01 16:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xfbfc94…
11-01 16:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x354e8c…
11-01 16:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xbce5be…
11-01 16:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x392551…
11-01 16:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x91dc48…
11-01 16:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc75037…
11-01 16:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0xdf803a…
11-01 05:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	23	84¢	$20	0x96c769…
11-01 05:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xcabee3…
11-01 01:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0xa4f5f7…
11-01 01:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdae5e9…
11-01 01:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaaec9b…
10-31 19:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5eeb20…
10-31 19:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x2deb22…
10-31 19:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xe1f0a8…
10-29 23:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	341	0¢	$1	0xde4b6a…
10-29 23:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0x3bdbda…
10-29 23:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x388fea…
10-29 22:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc653af…
10-29 22:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbd21f9…
10-29 22:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x80a74f…
10-29 22:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2f6299…
10-29 22:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0xe4dc18…
10-29 22:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc2713f…
10-29 22:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0ad84e…
10-22 17:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x71884e…
10-22 17:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xafb8b8…
10-22 17:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x6603e2…
10-15 08:50:17	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	513	2¢	$10	0x3ca929…
10-07 03:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6fc022…
10-07 03:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	481	2¢	$10	0x52aa6e…
10-06 06:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x58c131…
10-06 06:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8482d9…
10-06 06:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	242	2¢	$5	0x115b37…
10-04 03:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x33e8e1…
10-04 03:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x005fcc…
10-02 14:54:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x09f120…
10-02 14:53:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x43c7ef…
10-02 14:53:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0x5c3b6e…
10-02 14:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x371694…
10-02 14:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf1ea60…
10-02 14:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xb9494c…
10-02 14:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc51c83…
10-02 14:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf658bb…
10-02 14:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	233	0¢	$1	0x31f686…
10-02 14:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0xd67950…
10-02 14:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa912c6…
09-30 14:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbeb261…
09-30 14:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x5fcb52…
09-30 14:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xebebfb…
09-30 14:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb7ccb9…
09-16 04:04:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9930d0…
09-16 04:03:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd589dc…
09-16 04:03:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0x3e3f1d…
09-07 03:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	454	2¢	$10	0x521ea7…
09-06 21:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd6d50f…
09-06 21:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xed34d8…
09-06 21:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x187d51…
09-06 21:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$1	0x47f91a…
09-06 21:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	226	4¢	$10	0x01cfb1…
09-06 21:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd1eee3…
09-06 16:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$5	0xd4102c…
09-06 16:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x6ef4cd…
09-06 16:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6af0a8…
09-06 16:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on September 7?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0xb17a6a…
09-04 13:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb35b68…
09-04 13:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 98°F or higher on September 4?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0x9f2e24…
09-04 13:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7a33ad…
09-04 13:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 5?	Yes	BUY	338	1¢	$5	0xfa995d…
08-31 15:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd51409…
08-31 15:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x647f45…
08-31 15:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xb0e655…
08-31 10:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xd6c3af…
08-30 20:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,790	0¢	$2	0xea81f4…
08-30 20:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x58d8c6…
08-30 20:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	844	0¢	$1	0x37bd2e…
08-30 20:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	156	0¢	$0	0x150f8a…
08-30 19:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xc9ba39…
08-30 19:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,043	0¢	$10	0xb0ae4e…
08-27 04:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	224	0¢	$0	0x54e5c9…
08-27 03:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfdb746…
08-27 03:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x88aaa9…
08-27 03:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd59ea2…
08-27 02:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x74540e…
08-27 02:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf35adf…
08-27 01:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf1bf1e…
08-27 00:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x916ba3…
08-27 00:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9b9943…
08-26 18:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2973ba…
08-26 18:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x26aedc…
08-26 18:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0fe622…
08-26 18:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4d1e1b…
08-26 16:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xd115dd…
08-26 15:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea79d8…
08-26 15:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xad62dd…