Famous-Scientist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$182

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved (90d)

116

Trades (90d)

170

5,615 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$842

$38.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-09 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Other

95% 14% +$867

Crypto

4% 44% -$72

Politics

1% 17% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes		+513	$10	3¢	$13	+$3	10-15 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on November 9?	Yes		+23	$5	22¢	$5	+$0	11-08 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 10?	Yes		+467	$5	0¢	$1	-$4	11-09 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 10?	Yes		+5	$1	15¢	$1	$0	11-09 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 10?	Yes		+26	$1	2¢	$1	$0	11-09 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 10?	Yes		+61	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	11-09 08:29
highest temperature in toronto on november 10 2026 13c	Yes	—	+16	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	11-09 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on November 9?	Yes		+153	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-09 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 9?	Yes		+177	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-08 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on November 9?	Yes		+125	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-08 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 9?	Yes		+111	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-08 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on November 9?	Yes		+64	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-09 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 9?	Yes		+21	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-08 09:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	4	$1.1K	1,017	1,017	+0	Yes	+$912	06-02 05:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 16c	4	$949	1,411	1,341	+70	No	+$929	04-13 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?	3	$887	751	751	+0	Yes	+$601	05-01 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?	13	$491	442	442	+0	Yes	+$311	05-08 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 9?	108	$465	557	557	+0	No	+$325	05-09 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?	12	$443	481	481	+0	Yes	+$383	06-16 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?	15	$429	449	449	+0	Yes	+$369	05-14 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?	7	$370	474	474	+0	Yes	+$340	04-30 19:55
highest temperature in wuhan on april 9 2026 21c	2	$291	228	220	+8	Yes	+$144	04-09 07:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?	5	$280	318	316	+2	Yes	+$270	06-11 20:52
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	3	$273	1,363	1,363	+0	open	—	04-28 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?	6	$269	286	286	+0	Yes	+$249	06-22 08:01
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 10c	7	$253	260	253	+7	Yes	+$238	04-15 15:10
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	4	$240	268	255	+13	Yes	+$220	04-12 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?	7	$234	516	150	+366	No	+$4	05-12 14:10
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 16c	11	$212	224	224	+0	Yes	+$192	03-28 08:17
highest temperature in chongqing on april 20 2026 20c	2	$203	154	151	+3	Yes	+$6	04-19 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	4	$201	260	260	+0	Yes	+$181	05-15 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	10	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$164	07-19 06:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 18c	12	$192	150	150	+0	Yes	+$93	04-06 07:08
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 9c	3	$185	181	181	+0	Yes	+$163	03-26 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	3	$180	200	191	+10	No	+$160	04-25 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?	10	$175	236	236	+0	Yes	+$165	05-27 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 3?	14	$173	238	238	+0	No	+$131	05-03 05:19
highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 10c	2	$168	148	148	+0	Yes	+$128	02-25 14:37
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	16	$160	362	362	+0	Yes	-$9	02-27 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 3?	19	$158	6,688	0	+6,688	No	-$158	05-03 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on May 17?	5	$157	189	189	+0	No	+$137	05-17 15:21
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 33c	7	$156	215	205	+11	Yes	+$159	04-23 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	2	$153	200	200	+0	Yes	+$143	05-05 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	86	58¢	$50	0x0e92cb…
11-09 16:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	467	1¢	$5	0x9e0d3d…
11-09 16:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x438431…
11-09 16:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$1	0xa7ebf1…
11-09 08:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2d6ba8…
11-09 08:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 10?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xceef54…
11-09 08:29:39	highest temperature in toronto on november 10 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x3c2f41…
11-09 08:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x26f643…
11-08 22:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xab48bf…
11-08 22:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x57b64f…
11-08 22:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xef9bb3…
11-08 09:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa1d0b1…
11-08 09:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	177	1¢	$1	0xb610d5…
11-08 09:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x691a9d…
11-07 22:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	278	0¢	$1	0x8a5a92…
11-07 22:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x83cf31…
11-07 22:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x7bbe52…
11-07 22:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x94c89b…
11-07 22:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$1	0x87f038…
11-07 22:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x59e6b0…
11-07 17:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$3	0xb62e1e…
11-07 17:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd24295…
11-07 17:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x0e3b71…
11-07 15:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x143c47…
11-07 15:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on November 8?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$1	0xfdf9dc…
11-07 15:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x5e5c34…
11-07 15:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x6bdc41…
11-07 15:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$2	0x1269b6…
11-07 15:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xa9d4df…
11-07 15:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6d925d…
11-07 15:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb32177…
11-07 15:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9cc57e…
11-07 15:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x481fe0…
11-07 15:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x20eebb…
11-07 15:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x46896e…
11-06 22:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 6?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x178aca…
11-06 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x141c04…
11-06 12:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x2ab9df…
11-06 12:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xa40732…
11-06 12:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa5360f…
11-06 12:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeb0c28…
11-06 12:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x530bbb…
11-06 12:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x2fcacd…
11-06 12:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x222c0a…
11-06 12:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x3693e7…
11-06 12:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x68095c…
11-06 12:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xf8d5ee…
11-06 12:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x4aa268…
11-05 22:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	137	4¢	$5	0x719a35…
11-05 22:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x23d62c…
11-05 10:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x006765…
11-05 10:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	226	4¢	$10	0xc731df…
11-04 19:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0xde0cae…
11-04 19:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	76	45¢	$34	0xd333f2…
11-04 12:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xab981c…
11-04 12:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2861ba…
11-04 12:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1a7668…
11-04 12:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	203	0¢	$1	0x93e873…
11-04 12:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf08d12…
11-03 21:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x6b57ad…
11-03 21:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x813a2d…
11-03 14:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb96b76…
11-03 01:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x153c21…
11-03 01:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on November 3?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xd6355c…
11-02 03:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x1149b3…
11-02 03:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	303	2¢	$5	0xf72f15…
11-02 03:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x858b4d…
11-01 21:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	103	49¢	$50	0xa85899…
11-01 16:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	237	0¢	$1	0xac711c…
11-01 16:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xfbfc94…
11-01 16:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x354e8c…
11-01 16:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xbce5be…
11-01 16:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x392551…
11-01 16:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x91dc48…
11-01 16:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc75037…
11-01 16:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0xdf803a…
11-01 05:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	23	84¢	$20	0x96c769…
11-01 05:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xcabee3…
11-01 01:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0xa4f5f7…
11-01 01:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdae5e9…
11-01 01:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaaec9b…
10-31 19:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5eeb20…
10-31 19:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x2deb22…
10-31 19:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xe1f0a8…
10-29 23:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	341	0¢	$1	0xde4b6a…
10-29 23:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0x3bdbda…
10-29 23:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x388fea…
10-29 22:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc653af…
10-29 22:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbd21f9…
10-29 22:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x80a74f…
10-29 22:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2f6299…
10-29 22:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0xe4dc18…
10-29 22:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc2713f…
10-29 22:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0ad84e…
10-22 17:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x71884e…
10-22 17:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xafb8b8…
10-22 17:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x6603e2…
10-15 08:50:17	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	513	2¢	$10	0x3ca929…
10-07 03:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6fc022…
10-07 03:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on October 7?	Yes	BUY	481	2¢	$10	0x52aa6e…