Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on November 8?
open
Total volume
$569
$648 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$959
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-11-08
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-08 06:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $166
vs crowd: 1% YES on $548)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $1 | $519 | $518 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $21 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $1 | $165 | $165 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $19 | $16 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $255 | $255 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $0 | $104 | $104 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +251 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 11-07 15:08 |
| Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | +216 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-07 22:07 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | +202 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 11-07 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 4 | 11-08 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 11-08 06:02 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 11-07 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 11-07 22:07 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-07 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | +28 | -$1 | $1 | 8 | 11-08 03:28 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-07 16:47 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | +20 | $20 | $59 | 4 | 11-07 22:07 |
| Far-Off-Samovar 0x6606…4d70 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-07 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-07 11:51 |
| Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-07 22:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-07 16:47 |
| Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-08 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a3a…e990 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-07 23:00 |
| Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-07 11:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 06:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x238213… |
| 11-08 06:02:25 | Pricey-Million 0x005e…6d8e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1bddc1… |
| 11-08 06:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x238213… |
| 11-08 06:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1bddc1… |
| 11-08 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7259c1… |
| 11-08 03:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x3252…e247 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7259c1… |
| 11-07 23:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x0a3a…e990 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1509ca… |
| 11-07 23:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x3252…e247 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1509ca… |
| 11-07 22:07:51 | Far-Off-Samovar 0x6606…4d70 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x83cf31… |
| 11-07 22:07:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x83cf31… |
| 11-07 22:07:51 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x83cf31… |
| 11-07 22:07:51 | Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x83cf31… |
| 11-07 22:07:51 | Wary-Fog 0x54e0…b02c | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x83cf31… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x99e789… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc62f68… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x99e789… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x620e30… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc62f68… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc62f68… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xc62f68… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x99e789… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc62f68… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x620e30… |
| 11-07 16:47:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x620e30… |
| 11-07 15:21:21 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1269b6… |
| 11-07 15:21:21 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1269b6… |
| 11-07 15:21:21 | Self-Assured-Laparoscope 0xcd15…b352 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1269b6… |
| 11-07 15:21:21 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1269b6… |
| 11-07 15:21:21 | Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1269b6… |
| 11-07 15:08:40 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 197 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x361531… |
| 11-07 15:08:40 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 251 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x361531… |
| 11-07 15:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x361531… |
| 11-07 12:04:21 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x332ba7… |
| 11-07 12:04:21 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x332ba7… |
| 11-07 12:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bca7e… |
| 11-07 12:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x2bca7e… |
| 11-07 11:51:16 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x72c8ce… |
| 11-07 11:51:16 | Self-Assured-Laparoscope 0xcd15…b352 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72c8ce… |
| 11-07 11:51:16 | Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x44af11… |
| 11-07 11:51:16 | Self-Assured-Laparoscope 0xcd15…b352 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44af11… |
| 11-07 11:51:06 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc82419… |
| 11-07 11:51:06 | (anonymous) 0x1f07…7573 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc82419… |