Utter-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,216

lifetime

Volume

$3.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-01 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 20% $-13

Politics

15% — —

Other

6% 0% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 350 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up		+0	$1	4¢	$0	$-1	03-25 04:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	9	$369	25,617	0	+25,617	open	—	03-05 21:32
btc updown 5m 1774301700	5	$131	158	99	+58	open	—	03-23 21:39
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$106	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 21:20
ethereum above 2400 on march 5	1	$100	5,531	0	+5,531	open	—	03-04 20:47
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$49	543	0	+543	open	—	03-05 16:16
btc updown 5m 1774302000	3	$49	237	0	+237	open	—	03-23 21:43
sol updown 5m 1775603700	3	$48	50	47	+3	open	—	04-07 23:22
ethereum above 2300 on march 5	2	$41	500	0	+500	open	—	03-04 20:27
btc updown 5m 1774299600	3	$40	95	77	+19	open	—	03-23 21:04
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	1	$30	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-04 20:30
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$26	714	714	+0	open	—	03-23 21:23
btc updown 5m 1774301400	3	$25	300	0	+300	open	—	03-23 21:34
will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	1	$24	1,872	0	+1,872	open	—	03-05 16:23
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	23	$22	500	0	+500	open	—	03-05 06:22
btc updown 5m 1775689800	6	$21	576	350	+226	open	—	04-08 23:15
btc updown 5m 1773080100	6	$20	559	0	+559	open	—	03-09 18:18
btc updown 5m 1772997600	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	03-08 19:21
bnb updown 5m 1775603700	2	$19	20	19	+1	open	—	04-07 23:22
btc updown 5m 1774296600	3	$19	126	0	+126	open	—	03-23 20:12
btc updown 5m 1774302300	1	$18	91	0	+91	open	—	03-23 21:47
btc updown 5m 1772998200	2	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	03-08 19:32
btc updown 5m 1774301100	3	$17	39	38	+0	open	—	03-23 21:27
eth updown 5m 1776961200	4	$17	54	51	+3	open	—	04-23 16:23
btc updown 5m 1774300800	3	$16	401	0	+401	open	—	03-23 21:24
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 240plus	1	$15	1,025	0	+1,025	open	—	03-09 19:06
btc updown 5m 1774221000	6	$15	12,106	0	+12,106	open	—	03-22 23:16
btc updown 5m 1775603700	2	$14	14	13	+1	open	—	04-07 23:21
eth updown 5m 1776960900	2	$14	14	13	+1	open	—	04-23 16:18
btc updown 5m 1772994600	1	$14	48	0	+48	open	—	03-08 18:31
solana up or down april 23 2026 12pm et	8	$13	642	0	+642	open	—	04-23 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 18:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x270bd8…
06-01 18:14:21	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xa5248d…
06-01 18:13:02	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd1a655…
06-01 18:12:48	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x005f48…
06-01 18:11:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x40dee5…
06-01 18:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd2d2ce…
05-27 02:57:19	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x100224…
05-12 00:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfa9080…
05-12 00:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x2714a3…
05-12 00:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xb58648…
05-12 00:54:32	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4c2fe7…
05-12 00:54:25	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12447e…
05-12 00:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xca07b6…
05-12 00:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9c025e…
05-12 00:49:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc0c1be…
05-12 00:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xb59ce7…
05-07 03:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9e9ddf…
05-07 03:55:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4de914…
05-07 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xa52c31…
05-07 03:54:23	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	138	0¢	$0	0xe962e1…
05-07 03:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x3497af…
05-07 03:53:29	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf9652c…
05-07 03:53:29	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0xeda32a…
05-07 03:51:40	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8944bf…
05-07 03:50:51	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa92cfe…
05-07 03:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x7c5e20…
05-07 03:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x491539…
05-07 03:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x92dd81…
05-07 03:44:42	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xca1975…
05-07 03:44:21	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3c566…
05-07 03:43:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6fd82…
05-07 03:42:41	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5e95a7…
05-07 03:41:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x37b681…
05-07 03:41:44	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xcf745a…
05-07 03:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9e9fdc…
05-07 03:41:07	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x586aa8…
05-07 03:40:51	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7d9b46…
05-07 03:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x312078…
05-07 03:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f403b…
05-07 03:34:14	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d7f4a…
05-07 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x48d7c7…
05-07 03:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x6967cb…
05-07 03:31:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9d1e36…
05-07 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7f9f95…
05-05 15:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xfb7bf9…
05-05 15:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb3c853…
05-05 15:45:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa936a0…
05-05 15:29:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x07b789…
05-05 15:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4b3848…
05-05 15:19:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x45739b…
05-05 15:14:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc5c72…
05-05 02:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcce093…
05-05 02:33:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x4be351…
05-05 02:33:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x00b7f3…
05-05 02:33:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf0d91b…
05-04 23:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e70d7…
05-04 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0847a0…
05-04 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbf598b…
05-04 23:09:22	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3f125a…
05-04 23:09:10	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8f3e50…
05-04 23:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0c3c5c…
05-04 23:00:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9d061c…
05-04 22:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x765325…
05-04 22:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6ff0e2…
05-04 22:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x29ab58…
05-04 22:59:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa91f3d…
05-04 22:59:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x965fb8…
05-04 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x8a0a10…
05-04 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x87ed9d…
05-04 00:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1e877b…
05-04 00:39:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x54cd87…
05-04 00:39:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xcdcc28…
05-04 00:39:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2362f1…
05-04 00:39:40	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0558ce…
05-04 00:38:34	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x37e398…
05-04 00:34:36	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85064f…
05-04 00:34:20	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x945426…
05-04 00:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1e2b25…
05-04 00:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2fc005…
05-04 00:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x71c7f9…
05-04 00:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	218	1¢	$3	0x7829d3…
05-04 00:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6136e9…
05-04 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x512423…
05-04 00:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1cc118…
05-04 00:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x58944e…
05-04 00:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x437889…
05-04 00:23:38	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe97fdd…
05-04 00:22:26	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf5201e…
05-04 00:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xdd2127…
05-04 00:16:58	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7267d3…
05-04 00:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3a9290…
05-04 00:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x03fac6…
05-04 00:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0fe1f2…
05-04 00:15:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0cae47…
05-04 00:15:18	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x67e9f9…
05-04 00:14:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x7cd5c6…
05-04 00:13:52	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5f0aa7…
05-04 00:13:46	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb62dcf…
05-04 00:13:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf5bf37…
05-04 00:13:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf28b22…