Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$2,466
$2 in 24h
Trades
228
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$10,939
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 01:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+10.3¢
(top1%: 50% YES on $558
vs crowd: 40% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $543 | $370 | +$174 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 52 | $358 | $1.0K | $644 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $279 | $279 | $0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $15 | $96 | $81 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $10 | $80 | $69 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 14 | $7 | $538 | $531 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $3 | $48 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $120 | $4 | +$116 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $240 | — | +$240 |
| unranked | 7 | $223 | $327 | $104 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | +834 | $233 | $247 | 27 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Miserable-Oatmeal 0x6c9f…d1a9 | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 05-12 00:53 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Up | +449 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +420 | $218 | $218 | 18 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Up | +403 | $215 | $215 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +319 | $299 | $299 | 15 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +243 | $149 | $149 | 15 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +152 | $53 | $53 | 8 | 05-12 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x63f7…ed20 | Up | +151 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Down | +138 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-12 00:12 |
| Tepid-Belfry 0xc0ed…a802 | Down | +56 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-12 00:13 |
| Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | +52 | $10 | $19 | 9 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Fluid-Agenda 0xb517…780b | Down | +49 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 23:58 |
| Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | +38 | $31 | $102 | 21 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Utter-Willingness 0x4e1e…6884 | Up | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +34 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-12 00:23 |
| Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Up | +30 | $16 | $16 | 6 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Round-Vintner 0x0eef…dc37 | Up | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Rectangular-Polish 0x052e…a23f | Up | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +26 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | +26 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f | Down | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Up | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xff20…f5b8 | Up | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:18 |
| Dramatic-Issue 0xa350…06e7 | Up | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 00:47 |
| Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | +13 | $12 | $12 | 6 | 05-12 00:43 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | +12 | $12 | $12 | 12 | 05-12 00:53 |
| Livid-Moccasins 0xd33c…a724 | Down | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 00:18 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 00:11 |
| Rotating-Maize 0xd9a1…3346 | Up | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:12 |
| Exalted-Performance-Chef 0x074a…f120 | Up | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Coarse-Director 0x9353…5bb5 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 00:52 |
| Scholarly-Hole 0x6c49…bf26 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Paltry-Turtle 0x35cd…9fa9 | Down | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:19 |
| Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | +8 | $5 | $9 | 4 | 05-12 00:23 |
| Distinct-Impediment 0x465a…6021 | Down | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf53…b964 | Up | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Favorable-Post 0xee0b…6eeb | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:23 |
| Courteous-Skean 0x297c…8cf7 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Loyal-Hide 0xaebf…b45f | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Famous-Handholding 0x274a…2246 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Potable-Dickey 0xa127…c2ab | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc99…d4c2 | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x65ad…19dd | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:03 |
| Decimal-Suspension 0x98dc…e3f0 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc103…3f22 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd85d…796d | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 01:23:42 | Hearty-Steak 0xa71a…4cc7 | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x89ab13… |
| 05-12 01:23:40 | Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7048de… |
| 05-12 01:13:48 | Educated-Blind 0xb354…7d49 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa5c573… |
| 05-12 01:08:05 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Down | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x54c6f7… |
| 05-12 00:53:55 | Miserable-Oatmeal 0x6c9f…d1a9 | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0x048675… |
| 05-12 00:53:50 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb898c0… |
| 05-12 00:53:44 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x007300… |
| 05-12 00:53:39 | Worst-Missile 0x8a44…ae71 | Up | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7695c9… |
| 05-12 00:53:37 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9ddf04… |
| 05-12 00:53:32 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x52dff9… |
| 05-12 00:53:13 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc4190d… |
| 05-12 00:53:09 | Incomparable-Snowstorm 0xba9d…b1f7 | Down | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x66fad8… |
| 05-12 00:53:06 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x78139a… |
| 05-12 00:52:59 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3d91d8… |
| 05-12 00:52:59 | Coarse-Director 0x9353…5bb5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xab922a… |
| 05-12 00:52:54 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x39803d… |
| 05-12 00:52:47 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe0edcc… |
| 05-12 00:48:40 | Utter-Willingness 0x4e1e…6884 | Up | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb59ce7… |
| 05-12 00:48:38 | Favorable-Post 0xee0b…6eeb | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4df6ed… |
| 05-12 00:48:35 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | Up | BUY | 449 | 3¢ | $13 | 0xd5ccb0… |
| 05-12 00:48:14 | Courteous-Skean 0x297c…8cf7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2e6b00… |
| 05-12 00:48:12 | Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc7f89e… |
| 05-12 00:48:01 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdb4f67… |
| 05-12 00:48:00 | Functional-Waterwheel 0x56d4…746f | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4c8429… |
| 05-12 00:47:56 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa20c40… |
| 05-12 00:47:53 | Dramatic-Issue 0xa350…06e7 | Up | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1e4c84… |
| 05-12 00:47:49 | Linear-Chimpanzee 0xf588…c198 | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7f33b8… |
| 05-12 00:43:53 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf9ef85… |
| 05-12 00:43:49 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x1dd559… |
| 05-12 00:43:48 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe9d633… |
| 05-12 00:43:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xc6a9c3… |
| 05-12 00:43:46 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5dfb4a… |
| 05-12 00:43:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xf647cf… |
| 05-12 00:43:44 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4202d6… |
| 05-12 00:43:42 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x91164a… |
| 05-12 00:43:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xf26920… |
| 05-12 00:43:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xefe7ab… |
| 05-12 00:43:37 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x0a3525… |
| 05-12 00:43:25 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xbeab4d… |
| 05-12 00:43:20 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x524713… |
| 05-12 00:43:20 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6ebb27… |
| 05-12 00:43:16 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa8f00a… |
| 05-12 00:43:04 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x858666… |
| 05-12 00:43:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdab98c… |
| 05-12 00:42:57 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x342b3c… |
| 05-12 00:42:46 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x81c99b… |
| 05-12 00:38:45 | Young-Clip 0xc27f…0ee8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf8b899… |
| 05-12 00:38:38 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x0093c1… |
| 05-12 00:38:26 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x871dd4… |
| 05-12 00:38:22 | Distinct-Impediment 0x465a…6021 | Down | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x436d53… |
| 05-12 00:38:15 | Rectangular-Polish 0x052e…a23f | Up | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2de225… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xdc0a24… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x6313aa… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xca2632… |
| 05-12 00:38:06 | Round-Vintner 0x0eef…dc37 | Up | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5b5450… |
| 05-12 00:38:05 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6c63c4… |
| 05-12 00:38:05 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x86675b… |
| 05-12 00:33:44 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4fc33b… |
| 05-12 00:33:44 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x0b98bd… |
| 05-12 00:33:44 | Detailed-Grassland 0xd522…cdc8 | Down | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xd74f53… |
| 05-12 00:33:19 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | SELL | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x01bf97… |
| 05-12 00:33:12 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x29f109… |
| 05-12 00:33:12 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 81¢ | $17 | 0x86169f… |
| 05-12 00:33:11 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x287273… |
| 05-12 00:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x277018… |
| 05-12 00:28:48 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x3a52fd… |
| 05-12 00:28:36 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x23e8cf… |
| 05-12 00:28:20 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa459e9… |
| 05-12 00:28:15 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Up | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x727839… |
| 05-12 00:28:15 | Exalted-Performance-Chef 0x074a…f120 | Up | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x21b30a… |
| 05-12 00:28:13 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x53fa38… |
| 05-12 00:28:13 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x4e8698… |
| 05-12 00:28:13 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $18 | 0xfdd444… |
| 05-12 00:28:11 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xe44641… |
| 05-12 00:28:10 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xb6263d… |
| 05-12 00:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x82ff6f… |
| 05-12 00:28:03 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xfe7cc7… |
| 05-12 00:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x5ac0b8… |
| 05-12 00:23:42 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x4299f3… |
| 05-12 00:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x8623…66d4 | Down | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xb46b47… |
| 05-12 00:23:42 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xe58e94… |
| 05-12 00:23:42 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3a4605… |
| 05-12 00:23:37 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xe62405… |
| 05-12 00:23:37 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x8dced8… |
| 05-12 00:23:16 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xa3925c… |
| 05-12 00:23:16 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Up | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xccf508… |
| 05-12 00:23:16 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x6e6098… |
| 05-12 00:23:14 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x0da437… |
| 05-12 00:23:07 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x95107e… |
| 05-12 00:23:07 | Dearest-Trachoma 0xab80…5ff3 | Down | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x356f33… |
| 05-12 00:23:05 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 16 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xaffaf4… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | Shocking-Opening 0x724d…8dea | Up | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xb00b9a… |
| 05-12 00:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x229b47… |
| 05-12 00:22:58 | Moral-Snorer 0xa636…dfe9 | Down | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0x6cff66… |
| 05-12 00:22:55 | Rectangular-Polish 0x052e…a23f | Up | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x29e495… |
| 05-12 00:19:04 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xffb346… |
| 05-12 00:19:04 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x0af9d9… |
| 05-12 00:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Down | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xec5bd4… |
| 05-12 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0xff20…f5b8 | Up | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x4a8879… |
| 05-12 00:18:48 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xf9930e… |